IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.5	#339
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.1	#282
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-7.3	#344

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.2	#315

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.1%	26.4%	8.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	15.8	16.0

.500 or above	26.6%	74.9%	26.1%
.500 or above in Conference	62.1%	88.9%	61.8%
Conference Champion	10.5%	36.2%	10.2%
Last Place in Conference	6.6%	0.4%	6.6%

First Four	8.3%	17.8%	8.2%
First Round	4.0%	15.4%	3.9%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Richmond (Away) - 1.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 4	10 - 10	10 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	57	@ Richmond	L	57-82	1%
Nov 13, 2021	11	@ Memphis	L	55-86	0.3%
Nov 16, 2021	39	@ Iowa	L	59-86	1%
Nov 20, 2021	351	@ Alabama St.	W	68-67	53%
Nov 29, 2021	225	@ Gardner-Webb	L	62-74	15%
Dec 01, 2021	343	@ South Carolina Upstate	L	68-70	42%
Dec 04, 2021	252	@ UNC Asheville	L	66-76	19%
Dec 06, 2021	272	@ The Citadel	L	72-82	22%
Dec 15, 2021	225	Gardner-Webb	L	65-71	31%
Dec 18, 2021	329	Hampton	L	71-73	44%
Dec 21, 2021	163	@ UTEP	L	59-75	10%
Jan 08, 2022	256	Morgan St.	L	71-75	36%
Jan 10, 2022	336	Coppin St.	W	77-75	57%
Jan 15, 2022	352	@ South Carolina St.	W	74-71	59%
Jan 22, 2022	354	@ Delaware St.	W	78-74	62%
Jan 24, 2022	356	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	68-62	68%
Jan 29, 2022	332	Howard	W	76-74	55%
Jan 31, 2022	291	Norfolk St.	L	66-69	42%
Feb 12, 2022	256	@ Morgan St.	L	68-78	21%
Feb 14, 2022	336	@ Coppin St.	L	74-78	38%
Feb 19, 2022	354	Delaware St.	W	81-71	78%
Feb 21, 2022	356	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	71-59	82%
Feb 26, 2022	332	@ Howard	L	73-77	37%
Feb 28, 2022	291	@ Norfolk St.	L	63-72	25%
Mar 03, 2022	352	South Carolina St.	W	77-68	76%
Projected Record						10 - 15	7 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.2	1.4	3.2	3.4	1.8	0.5		10.5	1st
2nd								0.0	0.8	3.5	5.7	3.6	0.7				14.4	2nd
3rd							0.1	1.7	6.0	6.8	2.5	0.2					17.3	3rd
4th						0.3	2.9	7.4	5.9	1.5	0.0						18.0	4th
5th				0.0	0.6	3.8	7.2	4.3	0.6	0.0							16.6	5th
6th			0.0	0.9	3.9	5.0	2.0	0.2									12.1	6th
7th		0.1	1.0	3.0	2.7	0.8	0.1										7.6	7th
8th	0.2	0.9	1.5	0.9	0.2	0.0											3.6	8th

Total	0.2	1.0	2.4	4.7	7.4	9.9	12.3	13.7	13.4	12.0	9.6	6.9	4.1	1.8	0.5			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.5		0.5
13-1	100.0%	1.8		1.7	0.2
12-2	82.0%	3.4		2.3	1.1	0.0
11-3	45.5%	3.2		1.3	1.5	0.4	0.0
10-4	14.2%	1.4		0.2	0.6	0.4	0.1
9-5	1.6%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
8-6	0.1%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	10.5%	10.5		6.0	3.4	0.9	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.5%		63.9%	63.9%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2
13-1	1.8%		43.7%	43.7%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.7	1.0
12-2	4.1%		37.6%	37.6%		16.0															0.0	0.1	1.5	2.6
11-3	6.9%		26.6%	26.6%		16.0																0.0	1.8	5.1
10-4	9.6%		18.8%	18.8%		16.0																0.0	1.8	7.8
9-5	12.0%		10.2%	10.2%		16.0																0.0	1.2	10.8
8-6	13.4%		5.5%	5.5%		16.0																	0.7	12.6
7-7	13.7%		3.8%	3.8%		16.0																	0.5	13.1
6-8	12.3%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.2	12.1
5-9	9.9%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	9.9
4-10	7.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	7.4
3-11	4.7%																							4.7
2-12	2.4%																							2.4
1-13	1.0%																							1.0
0-14	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		9.1%	9.1%	0.0%	16.0														0.0	0.0	0.2	8.8	90.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%