IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
North Dakota
Summit League
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.5	#313
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.6	#223
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.2	#271

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.3	#318

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.7%	2.9%	0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	15.1	15.7

.500 or above	24.6%	41.6%	14.5%
.500 or above in Conference	33.2%	46.7%	25.3%
Conference Champion	1.3%	2.5%	0.6%
Last Place in Conference	7.9%	3.6%	10.5%

First Four	0.6%	0.8%	0.5%
First Round	1.3%	2.5%	0.7%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Home) - 37.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 7	1 - 10
Quad 4	10 - 8	11 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	205	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	72-76	37%
Nov 15, 2021	161	Montana	L	66-72	30%
Nov 19, 2021	243	Troy	L	69-73	36%
Nov 20, 2021	159	@ Florida Atlantic	L	65-77	15%
Nov 21, 2021	349	Tennessee Martin	W	76-69	73%
Nov 24, 2021	273	@ Florida International	L	72-77	32%
Nov 28, 2021	89	@ Kansas St.	L	59-77	7%
Dec 03, 2021	322	@ San Jose St.	L	77-79	43%
Dec 07, 2021	215	@ California Baptist	L	72-81	23%
Dec 11, 2021	219	Eastern Washington	L	76-79	42%
Dec 18, 2021	303	Dixie St.	W	78-76	57%
Dec 22, 2021	130	@ North Dakota St.	L	62-76	13%
Dec 30, 2021	186	South Dakota	L	73-78	36%
Jan 01, 2022	99	South Dakota St.	L	73-84	19%
Jan 06, 2022	326	@ Nebraska Omaha	L	75-76	45%
Jan 08, 2022	344	@ Denver	W	77-75	55%
Jan 13, 2022	274	Western Illinois	W	78-77	52%
Jan 15, 2022	353	St. Thomas	W	80-66	86%
Jan 20, 2022	154	@ Oral Roberts	L	72-84	17%
Jan 22, 2022	233	@ UMKC	L	61-69	27%
Jan 27, 2022	99	@ South Dakota St.	L	70-87	9%
Jan 29, 2022	186	@ South Dakota	L	70-81	20%
Feb 03, 2022	344	Denver	W	80-72	72%
Feb 05, 2022	326	Nebraska Omaha	W	78-73	64%
Feb 10, 2022	353	@ St. Thomas	W	77-69	72%
Feb 12, 2022	274	@ Western Illinois	L	75-80	33%
Feb 17, 2022	233	UMKC	L	64-66	45%
Feb 19, 2022	154	Oral Roberts	L	75-81	31%
Feb 26, 2022	130	North Dakota St.	L	65-73	27%
Projected Record						11 - 18	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Summit League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0		1.3	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.6	1.1	0.9	0.3	0.0				3.1	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	1.5	2.1	1.1	0.2	0.0					5.4	3rd
4th								0.0	0.1	1.1	2.8	3.3	1.4	0.1	0.0						8.8	4th
5th							0.0	0.5	2.3	4.9	3.7	1.0	0.1								12.5	5th
6th						0.1	1.3	4.2	6.2	3.6	0.9	0.1									16.4	6th
7th					0.4	2.8	6.2	6.2	2.8	0.4	0.0										18.8	7th
8th			0.0	1.0	4.1	6.4	4.2	1.4	0.2	0.0											17.3	8th
9th		0.2	1.7	4.0	3.8	1.8	0.3	0.0	0.0												11.9	9th
10th	0.3	1.3	1.7	1.0	0.3	0.0															4.6	10th

Total	0.3	1.4	3.4	6.0	8.6	11.2	12.1	12.3	11.6	10.1	7.9	6.0	4.2	2.5	1.5	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	87.2%	0.3		0.2	0.0
15-3	58.8%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.0
14-4	25.1%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	5.2%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.4%	0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.3%	1.3		0.7	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		74.5%	74.5%		12.4											0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
17-1	0.1%		45.5%	45.5%		13.2									0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
16-2	0.3%		31.0%	31.0%		14.0													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
15-3	0.7%		19.0%	19.0%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5
14-4	1.5%		14.8%	14.8%		15.0													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	1.3
13-5	2.5%		10.9%	10.9%		15.2														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	2.2
12-6	4.2%		5.4%	5.4%		15.5															0.0	0.1	0.1	4.0
11-7	6.0%		3.6%	3.6%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.2	5.8
10-8	7.9%		1.7%	1.7%		15.9																0.0	0.1	7.7
9-9	10.1%		1.2%	1.2%		15.9																0.0	0.1	10.0
8-10	11.6%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																0.0	0.1	11.5
7-11	12.3%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	12.2
6-12	12.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	12.1
5-13	11.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.2
4-14	8.6%																							8.6
3-15	6.0%																							6.0
2-16	3.4%																							3.4
1-17	1.4%																							1.4
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		1.7%	1.7%	0.0%	15.3									0.0		0.0		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.9	98.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%