Preseason Rankings
Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#219
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace77.6#27
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#190
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#250
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.9% 15.4% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 13.4 14.6
.500 or above 40.9% 76.3% 37.7%
.500 or above in Conference 57.1% 81.6% 54.9%
Conference Champion 7.3% 17.6% 6.4%
Last Place in Conference 5.0% 0.9% 5.4%
First Four1.0% 0.8% 1.0%
First Round6.5% 14.9% 5.7%
Second Round0.6% 2.4% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nevada (Away) - 8.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 31 - 6
Quad 33 - 63 - 11
Quad 410 - 514 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 63   @ Nevada L 73-88 8%    
  Nov 12, 2021 208   @ UC Davis L 76-80 37%    
  Nov 19, 2021 296   @ Cal St. Northridge W 82-81 55%    
  Nov 27, 2021 69   @ Washington St. L 68-82 11%    
  Dec 02, 2021 122   Southern Utah L 79-82 40%    
  Dec 04, 2021 326   @ Nebraska Omaha W 83-79 63%    
  Dec 08, 2021 47   @ Colorado L 66-82 9%    
  Dec 11, 2021 313   @ North Dakota W 79-76 58%    
  Dec 22, 2021 21   @ Texas Tech L 63-82 6%    
  Dec 30, 2021 220   @ Portland St. L 77-80 41%    
  Jan 01, 2022 324   @ Northern Arizona W 74-70 62%    
  Jan 06, 2022 161   Montana L 73-74 49%    
  Jan 08, 2022 341   Idaho W 82-69 85%    
  Jan 13, 2022 236   @ Idaho St. L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 15, 2022 129   @ Weber St. L 79-87 25%    
  Jan 20, 2022 287   Sacramento St. W 77-70 70%    
  Jan 22, 2022 201   Northern Colorado W 79-77 56%    
  Jan 27, 2022 204   @ Montana St. L 75-79 38%    
  Jan 29, 2022 161   @ Montana L 71-77 31%    
  Feb 05, 2022 122   @ Southern Utah L 76-85 24%    
  Feb 10, 2022 129   Weber St. L 82-84 42%    
  Feb 12, 2022 236   Idaho St. W 74-70 62%    
  Feb 17, 2022 204   Montana St. W 78-76 56%    
  Feb 19, 2022 341   @ Idaho W 79-72 70%    
  Feb 24, 2022 201   @ Northern Colorado L 76-80 38%    
  Feb 26, 2022 287   @ Sacramento St. W 74-73 52%    
  Mar 03, 2022 324   Northern Arizona W 77-67 78%    
  Mar 05, 2022 220   Portland St. W 80-77 60%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.8 1.9 1.2 0.6 0.2 7.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.4 3.0 1.8 0.6 0.1 9.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.7 3.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 10.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 2.6 4.2 2.8 0.8 0.1 11.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.1 4.4 2.4 0.5 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.7 4.4 2.1 0.3 0.0 11.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.8 3.7 1.5 0.2 11.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.7 3.0 1.0 0.1 10.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 3.0 1.9 0.6 0.1 8.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.8 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.1 11th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.2 4.4 6.1 7.5 8.7 9.4 9.8 9.7 8.8 8.2 6.7 5.5 3.8 2.5 1.3 0.6 0.2 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
18-2 94.0% 1.2    1.1 0.1
17-3 76.7% 1.9    1.4 0.5 0.0
16-4 46.9% 1.8    1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0
15-5 20.9% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
14-6 6.0% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 7.3% 7.3 4.7 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 73.7% 63.3% 10.4% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 28.4%
19-1 0.6% 58.3% 52.8% 5.5% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 11.6%
18-2 1.3% 44.9% 43.3% 1.5% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7 2.7%
17-3 2.5% 34.2% 34.0% 0.2% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.6 0.3%
16-4 3.8% 24.1% 24.0% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 2.9 0.1%
15-5 5.5% 19.7% 19.7% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 4.4 0.0%
14-6 6.7% 12.8% 12.8% 14.9 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 5.9
13-7 8.2% 9.4% 9.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 7.4
12-8 8.8% 6.1% 6.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 8.3
11-9 9.7% 4.0% 4.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 9.3
10-10 9.8% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 9.6
9-11 9.4% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.3
8-12 8.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 8.6
7-13 7.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.5
6-14 6.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.1
5-15 4.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.4
4-16 3.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.2
3-17 1.9% 1.9
2-18 1.0% 1.0
1-19 0.4% 0.4
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.9% 6.8% 0.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.6 1.9 1.8 93.1 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%