IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Nebraska
Big Ten
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	+7.4	#75
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	77.4	#28
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.4	#80

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.0	#68

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.7%	0.7%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	1.5%	1.6%	0.1%
Top 4 Seed	4.8%	5.1%	0.2%
Top 6 Seed	9.7%	10.2%	1.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	25.2%	26.5%	5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	24.2%	25.4%	5.2%
Average Seed	7.4	7.3	8.6

.500 or above	47.8%	50.0%	14.6%
.500 or above in Conference	25.1%	26.2%	7.3%
Conference Champion	1.3%	1.3%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	19.9%	18.6%	40.0%

First Four	2.7%	2.9%	0.9%
First Round	23.7%	24.9%	4.8%
Second Round	13.3%	14.0%	2.2%
Sweet Sixteen	5.3%	5.6%	0.7%
Elite Eight	2.2%	2.3%	0.4%
Final Four	0.9%	1.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.4%	0.4%	0.0%
National Champion	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%

Next Game: Western Illinois (Home) - 93.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 7	1 - 7
Quad 1b	2 - 4	3 - 11
Quad 2	3 - 4	7 - 15
Quad 3	3 - 1	10 - 16
Quad 4	6 - 0	16 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	274	Western Illinois	W	90-74	94%
Nov 12, 2021	196	Sam Houston St.	W	85-73	87%
Nov 16, 2021	48	Creighton	W	77-76	51%
Nov 19, 2021	236	Idaho St.	W	78-64	89%
Nov 21, 2021	317	Southern	W	87-68	95%
Nov 23, 2021	289	Tennessee St.	W	87-70	93%
Nov 27, 2021	186	South Dakota	W	84-73	83%
Dec 01, 2021	59	@ North Carolina St.	L	72-77	35%
Dec 04, 2021	30	@ Indiana	L	69-77	25%
Dec 07, 2021	2	Michigan	L	70-78	26%
Dec 11, 2021	26	Auburn	L	78-83	33%
Dec 19, 2021	89	Kansas St.	W	73-69	64%
Dec 22, 2021	311	Kennesaw St.	W	85-66	94%
Jan 02, 2022	12	Ohio St.	L	73-78	35%
Jan 05, 2022	24	@ Michigan St.	L	71-80	24%
Jan 08, 2022	50	@ Rutgers	L	70-76	33%
Jan 11, 2022	8	Illinois	L	76-82	32%
Jan 14, 2022	5	@ Purdue	L	68-80	16%
Jan 17, 2022	30	Indiana	L	72-74	44%
Jan 22, 2022	12	@ Ohio St.	L	70-81	20%
Jan 25, 2022	43	Wisconsin	L	69-70	49%
Jan 29, 2022	50	Rutgers	W	74-73	51%
Feb 01, 2022	2	@ Michigan	L	67-81	14%
Feb 05, 2022	58	Northwestern	W	76-75	54%
Feb 09, 2022	106	Minnesota	W	80-74	67%
Feb 13, 2022	39	@ Iowa	L	77-84	30%
Feb 18, 2022	16	Maryland	L	69-73	39%
Feb 22, 2022	58	@ Northwestern	L	73-78	36%
Feb 25, 2022	39	Iowa	L	80-81	47%
Feb 28, 2022	53	@ Penn St.	L	74-79	35%
Mar 06, 2022	43	@ Wisconsin	L	66-72	31%
Projected Record						15 - 16	7 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.3	1st
2nd													0.0	0.3	0.5	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0			2.1	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.4	1.0	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0					2.8	3rd
4th											0.0	0.4	1.2	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0						3.3	4th
5th										0.0	0.4	1.6	1.8	0.6	0.1								4.4	5th
6th									0.0	0.3	1.8	2.3	0.8	0.1	0.0								5.2	6th
7th									0.3	1.8	2.8	1.1	0.1	0.0									6.1	7th
8th							0.0	0.2	1.7	3.3	1.7	0.2											7.0	8th
9th						0.0	0.2	1.6	3.7	2.3	0.3	0.0											8.2	9th
10th					0.0	0.2	1.7	3.9	2.9	0.6	0.0												9.4	10th
11th				0.0	0.3	1.9	4.2	3.4	0.8	0.1													10.7	11th
12th			0.0	0.6	2.6	4.5	3.5	1.0	0.1														12.2	12th
13th		0.3	1.4	3.5	4.5	3.0	0.9	0.1															13.6	13th
14th	1.1	2.9	4.0	3.3	1.8	0.5	0.1	0.0															13.6	14th

Total	1.1	3.2	5.4	7.4	9.2	10.0	10.6	10.2	9.5	8.3	7.0	5.6	4.3	3.1	2.1	1.5	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	97.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
18-2	93.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0	0.0
17-3	75.3%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
16-4	43.1%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
15-5	16.4%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	4.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.3%	1.3		0.6	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%							0.0
19-1	0.1%		100.0%	33.0%	67.0%	1.2		0.1	0.0																	100.0%
18-2	0.2%		100.0%	27.5%	72.5%	1.4		0.1	0.0	0.0																100.0%
17-3	0.4%		100.0%	23.9%	76.1%	1.8		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0														100.0%
16-4	0.8%		100.0%	19.0%	81.0%	2.7		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0											100.0%
15-5	1.5%		100.0%	14.8%	85.2%	3.6		0.1	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0									100.0%
14-6	2.1%		99.5%	9.2%	90.3%	4.6		0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0								0.0		99.4%
13-7	3.1%		98.2%	4.8%	93.4%	5.8		0.0	0.0	0.3	0.4	0.6	0.7	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1		98.1%
12-8	4.3%		94.8%	4.0%	90.8%	7.0			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.7	0.9	0.7	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0					0.2		94.6%
11-9	5.6%		84.2%	1.8%	82.4%	8.2				0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.7	0.9	0.9	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.0				0.9		83.9%
10-10	7.0%		62.0%	1.1%	60.8%	9.2				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.8	0.8	0.8	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0			2.7		61.5%
9-11	8.3%		32.4%	0.7%	31.6%	10.3					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.7	0.6	0.1	0.0			5.6		31.9%
8-12	9.5%		10.6%	0.3%	10.2%	11.1						0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0			8.5		10.3%
7-13	10.2%		2.1%	0.2%	1.9%	11.5								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0		10.0		1.9%
6-14	10.6%		0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	11.7											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				10.5		0.1%
5-15	10.0%		0.0%	0.0%		12.0													0.0					10.0
4-16	9.2%																							9.2
3-17	7.4%		0.0%	0.0%		15.0																0.0		7.4
2-18	5.4%																							5.4
1-19	3.2%																							3.2
0-20	1.1%																							1.1

Total	100%		25.2%	1.4%	23.8%	7.4		0.7	0.9	1.5	1.7	2.2	2.6	2.9	3.1	2.7	2.4	2.5	1.7	0.2	0.0	0.0		74.8		24.2%