Preseason Rankings
Minnesota
Big Ten
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#106
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.1#89
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#117
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#99
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.3% 1.5% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 3.3% 3.8% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.9% 13.5% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 11.5% 13.0% 1.9%
Average Seed 8.1 8.1 9.2
.500 or above 30.9% 34.6% 8.2%
.500 or above in Conference 14.5% 16.2% 3.9%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 33.8% 30.5% 54.3%
First Four1.8% 2.0% 0.5%
First Round11.0% 12.4% 1.7%
Second Round5.7% 6.5% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen2.1% 2.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Final Four0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UMKC (Home) - 86.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 11
Quad 23 - 45 - 16
Quad 32 - 27 - 17
Quad 46 - 013 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 233   UMKC W 72-60 86%    
  Nov 12, 2021 100   Western Kentucky L 73-74 48%    
  Nov 19, 2021 247   Purdue Fort Wayne W 83-71 86%    
  Nov 24, 2021 302   Jacksonville W 80-65 91%    
  Nov 30, 2021 117   @ Pittsburgh L 72-74 43%    
  Dec 05, 2021 56   @ Mississippi St. L 67-75 27%    
  Dec 08, 2021 24   Michigan St. L 70-76 32%    
  Dec 11, 2021 2   @ Michigan L 63-80 9%    
  Dec 14, 2021 342   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 84-63 95%    
  Dec 22, 2021 316   Green Bay W 81-65 91%    
  Dec 29, 2021 347   Alcorn St. W 85-63 96%    
  Jan 02, 2022 8   Illinois L 73-81 25%    
  Jan 09, 2022 30   @ Indiana L 65-76 19%    
  Jan 12, 2022 24   @ Michigan St. L 67-79 18%    
  Jan 16, 2022 39   Iowa L 76-80 39%    
  Jan 19, 2022 53   @ Penn St. L 71-79 28%    
  Jan 22, 2022 50   Rutgers L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 27, 2022 12   Ohio St. L 70-77 28%    
  Jan 30, 2022 43   @ Wisconsin L 63-72 24%    
  Feb 02, 2022 5   Purdue L 67-76 24%    
  Feb 06, 2022 39   @ Iowa L 73-83 23%    
  Feb 09, 2022 75   @ Nebraska L 74-80 33%    
  Feb 12, 2022 53   Penn St. L 74-76 45%    
  Feb 15, 2022 12   @ Ohio St. L 67-80 15%    
  Feb 19, 2022 58   Northwestern L 73-74 46%    
  Feb 23, 2022 43   Wisconsin L 66-69 41%    
  Feb 27, 2022 30   Indiana L 68-73 35%    
  Mar 02, 2022 16   @ Maryland L 63-75 17%    
  Mar 06, 2022 58   @ Northwestern L 70-77 28%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.1 7th
8th 0.2 1.4 2.4 1.1 0.1 5.2 8th
9th 0.2 1.5 2.9 1.6 0.2 0.0 6.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.5 2.3 0.5 0.0 8.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.1 3.0 0.7 0.0 10.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 2.8 4.7 3.4 0.9 0.1 12.6 12th
13th 0.3 2.0 4.7 5.8 3.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 17.6 13th
14th 2.8 6.1 7.1 5.5 2.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 24.9 14th
Total 2.8 6.4 9.2 10.9 11.6 11.1 10.5 9.1 7.6 6.2 4.7 3.5 2.5 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 95.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 65.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 39.1% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 19.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 3.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 100.0% 17.5% 82.5% 1.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 38.2% 61.8% 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 13.0% 87.0% 2.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.3% 100.0% 13.6% 86.4% 3.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.6% 100.0% 11.2% 88.8% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 1.0% 99.3% 5.8% 93.5% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3%
13-7 1.7% 96.5% 5.0% 91.5% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 96.3%
12-8 2.5% 86.5% 2.4% 84.1% 7.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 86.1%
11-9 3.5% 70.5% 1.1% 69.4% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 70.1%
10-10 4.7% 44.7% 0.7% 44.0% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.6 44.4%
9-11 6.2% 18.4% 0.4% 18.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.1 18.1%
8-12 7.6% 3.2% 0.2% 3.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.4 3.1%
7-13 9.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1 0.3%
6-14 10.5% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 10.5
5-15 11.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.1
4-16 11.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.6
3-17 10.9% 10.9
2-18 9.2% 9.2
1-19 6.4% 6.4
0-20 2.8% 2.8
Total 100% 11.9% 0.5% 11.4% 8.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 88.1 11.5%