Preseason Rankings
Marquette
Big East
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.1#78
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.2#205
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#86
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#70
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.3% 1.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 4.4% 4.5% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 8.8% 9.1% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.0% 25.6% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 22.0% 22.6% 2.5%
Average Seed 7.6 7.6 10.5
.500 or above 44.6% 45.7% 9.2%
.500 or above in Conference 37.7% 38.5% 10.4%
Conference Champion 3.8% 3.9% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 16.5% 15.8% 42.0%
First Four3.0% 3.1% 1.0%
First Round23.5% 24.1% 2.5%
Second Round13.0% 13.4% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen5.1% 5.3% 0.3%
Elite Eight2.0% 2.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Championship Game0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: SIU Edwardsville (Home) - 97.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 10
Quad 24 - 47 - 14
Quad 34 - 210 - 16
Quad 44 - 014 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 328   SIU Edwardsville W 80-60 97%    
  Nov 12, 2021 241   New Hampshire W 76-61 91%    
  Nov 15, 2021 8   Illinois L 71-77 30%    
  Nov 18, 2021 66   Mississippi L 65-66 45%    
  Nov 27, 2021 314   Northern Illinois W 77-58 94%    
  Nov 30, 2021 262   Jackson St. W 76-60 90%    
  Dec 04, 2021 43   @ Wisconsin L 62-69 29%    
  Dec 08, 2021 89   @ Kansas St. L 66-68 43%    
  Dec 11, 2021 3   UCLA L 64-71 28%    
  Dec 18, 2021 37   @ Xavier L 69-76 27%    
  Dec 21, 2021 25   Connecticut L 66-69 41%    
  Dec 29, 2021 52   @ St. John's L 74-80 33%    
  Jan 01, 2022 48   Creighton W 72-71 50%    
  Jan 04, 2022 65   Providence W 70-68 55%    
  Jan 07, 2022 86   @ Georgetown L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 11, 2022 112   DePaul W 75-69 68%    
  Jan 15, 2022 41   Seton Hall L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 19, 2022 6   @ Villanova L 62-74 17%    
  Jan 23, 2022 37   Xavier L 72-73 45%    
  Jan 26, 2022 41   @ Seton Hall L 66-73 29%    
  Jan 29, 2022 65   @ Providence L 67-71 36%    
  Feb 02, 2022 6   Villanova L 65-71 31%    
  Feb 08, 2022 25   @ Connecticut L 63-72 24%    
  Feb 12, 2022 64   @ Butler L 65-69 36%    
  Feb 16, 2022 86   Georgetown W 74-70 62%    
  Feb 20, 2022 48   @ Creighton L 69-75 33%    
  Feb 26, 2022 64   Butler W 68-66 55%    
  Mar 02, 2022 112   @ DePaul L 72-73 50%    
  Mar 05, 2022 52   St. John's W 78-77 52%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.8 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.4 1.4 0.4 0.1 6.7 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 2.5 2.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 7.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.2 3.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 9.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.6 3.6 1.2 0.1 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.6 4.0 3.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 10.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.0 4.1 3.4 1.1 0.1 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.0 4.3 2.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 12.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.8 3.4 3.8 2.1 0.6 0.1 12.2 10th
11th 0.5 1.8 2.7 3.1 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 11.4 11th
Total 0.5 1.8 3.2 4.9 6.4 8.1 8.9 9.2 9.7 9.5 8.7 7.6 6.2 5.2 3.8 2.7 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 95.3% 0.5    0.4 0.0
17-3 82.9% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
16-4 57.7% 1.0    0.6 0.3 0.0
15-5 27.6% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 11.0% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 100.0% 59.5% 40.5% 1.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.2% 100.0% 41.5% 58.5% 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.5% 100.0% 40.6% 59.4% 2.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.0% 99.8% 33.9% 65.9% 3.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
16-4 1.7% 99.9% 24.8% 75.1% 4.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
15-5 2.7% 98.1% 17.0% 81.1% 5.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 97.7%
14-6 3.8% 94.4% 13.7% 80.7% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 93.5%
13-7 5.2% 85.4% 9.7% 75.6% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 83.8%
12-8 6.2% 68.1% 6.7% 61.4% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.0 65.8%
11-9 7.6% 46.7% 4.4% 42.3% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.1 4.1 44.3%
10-10 8.7% 23.9% 3.1% 20.8% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 6.6 21.5%
9-11 9.5% 8.1% 1.9% 6.2% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.8 6.4%
8-12 9.7% 2.1% 0.7% 1.4% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.5 1.4%
7-13 9.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1 0.1%
6-14 8.9% 0.1% 0.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 8.9
5-15 8.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.1
4-16 6.4% 6.4
3-17 4.9% 4.9
2-18 3.2% 3.2
1-19 1.8% 1.8
0-20 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 25.0% 3.9% 21.1% 7.6 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.6 2.1 2.4 2.7 3.0 2.7 2.5 2.8 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 75.0 22.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.1 87.5 12.5
Lose Out 0.0%