Preseason Rankings
Charlotte
Conference USA
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#178
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace59.4#352
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#239
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#133
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 5.2% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.4 12.3 13.8
.500 or above 51.4% 61.6% 28.4%
.500 or above in Conference 49.9% 57.3% 33.1%
Conference Champion 4.6% 6.0% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 7.8% 5.1% 13.8%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
First Round3.8% 4.9% 1.4%
Second Round0.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Monmouth (Home) - 69.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 35 - 66 - 12
Quad 410 - 315 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 216   Monmouth W 72-67 69%    
  Nov 12, 2021 343   South Carolina Upstate W 73-57 92%    
  Nov 18, 2021 182   @ Appalachian St. L 59-62 40%    
  Nov 22, 2021 114   Toledo L 66-70 35%    
  Nov 30, 2021 98   Davidson L 60-63 40%    
  Dec 04, 2021 238   George Washington W 69-62 71%    
  Dec 07, 2021 17   @ Arkansas L 61-78 8%    
  Dec 11, 2021 189   @ Valparaiso L 63-65 42%    
  Dec 17, 2021 103   Wake Forest L 62-67 33%    
  Dec 20, 2021 356   Maryland Eastern Shore W 73-49 97%    
  Dec 22, 2021 309   Western Carolina W 74-63 81%    
  Dec 30, 2021 159   @ Florida Atlantic L 62-66 38%    
  Jan 01, 2022 273   @ Florida International W 68-65 58%    
  Jan 08, 2022 131   Old Dominion W 64-63 50%    
  Jan 13, 2022 163   UTEP W 64-62 57%    
  Jan 15, 2022 207   Texas San Antonio W 72-67 64%    
  Jan 20, 2022 123   @ North Texas L 56-63 30%    
  Jan 22, 2022 173   @ Rice L 67-70 39%    
  Jan 29, 2022 131   @ Old Dominion L 60-66 32%    
  Feb 03, 2022 100   Western Kentucky L 63-66 41%    
  Feb 05, 2022 118   Marshall L 69-70 47%    
  Feb 10, 2022 93   Louisiana Tech L 64-67 40%    
  Feb 13, 2022 267   @ Middle Tennessee W 67-65 57%    
  Feb 17, 2022 100   @ Western Kentucky L 60-69 24%    
  Feb 19, 2022 118   @ Marshall L 66-73 29%    
  Feb 24, 2022 273   Florida International W 71-62 75%    
  Feb 26, 2022 159   Florida Atlantic W 65-63 56%    
  Mar 02, 2022 267   Middle Tennessee W 70-62 74%    
  Mar 05, 2022 195   @ Southern Miss L 62-64 44%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.1 4.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.9 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 6.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.5 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 6.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.8 2.8 0.8 0.1 7.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.8 3.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 7.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.1 1.3 0.1 8.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.2 1.8 0.2 8.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 4.3 2.4 0.3 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 3.8 3.0 0.4 0.0 8.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 3.1 3.3 0.8 0.0 8.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.4 1.1 0.1 7.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 2.3 3.0 1.2 0.1 7.2 12th
13th 0.1 0.8 2.0 2.1 0.9 0.1 5.9 13th
14th 0.3 1.0 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.1 4.6 14th
Total 0.3 1.1 2.4 3.8 5.5 7.5 8.9 10.2 10.6 10.4 9.9 8.3 7.2 5.5 3.9 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-1 95.4% 0.5    0.5 0.1 0.0
16-2 81.8% 1.2    0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0
15-3 54.9% 1.4    0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 25.7% 1.0    0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 6.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 76.6% 38.9% 37.7% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 61.7%
17-1 0.5% 63.2% 39.8% 23.4% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 38.8%
16-2 1.4% 40.0% 26.1% 13.9% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 18.9%
15-3 2.5% 25.5% 20.2% 5.3% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.9 6.7%
14-4 3.9% 17.5% 15.8% 1.7% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.2 2.1%
13-5 5.5% 10.2% 9.9% 0.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.9 0.3%
12-6 7.2% 6.5% 6.5% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 6.8
11-7 8.3% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.1 0.0%
10-8 9.9% 1.9% 1.9% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.7
9-9 10.4% 1.0% 1.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.3
8-10 10.6% 0.4% 0.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.5
7-11 10.2% 0.3% 0.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 10.1
6-12 8.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.9
5-13 7.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.5
4-14 5.5% 5.5
3-15 3.8% 3.8
2-16 2.4% 2.4
1-17 1.1% 1.1
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 4.0% 3.4% 0.6% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.2 96.0 0.6%