Preseason Rankings
Kansas St.
Big 12
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.1#89
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.1#303
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#145
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+5.0#54
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 2.3% 2.4% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 5.2% 5.5% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.1% 18.0% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 15.8% 16.6% 2.1%
Average Seed 7.9 7.9 9.4
.500 or above 40.5% 42.4% 9.4%
.500 or above in Conference 21.5% 22.4% 5.4%
Conference Champion 1.5% 1.6% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 25.1% 23.8% 48.3%
First Four2.2% 2.3% 0.4%
First Round16.0% 16.8% 2.1%
Second Round8.5% 9.0% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen3.2% 3.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight1.3% 1.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida A&M (Home) - 94.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 11
Quad 23 - 45 - 15
Quad 33 - 18 - 16
Quad 47 - 115 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 304   Florida A&M W 74-57 94%    
  Nov 17, 2021 326   Nebraska Omaha W 80-61 96%    
  Nov 22, 2021 17   Arkansas L 68-76 25%    
  Nov 28, 2021 313   North Dakota W 77-59 93%    
  Dec 01, 2021 244   Albany W 74-60 87%    
  Dec 05, 2021 54   @ Wichita St. L 62-68 30%    
  Dec 08, 2021 78   Marquette W 68-66 57%    
  Dec 12, 2021 316   Green Bay W 76-58 93%    
  Dec 19, 2021 75   @ Nebraska L 69-73 36%    
  Dec 21, 2021 331   McNeese St. W 79-59 95%    
  Dec 29, 2021 256   Morgan St. W 79-65 87%    
  Jan 01, 2022 40   @ Oklahoma L 62-70 26%    
  Jan 04, 2022 7   Texas L 64-71 28%    
  Jan 08, 2022 32   @ West Virginia L 64-73 24%    
  Jan 12, 2022 80   TCU W 67-65 57%    
  Jan 15, 2022 21   Texas Tech L 61-65 36%    
  Jan 18, 2022 7   @ Texas L 61-74 15%    
  Jan 22, 2022 4   Kansas L 64-72 26%    
  Jan 25, 2022 9   @ Baylor L 61-74 15%    
  Jan 29, 2022 66   @ Mississippi L 60-65 33%    
  Feb 02, 2022 35   Oklahoma St. L 69-72 41%    
  Feb 05, 2022 80   @ TCU L 64-68 39%    
  Feb 09, 2022 9   Baylor L 64-71 29%    
  Feb 12, 2022 127   @ Iowa St. W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 14, 2022 32   West Virginia L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 19, 2022 35   @ Oklahoma St. L 66-75 24%    
  Feb 22, 2022 4   @ Kansas L 61-75 14%    
  Feb 26, 2022 127   Iowa St. W 72-66 69%    
  Feb 28, 2022 21   @ Texas Tech L 58-68 21%    
  Mar 05, 2022 40   Oklahoma L 65-67 44%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 3.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.4 1.6 0.5 0.0 5.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.2 1.8 0.4 0.0 7.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 2.9 4.2 2.1 0.4 0.0 10.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.4 5.1 2.4 0.3 0.0 14.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.2 5.9 5.2 1.9 0.2 0.0 17.1 8th
9th 0.2 2.3 5.5 6.5 4.0 1.3 0.1 20.0 9th
10th 1.7 4.3 5.5 4.0 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 17.5 10th
Total 1.7 4.5 7.8 10.1 11.5 12.0 11.6 10.4 8.9 6.8 5.3 3.7 2.5 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 90.1% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 74.7% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 51.6% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1
13-5 20.9% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 53.4% 46.6% 1.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 35.5% 64.5% 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 27.8% 72.2% 2.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.4% 100.0% 16.0% 84.0% 3.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.9% 100.0% 19.7% 80.3% 4.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.6% 98.6% 12.3% 86.3% 5.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.4%
12-6 2.5% 92.9% 8.5% 84.4% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 92.3%
11-7 3.7% 83.4% 5.1% 78.3% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 82.5%
10-8 5.3% 65.3% 3.7% 61.6% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.8 64.0%
9-9 6.8% 42.6% 2.6% 40.1% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.0 3.9 41.1%
8-10 8.9% 17.2% 1.4% 15.8% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 7.3 16.0%
7-11 10.4% 4.6% 0.5% 4.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 9.9 4.1%
6-12 11.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.6% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5 0.6%
5-13 12.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 0.1%
4-14 11.5% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 11.5
3-15 10.1% 0.0% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 10.1
2-16 7.8% 7.8
1-17 4.5% 4.5
0-18 1.7% 1.7
Total 100% 17.1% 1.6% 15.6% 7.9 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.0 2.0 2.1 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 82.9 15.8%