Preseason Rankings
DePaul
Big East
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.1#112
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.4#83
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#146
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#93
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 2.9% 3.0% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.7% 12.2% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 10.3% 10.7% 0.8%
Average Seed 8.4 8.4 9.7
.500 or above 33.6% 34.9% 5.6%
.500 or above in Conference 20.4% 21.1% 3.7%
Conference Champion 1.3% 1.3% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 31.7% 30.4% 60.3%
First Four1.7% 1.8% 0.1%
First Round10.8% 11.2% 1.2%
Second Round5.2% 5.4% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen1.7% 1.8% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coppin St. (Home) - 95.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 10
Quad 23 - 55 - 15
Quad 34 - 29 - 18
Quad 45 - 114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 336   Coppin St. W 91-72 96%    
  Nov 13, 2021 279   Central Michigan W 86-73 89%    
  Nov 18, 2021 50   Rutgers L 69-72 40%    
  Nov 20, 2021 274   Western Illinois W 85-72 88%    
  Nov 26, 2021 166   Northern Kentucky W 74-67 72%    
  Nov 28, 2021 300   Eastern Michigan W 79-64 89%    
  Dec 04, 2021 46   Loyola Chicago L 65-68 40%    
  Dec 07, 2021 162   Duquesne W 76-69 71%    
  Dec 10, 2021 27   @ Louisville L 65-76 18%    
  Dec 14, 2021 253   @ Illinois-Chicago W 75-69 70%    
  Dec 18, 2021 58   @ Northwestern L 68-76 26%    
  Dec 20, 2021 48   Creighton L 72-75 41%    
  Dec 23, 2021 41   Seton Hall L 69-73 38%    
  Dec 29, 2021 64   @ Butler L 65-72 28%    
  Jan 01, 2022 65   Providence L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 05, 2022 52   @ St. John's L 75-83 25%    
  Jan 08, 2022 6   Villanova L 65-74 24%    
  Jan 11, 2022 78   @ Marquette L 69-75 32%    
  Jan 19, 2022 37   Xavier L 72-76 37%    
  Jan 22, 2022 48   @ Creighton L 69-78 24%    
  Jan 25, 2022 6   @ Villanova L 62-77 12%    
  Jan 29, 2022 25   Connecticut L 66-72 32%    
  Feb 05, 2022 37   @ Xavier L 69-79 21%    
  Feb 09, 2022 86   Georgetown W 75-74 53%    
  Feb 12, 2022 65   @ Providence L 67-74 28%    
  Feb 15, 2022 64   Butler L 68-69 45%    
  Feb 19, 2022 41   @ Seton Hall L 66-76 21%    
  Feb 24, 2022 86   @ Georgetown L 72-77 34%    
  Feb 27, 2022 52   St. John's L 78-80 42%    
  Mar 02, 2022 78   Marquette W 73-72 50%    
  Mar 05, 2022 25   @ Connecticut L 63-75 18%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.6 1.5 0.6 0.1 4.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.3 1.9 0.6 0.1 5.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.7 2.4 0.6 0.1 7.0 6th
7th 0.3 1.6 3.5 2.8 0.7 0.1 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.3 3.1 0.8 0.0 11.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.6 5.1 3.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 13.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 3.1 5.3 5.2 2.7 0.6 0.0 17.9 10th
11th 1.8 4.2 6.0 5.9 3.8 1.5 0.3 0.0 23.6 11th
Total 1.8 4.3 6.9 9.1 10.4 10.9 10.7 9.6 8.6 7.3 6.1 4.6 3.6 2.5 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 98.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 80.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1
16-4 58.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 34.0% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 8.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 100.0% 34.7% 65.3% 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 42.2% 57.8% 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.3% 100.0% 25.9% 74.1% 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.5% 99.0% 24.2% 74.8% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.7%
15-5 1.1% 96.1% 17.6% 78.5% 5.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.3%
14-6 1.6% 92.6% 13.5% 79.0% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 91.4%
13-7 2.5% 80.5% 9.0% 71.6% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 78.6%
12-8 3.6% 62.9% 5.6% 57.3% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.3 60.7%
11-9 4.6% 43.4% 4.1% 39.3% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.6 40.9%
10-10 6.1% 21.8% 2.3% 19.6% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 4.8 20.0%
9-11 7.3% 6.8% 1.2% 5.6% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 6.8 5.7%
8-12 8.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.8% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5 0.8%
7-13 9.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.6 0.0%
6-14 10.7% 0.1% 0.1% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.7
5-15 10.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.9
4-16 10.4% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 10.4
3-17 9.1% 9.1
2-18 6.9% 6.9
1-19 4.3% 4.3
0-20 1.8% 1.8
Total 100% 11.7% 1.6% 10.1% 8.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 88.3 10.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%