IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.8	#267
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.6	#111
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.5	#281

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.3	#249

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.7%	0.7%	0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.6	13.6	15.5

.500 or above	17.9%	19.7%	2.7%
.500 or above in Conference	18.1%	19.7%	4.6%
Conference Champion	0.6%	0.7%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	27.5%	25.2%	46.7%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
First Round	0.6%	0.7%	0.1%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Bethune-Cookman (Home) - 89.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 4	1 - 7
Quad 3	2 - 8	3 - 14
Quad 4	7 - 5	10 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 12, 2021	350	Bethune-Cookman	W	79-65	89%
Nov 16, 2021	143	Winthrop	L	76-81	34%
Nov 19, 2021	153	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	69-79	20%
Nov 23, 2021	248	Rider	L	72-73	47%
Dec 01, 2021	349	Tennessee Martin	W	80-67	86%
Dec 04, 2021	125	@ Murray St.	L	64-76	16%
Dec 11, 2021	349	@ Tennessee Martin	W	77-70	71%
Dec 15, 2021	66	@ Mississippi	L	59-76	8%
Dec 19, 2021	190	Coastal Carolina	L	75-77	45%
Dec 22, 2021	135	@ Chattanooga	L	66-77	18%
Dec 30, 2021	207	Texas San Antonio	L	77-78	48%
Jan 01, 2022	163	UTEP	L	69-72	40%
Jan 06, 2022	173	@ Rice	L	72-81	24%
Jan 08, 2022	123	@ North Texas	L	60-72	17%
Jan 13, 2022	159	Florida Atlantic	L	70-73	39%
Jan 15, 2022	273	Florida International	W	76-73	60%
Jan 22, 2022	195	Southern Miss	L	69-70	46%
Jan 27, 2022	118	@ Marshall	L	73-85	16%
Jan 29, 2022	100	@ Western Kentucky	L	65-79	13%
Feb 05, 2022	74	@ UAB	L	63-79	10%
Feb 10, 2022	131	Old Dominion	L	68-73	34%
Feb 13, 2022	178	Charlotte	L	65-67	43%
Feb 17, 2022	273	@ Florida International	L	73-76	41%
Feb 19, 2022	159	@ Florida Atlantic	L	67-76	23%
Feb 24, 2022	118	Marshall	L	76-82	31%
Feb 26, 2022	100	Western Kentucky	L	68-76	26%
Mar 02, 2022	178	@ Charlotte	L	62-70	26%
Mar 05, 2022	131	@ Old Dominion	L	65-76	19%
Projected Record						10 - 18	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Conference USA Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.6	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0				1.0	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.4	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0					1.7	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	1.1	0.8	0.2	0.0						2.4	4th
5th								0.0	0.0	0.5	1.4	1.2	0.2	0.0							3.3	5th
6th								0.0	0.2	1.5	1.7	0.5	0.0								3.9	6th
7th							0.0	0.2	1.6	2.5	0.8	0.1									5.2	7th
8th							0.1	1.4	3.1	1.5	0.1										6.3	8th
9th						0.1	1.3	3.4	2.2	0.3	0.0										7.4	9th
10th					0.1	1.1	3.9	3.4	0.5	0.0											9.1	10th
11th				0.1	1.3	4.4	4.2	1.0	0.0												11.0	11th
12th			0.2	1.7	4.9	4.9	1.6	0.1													13.5	12th
13th		0.5	2.8	5.7	4.9	1.7	0.2	0.0													15.7	13th
14th	2.4	5.4	6.0	3.7	1.2	0.2															18.8	14th

Total	2.4	5.8	9.0	11.2	12.3	12.4	11.2	9.7	7.8	6.3	4.4	3.2	2.0	1.1	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	87.2%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
15-3	56.8%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0
14-4	29.2%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	7.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.6%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.6%	0.6		0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1	0.0%		65.8%	38.3%	27.5%	10.6						0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0		44.6%
16-2	0.1%		34.2%	26.0%	8.2%	11.2											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1		11.1%
15-3	0.3%		15.2%	11.8%	3.5%	12.3											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.3		3.9%
14-4	0.5%		13.6%	11.2%	2.4%	12.9											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.5		2.7%
13-5	1.1%		9.3%	9.1%	0.2%	13.4													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0		0.2%
12-6	2.0%		4.2%	4.2%		13.9													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.9
11-7	3.2%		3.3%	3.3%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	3.1
10-8	4.4%		1.0%	1.0%		14.3														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	4.4
9-9	6.3%		0.5%	0.5%		15.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	6.3
8-10	7.8%		0.4%	0.4%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	7.7
7-11	9.7%		0.3%	0.3%		15.8																0.0	0.0	9.7
6-12	11.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.2
5-13	12.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.4
4-14	12.3%																							12.3
3-15	11.2%																							11.2
2-16	9.0%																							9.0
1-17	5.8%																							5.8
0-18	2.4%																							2.4

Total	100%		0.7%	0.6%	0.0%	13.6						0.0					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	99.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%