Preseason Rankings
North Dakota
Summit League
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.5#313
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.6#223
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#271
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.3#318
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 2.9% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.1 15.7
.500 or above 24.6% 41.6% 14.5%
.500 or above in Conference 33.2% 46.7% 25.3%
Conference Champion 1.3% 2.5% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 7.9% 3.6% 10.5%
First Four0.6% 0.8% 0.5%
First Round1.3% 2.5% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Home) - 37.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 71 - 10
Quad 410 - 811 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 205   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72-76 37%    
  Nov 15, 2021 161   Montana L 66-72 30%    
  Nov 19, 2021 243   Troy L 69-73 36%    
  Nov 20, 2021 159   @ Florida Atlantic L 65-77 15%    
  Nov 21, 2021 349   Tennessee Martin W 76-69 73%    
  Nov 24, 2021 273   @ Florida International L 72-77 32%    
  Nov 28, 2021 89   @ Kansas St. L 59-77 7%    
  Dec 03, 2021 322   @ San Jose St. L 77-79 43%    
  Dec 07, 2021 215   @ California Baptist L 72-81 23%    
  Dec 11, 2021 219   Eastern Washington L 76-79 42%    
  Dec 18, 2021 303   Dixie St. W 78-76 57%    
  Dec 22, 2021 130   @ North Dakota St. L 62-76 13%    
  Dec 30, 2021 186   South Dakota L 73-78 36%    
  Jan 01, 2022 99   South Dakota St. L 73-84 19%    
  Jan 06, 2022 326   @ Nebraska Omaha L 75-76 45%    
  Jan 08, 2022 344   @ Denver W 77-75 55%    
  Jan 13, 2022 274   Western Illinois W 78-77 52%    
  Jan 15, 2022 353   St. Thomas W 80-66 86%    
  Jan 20, 2022 154   @ Oral Roberts L 72-84 17%    
  Jan 22, 2022 233   @ UMKC L 61-69 27%    
  Jan 27, 2022 99   @ South Dakota St. L 70-87 9%    
  Jan 29, 2022 186   @ South Dakota L 70-81 20%    
  Feb 03, 2022 344   Denver W 80-72 72%    
  Feb 05, 2022 326   Nebraska Omaha W 78-73 64%    
  Feb 10, 2022 353   @ St. Thomas W 77-69 72%    
  Feb 12, 2022 274   @ Western Illinois L 75-80 33%    
  Feb 17, 2022 233   UMKC L 64-66 45%    
  Feb 19, 2022 154   Oral Roberts L 75-81 31%    
  Feb 26, 2022 130   North Dakota St. L 65-73 27%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.8 3.3 1.4 0.1 0.0 8.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.9 3.7 1.0 0.1 12.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.2 6.2 3.6 0.9 0.1 16.4 6th
7th 0.4 2.8 6.2 6.2 2.8 0.4 0.0 18.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 4.1 6.4 4.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 17.3 8th
9th 0.2 1.7 4.0 3.8 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 11.9 9th
10th 0.3 1.3 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.6 10th
Total 0.3 1.4 3.4 6.0 8.6 11.2 12.1 12.3 11.6 10.1 7.9 6.0 4.2 2.5 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 87.2% 0.3    0.2 0.0
15-3 58.8% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
14-4 25.1% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 5.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 74.5% 74.5% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 45.5% 45.5% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 31.0% 31.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.7% 19.0% 19.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
14-4 1.5% 14.8% 14.8% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.3
13-5 2.5% 10.9% 10.9% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.2
12-6 4.2% 5.4% 5.4% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.0
11-7 6.0% 3.6% 3.6% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.8
10-8 7.9% 1.7% 1.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.7
9-9 10.1% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.0
8-10 11.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 11.5
7-11 12.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.2
6-12 12.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.1
5-13 11.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.2
4-14 8.6% 8.6
3-15 6.0% 6.0
2-16 3.4% 3.4
1-17 1.4% 1.4
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 98.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%