IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
NJIT
America East
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.1	#293
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.8	#195
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.6	#311

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.5	#251

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.8%	5.7%	2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	15.0	15.6

.500 or above	26.8%	40.7%	13.5%
.500 or above in Conference	39.3%	50.9%	28.1%
Conference Champion	3.7%	5.8%	1.6%
Last Place in Conference	14.8%	8.6%	20.8%

First Four	1.3%	1.5%	1.1%
First Round	3.1%	5.0%	1.3%
Second Round	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Merrimack (Home) - 49.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 6	2 - 10
Quad 4	10 - 8	12 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 11, 2021	234	Merrimack	L	65-66	49%
Nov 13, 2021	297	@ Lehigh	L	71-74	40%
Nov 16, 2021	50	@ Rutgers	L	58-78	4%
Nov 20, 2021	228	@ Wagner	L	66-72	29%
Nov 24, 2021	323	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	79-73	69%
Nov 27, 2021	52	@ St. John's	L	67-87	5%
Nov 30, 2021	288	Sacred Heart	W	72-69	59%
Dec 05, 2021	292	@ Lafayette	L	72-75	40%
Dec 10, 2021	257	Army	W	71-70	54%
Dec 12, 2021	58	@ Northwestern	L	61-80	6%
Dec 22, 2021	119	@ Massachusetts	L	68-82	14%
Jan 02, 2022	337	Maine	W	67-59	73%
Jan 06, 2022	258	@ Umass Lowell	L	70-75	35%
Jan 08, 2022	327	@ Binghamton	L	69-70	50%
Jan 12, 2022	229	Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	69-70	49%
Jan 15, 2022	244	@ Albany	L	68-73	33%
Jan 19, 2022	116	Vermont	L	64-72	27%
Jan 22, 2022	327	Binghamton	W	72-66	68%
Jan 26, 2022	229	@ Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	67-73	30%
Jan 29, 2022	244	Albany	W	71-70	52%
Feb 02, 2022	116	@ Vermont	L	61-75	14%
Feb 05, 2022	188	Stony Brook	L	66-69	40%
Feb 09, 2022	241	@ New Hampshire	L	65-71	33%
Feb 12, 2022	213	Hartford	L	67-68	46%
Feb 16, 2022	258	Umass Lowell	W	73-72	54%
Feb 20, 2022	337	@ Maine	W	64-62	55%
Feb 23, 2022	241	New Hampshire	W	68-67	51%
Feb 26, 2022	213	@ Hartford	L	64-71	28%
Mar 01, 2022	188	@ Stony Brook	L	63-72	24%
Projected Record						11 - 18	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected America East Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.6	1.0	1.0	0.7	0.2	0.1		3.7	1st
2nd										0.0	0.1	0.6	1.8	2.1	1.3	0.4	0.1				6.3	2nd
3rd										0.2	1.2	2.8	2.7	1.0	0.2	0.0					8.1	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	1.9	3.9	3.0	0.8	0.1	0.0						10.0	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	2.5	4.6	2.9	0.6	0.0								11.0	5th
6th						0.0	0.7	3.2	5.0	2.7	0.5	0.0									12.1	6th
7th				0.0	0.1	1.2	3.9	5.2	2.4	0.4	0.0										13.2	7th
8th				0.3	1.9	4.5	4.8	1.8	0.2	0.0											13.5	8th
9th		0.1	0.8	2.8	4.3	3.2	1.0	0.1													12.3	9th
10th	0.6	1.8	2.8	2.7	1.5	0.4	0.0														9.9	10th

Total	0.6	1.9	3.7	5.7	7.8	9.4	10.4	10.7	10.5	9.7	8.6	7.0	5.5	3.8	2.4	1.4	0.7	0.2	0.1			Total

America East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	90.1%	0.7		0.5	0.2
15-3	70.7%	1.0		0.7	0.3	0.0
14-4	40.7%	1.0		0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0
13-5	15.6%	0.6		0.2	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
12-6	2.9%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.7%	3.7		2.1	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		65.5%	61.5%	4.0%	12.4									0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		10.4%
17-1	0.2%		53.0%	48.4%	4.6%	13.0										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.1		9.0%
16-2	0.7%		34.8%	34.8%		13.9												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.5
15-3	1.4%		29.6%	29.6%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	1.0
14-4	2.4%		18.4%	18.4%		14.8													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	2.0
13-5	3.8%		13.8%	13.8%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	3.2
12-6	5.5%		10.2%	10.2%		15.5															0.0	0.2	0.3	4.9
11-7	7.0%		6.2%	6.2%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.3	6.5
10-8	8.6%		4.1%	4.1%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	8.2
9-9	9.7%		3.2%	3.2%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	9.4
8-10	10.5%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																0.0	0.2	10.4
7-11	10.7%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	10.6
6-12	10.4%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	10.3
5-13	9.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.4
4-14	7.8%																							7.8
3-15	5.7%																							5.7
2-16	3.7%																							3.7
1-17	1.9%																							1.9
0-18	0.6%																							0.6

Total	100%		3.8%	3.8%	0.0%	15.2									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	1.0	1.9	96.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%