IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Dartmouth
Ivy League
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.9	#270
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.3	#174
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.1	#322

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.8	#199

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.8%	9.0%	2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.6	14.1	14.9

.500 or above	18.6%	44.2%	13.8%
.500 or above in Conference	36.1%	57.8%	32.1%
Conference Champion	5.1%	11.7%	3.8%
Last Place in Conference	22.8%	10.2%	25.1%

First Four	0.5%	0.4%	0.5%
First Round	3.6%	8.9%	2.6%
Second Round	0.3%	0.9%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Away) - 15.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 6	2 - 11
Quad 4	6 - 5	9 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	144	@ Boston College	L	68-79	16%
Nov 13, 2021	86	@ Georgetown	L	64-79	8%
Nov 28, 2021	206	@ Bryant	L	75-82	28%
Dec 01, 2021	116	@ Vermont	L	61-74	14%
Dec 04, 2021	222	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	70-76	32%
Dec 08, 2021	261	Quinnipiac	W	73-71	58%
Dec 11, 2021	197	Boston University	L	67-68	46%
Dec 16, 2021	71	@ Stanford	L	60-77	8%
Dec 19, 2021	113	@ California	L	59-72	15%
Dec 21, 2021	203	@ Cal St. Bakersfield	L	61-68	28%
Dec 29, 2021	241	New Hampshire	W	68-66	55%
Jan 02, 2022	290	@ Cornell	L	69-71	44%
Jan 07, 2022	126	Yale	L	68-74	32%
Jan 08, 2022	237	Brown	W	68-67	53%
Jan 15, 2022	187	@ Penn	L	66-74	26%
Jan 17, 2022	160	Harvard	L	68-71	39%
Jan 22, 2022	168	Princeton	L	69-72	40%
Jan 29, 2022	315	@ Columbia	L	68-69	49%
Feb 04, 2022	126	@ Yale	L	65-77	18%
Feb 05, 2022	237	@ Brown	L	65-70	35%
Feb 12, 2022	168	@ Princeton	L	66-75	24%
Feb 18, 2022	290	Cornell	W	72-68	63%
Feb 19, 2022	315	Columbia	W	72-66	67%
Feb 26, 2022	187	Penn	L	69-71	44%
Mar 05, 2022	160	@ Harvard	L	65-74	23%
Projected Record						9 - 16	6 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ivy League Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.3	1.2	1.6	1.3	0.5	0.1		5.1	1st
2nd								0.0	1.0	2.8	2.6	1.0	0.1				7.5	2nd
3rd							0.1	1.8	4.5	3.1	0.7	0.0					10.2	3rd
4th					0.0	0.2	2.8	5.9	3.3	0.5	0.0						12.7	4th
5th					0.5	4.1	7.0	3.3	0.4	0.0							15.3	5th
6th			0.0	1.3	5.3	7.3	2.7	0.2									16.8	6th
7th		0.3	2.7	6.4	5.9	1.8	0.1										17.3	7th
8th	1.6	4.3	5.3	3.1	0.8	0.0											15.1	8th

Total	1.6	4.6	8.1	10.9	12.6	13.5	12.7	11.3	9.1	6.7	4.5	2.6	1.4	0.5	0.1			Total

Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
13-1	100.0%	0.5		0.5	0.0
12-2	90.4%	1.3		1.0	0.3	0.0
11-3	60.7%	1.6		0.9	0.6	0.1	0.0
10-4	27.3%	1.2		0.4	0.6	0.3	0.0
9-5	4.6%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
8-6	0.3%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	5.1%	5.1		2.9	1.6	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.1%		100.0%	100.0%		12.5						0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-1	0.5%		99.6%	99.2%	0.4%	13.9											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		53.8%
12-2	1.4%		81.1%	80.9%	0.2%	14.3											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.3		0.9%
11-3	2.6%		46.4%	46.4%		14.9												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.4	1.4
10-4	4.5%		16.1%	16.1%		15.3													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	3.7
9-5	6.7%		1.5%	1.5%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	6.6
8-6	9.1%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	9.1
7-7	11.3%																							11.3
6-8	12.7%																							12.7
5-9	13.5%																							13.5
4-10	12.6%																							12.6
3-11	10.9%																							10.9
2-12	8.1%																							8.1
1-13	4.6%																							4.6
0-14	1.6%																							1.6

Total	100%		3.8%	3.8%	0.0%	14.6						0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.9	1.2	1.0	96.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.6%