IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-21.3	#356
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.3	#177
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-14.7	#358

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.6	#340

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.7%	3.5%	0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	1.0%	10.8%	0.8%
.500 or above in Conference	12.3%	38.3%	11.8%
Conference Champion	0.6%	3.9%	0.5%
Last Place in Conference	45.0%	19.2%	45.4%

First Four	0.7%	3.2%	0.6%
First Round	0.2%	2.1%	0.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Saint Joseph's (Away) - 1.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	0 - 5	0 - 8
Quad 4	4 - 14	4 - 21

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	193	@ Saint Joseph's	L	61-84	2%
Nov 10, 2021	120	@ Temple	L	52-80	1%
Nov 19, 2021	275	@ Fordham	L	50-68	6%
Nov 24, 2021	200	@ Campbell	L	53-75	3%
Nov 27, 2021	110	@ Liberty	L	48-77	1%
Nov 30, 2021	25	@ Connecticut	L	46-83	0.1%
Dec 04, 2021	297	@ Lehigh	L	61-78	8%
Dec 20, 2021	178	@ Charlotte	L	49-73	3%
Dec 22, 2021	238	@ George Washington	L	59-79	5%
Dec 28, 2021	315	@ Columbia	L	59-75	10%
Dec 30, 2021	249	Longwood	L	57-70	14%
Jan 08, 2022	291	Norfolk St.	L	61-72	18%
Jan 10, 2022	332	@ Howard	L	68-81	15%
Jan 15, 2022	354	@ Delaware St.	L	73-78	34%
Jan 22, 2022	352	South Carolina St.	W	72-71	50%
Jan 24, 2022	339	NC Central	L	62-68	32%
Jan 29, 2022	336	@ Coppin St.	L	69-82	16%
Jan 31, 2022	256	Morgan St.	L	66-79	15%
Feb 12, 2022	291	@ Norfolk St.	L	58-75	9%
Feb 14, 2022	332	Howard	L	71-78	29%
Feb 19, 2022	352	@ South Carolina St.	L	69-75	33%
Feb 21, 2022	339	@ NC Central	L	59-71	18%
Feb 26, 2022	336	Coppin St.	L	72-79	31%
Feb 28, 2022	256	@ Morgan St.	L	63-82	7%
Mar 03, 2022	354	Delaware St.	W	76-75	53%
Projected Record						4 - 21	4 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.6	1st
2nd								0.0	0.3	0.7	0.6	0.2	0.0				1.7	2nd
3rd							0.1	0.9	1.6	1.0	0.2	0.0					3.7	3rd
4th					0.0	0.3	1.9	2.9	1.4	0.2							6.7	4th
5th				0.0	0.9	4.1	4.5	1.6	0.1								11.1	5th
6th			0.1	2.6	7.1	6.0	1.8	0.2	0.0								17.8	6th
7th		1.1	7.0	10.3	5.8	1.2	0.0										25.4	7th
8th	6.9	12.5	9.5	3.7	0.6	0.0											33.1	8th

Total	6.9	13.6	16.6	16.6	14.3	11.5	8.3	5.6	3.4	1.8	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
13-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
12-2	83.2%	0.1		0.1	0.0
11-3	55.9%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
10-4	17.4%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
9-5	3.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
8-6	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	0.6%	0.6		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.0%																							0.0
13-1	0.0%		15.7%	15.7%		16.0																	0.0	0.0
12-2	0.1%		32.5%	32.5%		16.0																0.0	0.0	0.1
11-3	0.4%		16.4%	16.4%		16.0																	0.1	0.3
10-4	1.0%		16.9%	16.9%		16.0																	0.2	0.8
9-5	1.8%		5.6%	5.6%		16.0																	0.1	1.7
8-6	3.4%		3.7%	3.7%		16.0																	0.1	3.3
7-7	5.6%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	5.5
6-8	8.3%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	8.2
5-9	11.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.5
4-10	14.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	14.3
3-11	16.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	16.6
2-12	16.6%																							16.6
1-13	13.6%																							13.6
0-14	6.9%																							6.9

Total	100%		0.7%	0.7%	0.0%	16.0																0.0	0.7	99.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	6.1%