Preseason Rankings
Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.0#326
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.3#58
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#314
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.3#316
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 2.5% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.0 15.6
.500 or above 9.6% 27.1% 6.6%
.500 or above in Conference 24.6% 43.8% 21.3%
Conference Champion 0.7% 2.1% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 11.7% 4.3% 13.0%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
First Round0.8% 2.2% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ball St. (Away) - 14.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 71 - 13
Quad 48 - 79 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 199   @ Ball St. L 72-83 15%    
  Nov 17, 2021 89   @ Kansas St. L 61-80 4%    
  Nov 20, 2021 161   @ Montana L 66-79 12%    
  Nov 23, 2021 21   @ Texas Tech L 57-84 1%    
  Nov 26, 2021 5   @ Purdue L 58-88 1%    
  Nov 30, 2021 328   SIU Edwardsville W 76-73 61%    
  Dec 04, 2021 219   Eastern Washington L 79-83 37%    
  Dec 08, 2021 73   Drake L 66-81 11%    
  Dec 11, 2021 342   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 79-73 69%    
  Dec 15, 2021 145   @ UNLV L 66-81 11%    
  Dec 20, 2021 353   St. Thomas W 82-70 84%    
  Dec 22, 2021 274   Western Illinois L 81-82 47%    
  Dec 30, 2021 233   @ UMKC L 63-72 23%    
  Jan 01, 2022 154   @ Oral Roberts L 75-89 14%    
  Jan 06, 2022 313   North Dakota W 76-75 55%    
  Jan 08, 2022 130   North Dakota St. L 67-77 22%    
  Jan 13, 2022 99   South Dakota St. L 76-88 16%    
  Jan 15, 2022 186   @ South Dakota L 72-84 17%    
  Jan 22, 2022 344   @ Denver W 80-79 50%    
  Jan 27, 2022 154   Oral Roberts L 78-86 27%    
  Jan 29, 2022 233   UMKC L 66-69 40%    
  Feb 03, 2022 130   @ North Dakota St. L 64-80 11%    
  Feb 05, 2022 313   @ North Dakota L 73-78 36%    
  Feb 10, 2022 186   South Dakota L 75-81 31%    
  Feb 12, 2022 99   @ South Dakota St. L 73-91 8%    
  Feb 19, 2022 344   Denver W 82-76 68%    
  Feb 24, 2022 274   @ Western Illinois L 78-85 29%    
  Feb 26, 2022 353   @ St. Thomas W 79-73 68%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.3 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 6.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.9 2.7 0.8 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.1 5.6 3.1 0.6 0.0 14.9 6th
7th 0.4 3.0 6.3 5.9 2.4 0.4 0.0 18.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.3 5.3 7.3 4.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 20.2 8th
9th 0.3 2.9 5.5 5.0 2.2 0.4 0.0 16.4 9th
10th 0.8 2.2 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 7.0 10th
Total 0.8 2.5 5.4 8.0 11.1 12.6 12.7 12.0 10.3 8.4 6.1 4.3 2.8 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 89.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 60.9% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 28.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 5.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 39.0% 39.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 24.5% 24.5% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 21.4% 21.4% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.8% 12.5% 12.5% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
13-5 1.6% 8.4% 8.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.5
12-6 2.8% 5.9% 5.9% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.7
11-7 4.3% 2.7% 2.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.2
10-8 6.1% 2.1% 2.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.9
9-9 8.4% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 8.3
8-10 10.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.3
7-11 12.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 11.9
6-12 12.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.7
5-13 12.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.6
4-14 11.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.1
3-15 8.0% 8.0
2-16 5.4% 5.4
1-17 2.5% 2.5
0-18 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%