Preseason Rankings
Harvard
Ivy League
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#160
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.3#170
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#179
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#158
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.6% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.0% 29.4% 14.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.0 14.1
.500 or above 69.0% 86.9% 59.1%
.500 or above in Conference 76.7% 86.9% 71.0%
Conference Champion 25.0% 35.3% 19.2%
Last Place in Conference 4.5% 1.8% 6.0%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.6%
First Round19.7% 29.2% 14.5%
Second Round3.0% 5.5% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 1.4% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iona (Away) - 35.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 33 - 44 - 8
Quad 410 - 314 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 146   @ Iona L 69-73 36%    
  Nov 17, 2021 244   @ Albany W 72-70 58%    
  Nov 22, 2021 227   @ Siena W 69-68 54%    
  Nov 24, 2021 105   Colgate L 77-78 45%    
  Nov 27, 2021 134   Northeastern W 70-69 54%    
  Dec 01, 2021 101   Rhode Island L 71-73 44%    
  Dec 04, 2021 119   @ Massachusetts L 73-79 31%    
  Dec 19, 2021 321   Holy Cross W 80-67 85%    
  Dec 21, 2021 332   Howard W 86-71 88%    
  Dec 29, 2021 4   @ Kansas L 62-82 6%    
  Jan 02, 2022 168   Princeton W 74-71 61%    
  Jan 07, 2022 237   Brown W 73-66 72%    
  Jan 09, 2022 126   Yale W 73-72 52%    
  Jan 15, 2022 315   @ Columbia W 73-67 69%    
  Jan 17, 2022 270   @ Dartmouth W 71-68 61%    
  Jan 22, 2022 290   @ Cornell W 74-70 64%    
  Jan 28, 2022 187   Penn W 74-69 64%    
  Feb 04, 2022 237   @ Brown W 70-69 55%    
  Feb 05, 2022 126   @ Yale L 70-75 34%    
  Feb 12, 2022 187   @ Penn L 71-72 45%    
  Feb 18, 2022 315   Columbia W 76-64 83%    
  Feb 19, 2022 290   Cornell W 77-67 80%    
  Feb 26, 2022 168   @ Princeton L 71-74 42%    
  Mar 05, 2022 270   Dartmouth W 74-65 77%    
Projected Record 14 - 10 9 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 3.2 6.5 7.5 5.2 2.0 25.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 5.4 7.7 4.6 1.0 20.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 6.4 6.3 2.1 0.2 17.1 3rd
4th 0.2 1.9 5.7 4.5 0.9 0.0 13.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.6 3.1 0.4 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.5 1.8 0.2 0.0 7.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.9 1.0 0.1 4.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.5 8th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.4 4.1 6.5 8.5 10.9 12.7 13.2 13.0 11.2 8.5 5.2 2.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 2.0    2.0
13-1 100.0% 5.2    5.0 0.3
12-2 88.6% 7.5    5.7 1.8 0.0
11-3 57.6% 6.5    3.3 2.8 0.4 0.0
10-4 24.3% 3.2    0.8 1.5 0.7 0.1
9-5 4.3% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 25.0% 25.0 16.7 6.6 1.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 2.0% 100.0% 100.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-1 5.2% 97.9% 97.7% 0.2% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.8 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.1 9.3%
12-2 8.5% 78.7% 77.9% 0.8% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.3 1.3 0.3 1.8 3.5%
11-3 11.2% 41.0% 40.5% 0.5% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.5 0.6 6.6 0.9%
10-4 13.0% 11.3% 11.2% 0.1% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 11.5 0.1%
9-5 13.2% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.1 0.0%
8-6 12.7% 12.7
7-7 10.9% 10.9
6-8 8.5% 8.5
5-9 6.5% 6.5
4-10 4.1% 4.1
3-11 2.4% 2.4
2-12 1.3% 1.3
1-13 0.5% 0.5
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 20.0% 19.8% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 2.4 5.2 5.6 4.0 1.4 80.0 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 4.6 2.3 12.7 13.1 22.3 23.1 13.1 2.7 10.4 0.4
Lose Out 0.0%