IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Coppin St.
Mid-Eastern
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.6	#336
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	88.6	#1
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.7	#342

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.0	#313

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.2%	28.6%	11.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	15.8	16.0

.500 or above	12.1%	52.5%	11.7%
.500 or above in Conference	66.9%	93.0%	66.7%
Conference Champion	12.6%	37.1%	12.4%
Last Place in Conference	5.3%	0.5%	5.4%

First Four	10.2%	20.4%	10.1%
First Round	5.2%	18.0%	5.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Chicago (Away) - 0.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 12
Quad 4	10 - 9	11 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	46	@ Loyola Chicago	L	60-85	1%
Nov 10, 2021	112	@ DePaul	L	72-91	4%
Nov 12, 2021	248	@ Rider	L	75-85	19%
Nov 13, 2021	25	@ Connecticut	L	62-90	1%
Nov 15, 2021	149	@ UNC Greensboro	L	71-87	8%
Nov 17, 2021	276	Loyola Maryland	L	77-80	41%
Nov 19, 2021	29	@ Virginia	L	52-79	1%
Nov 22, 2021	151	@ Cleveland St.	L	70-86	9%
Nov 24, 2021	265	@ Canisius	L	79-88	22%
Nov 27, 2021	183	@ East Carolina	L	72-86	13%
Dec 01, 2021	28	@ St. Bonaventure	L	61-88	1%
Dec 03, 2021	290	@ Cornell	L	76-84	27%
Dec 08, 2021	238	@ George Washington	L	76-86	20%
Dec 11, 2021	239	Towson	L	76-80	36%
Dec 14, 2021	175	@ Drexel	L	68-83	12%
Dec 23, 2021	169	@ George Mason	L	71-86	12%
Dec 29, 2021	176	@ Indiana St.	L	70-84	13%
Jan 08, 2022	352	@ South Carolina St.	W	87-83	62%
Jan 10, 2022	339	@ NC Central	L	75-77	43%
Jan 15, 2022	256	@ Morgan St.	L	81-90	23%
Jan 22, 2022	291	@ Norfolk St.	L	74-82	28%
Jan 24, 2022	332	Howard	W	89-86	58%
Jan 29, 2022	356	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	82-69	84%
Jan 31, 2022	354	@ Delaware St.	W	91-86	63%
Feb 12, 2022	352	South Carolina St.	W	90-80	78%
Feb 14, 2022	339	NC Central	W	78-74	62%
Feb 19, 2022	291	Norfolk St.	L	77-79	45%
Feb 21, 2022	332	@ Howard	L	86-89	39%
Feb 26, 2022	356	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	79-72	69%
Feb 28, 2022	354	Delaware St.	W	94-83	79%
Mar 03, 2022	256	Morgan St.	L	84-87	39%
Projected Record						10 - 21	8 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.3	1.4	3.7	4.1	2.5	0.7		12.6	1st
2nd								0.0	0.8	3.8	6.6	4.1	0.9				16.3	2nd
3rd							0.1	1.8	6.2	7.3	2.9	0.3					18.5	3rd
4th					0.0	0.2	2.8	7.2	6.0	1.6	0.0						17.8	4th
5th				0.0	0.4	3.6	6.7	4.0	0.6	0.0							15.3	5th
6th			0.0	0.7	3.3	4.3	2.0	0.2									10.5	6th
7th		0.1	0.7	2.3	2.3	0.7	0.0										6.1	7th
8th	0.2	0.7	1.0	0.8	0.2	0.0											2.8	8th

Total	0.2	0.8	1.8	3.8	6.1	8.9	11.5	13.2	13.6	12.9	11.0	8.1	5.0	2.5	0.7			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.7		0.7
13-1	100.0%	2.5		2.3	0.2
12-2	82.2%	4.1		2.7	1.3	0.1
11-3	45.8%	3.7		1.5	1.7	0.5	0.0
10-4	13.1%	1.4		0.3	0.6	0.5	0.1
9-5	2.0%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
8-6	0.0%	0.0			0.0		0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	12.6%	12.6		7.5	3.9	1.1	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.7%		57.8%	57.8%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3
13-1	2.5%		49.5%	49.5%		15.9													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	1.1	1.3
12-2	5.0%		35.8%	35.8%		15.9															0.0	0.1	1.7	3.2
11-3	8.1%		28.4%	28.4%		16.0															0.0	0.0	2.3	5.8
10-4	11.0%		21.3%	21.3%		16.0																	2.3	8.7
9-5	12.9%		12.0%	12.0%		16.0																0.0	1.5	11.4
8-6	13.6%		6.2%	6.2%		16.0																	0.8	12.8
7-7	13.2%		3.5%	3.5%		16.0																	0.5	12.7
6-8	11.5%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																	0.2	11.3
5-9	8.9%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	8.8
4-10	6.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.1
3-11	3.8%																							3.8
2-12	1.8%																							1.8
1-13	0.8%																							0.8
0-14	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		11.2%	11.2%	0.0%	16.0													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	10.8	88.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%