Preseason Rankings
Gardner-Webb
Big South
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#225
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.3#256
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#225
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#240
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.0% 20.2% 9.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.5 15.2
.500 or above 56.9% 82.2% 49.7%
.500 or above in Conference 75.4% 89.3% 71.4%
Conference Champion 14.5% 25.8% 11.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 0.7% 3.2%
First Four2.7% 2.3% 2.9%
First Round10.6% 19.1% 8.2%
Second Round0.7% 1.8% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNLV (Away) - 22.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 412 - 515 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 145   @ UNLV L 65-73 22%    
  Nov 13, 2021 17   @ Arkansas L 65-85 3%    
  Nov 16, 2021 10   @ Duke L 61-83 3%    
  Nov 27, 2021 309   Western Carolina W 78-70 75%    
  Nov 29, 2021 339   NC Central W 74-62 85%    
  Dec 04, 2021 183   @ East Carolina L 67-73 32%    
  Dec 08, 2021 139   Wofford L 68-70 43%    
  Dec 11, 2021 218   @ VMI L 73-77 39%    
  Dec 15, 2021 339   @ NC Central W 71-65 69%    
  Dec 29, 2021 133   @ Georgia L 72-81 24%    
  Jan 05, 2022 335   @ Charleston Southern W 74-69 66%    
  Jan 08, 2022 329   Hampton W 79-69 79%    
  Jan 12, 2022 319   Presbyterian W 72-63 76%    
  Jan 15, 2022 249   @ Longwood L 66-67 45%    
  Jan 19, 2022 343   South Carolina Upstate W 78-65 84%    
  Jan 22, 2022 143   @ Winthrop L 72-80 26%    
  Jan 26, 2022 252   @ UNC Asheville L 72-73 46%    
  Jan 29, 2022 264   Radford W 68-63 66%    
  Feb 02, 2022 299   @ High Point W 69-68 53%    
  Feb 05, 2022 286   N.C. A&T W 76-70 69%    
  Feb 09, 2022 200   @ Campbell L 64-69 36%    
  Feb 12, 2022 335   Charleston Southern W 77-66 80%    
  Feb 16, 2022 143   Winthrop L 75-77 43%    
  Feb 19, 2022 319   @ Presbyterian W 69-66 58%    
  Feb 23, 2022 252   UNC Asheville W 75-70 64%    
  Feb 26, 2022 343   @ South Carolina Upstate W 75-68 70%    
Projected Record 14 - 12 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.9 4.5 3.0 0.9 14.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.2 5.5 3.9 1.1 0.1 14.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.7 6.0 3.2 0.6 0.0 14.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.5 5.4 2.7 0.3 0.0 12.3 4th
5th 0.2 2.7 5.2 2.4 0.2 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 4.4 2.2 0.2 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 3.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 7.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 2.7 2.2 0.4 0.0 6.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.8 1.9 0.4 0.0 4.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.8 4.5 6.3 8.4 10.1 11.8 12.3 12.4 10.9 8.3 5.5 3.0 0.9 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.9    0.9
15-1 98.3% 3.0    2.6 0.3
14-2 80.8% 4.5    3.0 1.4 0.1
13-3 47.1% 3.9    1.7 1.8 0.4 0.0
12-4 17.0% 1.9    0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-5 2.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 14.5% 14.5 8.7 4.4 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.9% 57.4% 56.2% 1.2% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 2.7%
15-1 3.0% 47.6% 47.3% 0.3% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.6 0.5%
14-2 5.5% 37.5% 37.5% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.3 3.5
13-3 8.3% 27.2% 27.2% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.6 6.1
12-4 10.9% 18.4% 18.4% 15.4 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 8.9
11-5 12.4% 12.2% 12.2% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 10.9
10-6 12.3% 8.0% 8.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 11.3
9-7 11.8% 5.6% 5.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 11.2
8-8 10.1% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3 9.8
7-9 8.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 8.3
6-10 6.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.3
5-11 4.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.5
4-12 2.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.8
3-13 1.5% 1.5
2-14 0.8% 0.8
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.0% 11.9% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.1 3.5 4.9 88.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%