IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Oklahoma
Big 12
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	+11.2	#40
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.2	#232
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.7	#54

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+6.5	#31

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%
#1 Seed	2.4%	2.4%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	5.6%	5.6%	0.3%
Top 4 Seed	14.0%	14.1%	1.2%
Top 6 Seed	23.5%	23.6%	2.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid	47.1%	47.4%	9.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	43.3%	43.6%	9.0%
Average Seed	6.5	6.5	8.2

.500 or above	71.2%	71.5%	23.5%
.500 or above in Conference	53.6%	53.8%	18.0%
Conference Champion	7.4%	7.4%	0.9%
Last Place in Conference	7.1%	7.0%	24.2%

First Four	3.4%	3.4%	0.9%
First Round	45.6%	45.8%	8.1%
Second Round	29.6%	29.8%	4.1%
Sweet Sixteen	14.4%	14.5%	1.9%
Elite Eight	6.7%	6.8%	0.6%
Final Four	3.0%	3.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	1.3%	1.3%	0.0%
National Champion	0.6%	0.6%	0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern St. (Home) - 99.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 6	2 - 6
Quad 1b	2 - 3	4 - 9
Quad 2	4 - 3	8 - 12
Quad 3	4 - 1	12 - 13
Quad 4	5 - 0	18 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	338	Northwestern St.	W	87-61	99%
Nov 12, 2021	207	Texas San Antonio	W	83-67	93%
Nov 18, 2021	183	East Carolina	W	75-63	85%
Nov 24, 2021	348	Houston Baptist	W	92-63	99%
Nov 27, 2021	68	@ Central Florida	L	68-69	50%
Dec 01, 2021	33	Florida	W	72-70	57%
Dec 07, 2021	64	Butler	W	69-63	68%
Dec 11, 2021	17	Arkansas	L	73-76	41%
Dec 19, 2021	224	Texas Arlington	W	79-61	92%
Dec 22, 2021	347	Alcorn St.	W	85-56	99%
Jan 01, 2022	89	Kansas St.	W	70-62	74%
Jan 04, 2022	9	@ Baylor	L	66-74	27%
Jan 08, 2022	127	Iowa St.	W	77-66	82%
Jan 11, 2022	7	@ Texas	L	66-74	26%
Jan 15, 2022	80	@ TCU	W	69-68	54%
Jan 18, 2022	4	Kansas	L	69-72	41%
Jan 22, 2022	9	Baylor	L	69-71	44%
Jan 26, 2022	32	@ West Virginia	L	70-74	38%
Jan 29, 2022	26	@ Auburn	L	72-76	37%
Jan 31, 2022	80	TCU	W	72-65	72%
Feb 05, 2022	35	@ Oklahoma St.	L	71-75	39%
Feb 09, 2022	21	Texas Tech	W	66-65	52%
Feb 12, 2022	4	@ Kansas	L	66-75	24%
Feb 15, 2022	7	Texas	L	69-71	44%
Feb 19, 2022	127	@ Iowa St.	W	74-69	66%
Feb 22, 2022	21	@ Texas Tech	L	63-68	33%
Feb 26, 2022	35	Oklahoma St.	W	74-72	58%
Mar 01, 2022	32	West Virginia	W	73-71	57%
Mar 05, 2022	89	@ Kansas St.	W	67-65	56%
Projected Record						17 - 12	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big 12 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.9	1.9	2.0	1.5	0.7	0.2		7.4	1st
2nd											0.1	0.6	2.1	3.1	2.2	0.8	0.1				9.0	2nd
3rd										0.1	1.1	3.3	3.9	1.9	0.3	0.0					10.7	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	1.8	4.2	4.1	1.5	0.1	0.0						11.9	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	2.3	5.0	3.9	1.0	0.1								12.7	5th
6th						0.0	0.6	3.0	5.3	3.4	0.8	0.0									13.3	6th
7th				0.0	0.1	1.0	3.3	4.7	2.6	0.5	0.0										12.1	7th
8th			0.0	0.2	1.5	3.4	3.8	1.6	0.2	0.0											10.7	8th
9th		0.0	0.5	1.8	2.7	2.1	0.8	0.1													8.0	9th
10th	0.2	0.6	1.2	1.3	0.7	0.2	0.0														4.3	10th

Total	0.2	0.7	1.7	3.4	5.0	6.6	8.5	9.8	10.6	10.8	10.1	9.0	7.8	6.1	4.5	2.8	1.6	0.7	0.2			Total

Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	100.0%	0.7		0.6	0.0
16-2	94.1%	1.5		1.3	0.2	0.0
15-3	70.9%	2.0		1.3	0.6	0.1
14-4	42.4%	1.9		0.9	0.8	0.2	0.0
13-5	15.1%	0.9		0.2	0.4	0.2	0.0
12-6	2.9%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	7.4%	7.4		4.5	2.2	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%		100.0%	50.8%	49.2%	1.2		0.1	0.0																	100.0%
17-1	0.7%		100.0%	50.1%	49.9%	1.4		0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0															100.0%
16-2	1.6%		100.0%	39.1%	60.9%	1.8		0.7	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0			0.0											100.0%
15-3	2.8%		99.9%	30.0%	69.9%	2.6		0.6	0.9	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.0							0.0		99.9%
14-4	4.5%		99.7%	23.0%	76.7%	3.5		0.3	0.9	1.2	0.9	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0							0.0		99.6%
13-5	6.1%		99.4%	16.6%	82.7%	4.7		0.1	0.5	1.1	1.3	1.0	0.9	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		99.2%
12-6	7.8%		96.0%	11.1%	84.9%	6.1		0.0	0.1	0.6	1.0	1.4	1.3	1.2	0.9	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0				0.3		95.5%
11-7	9.0%		88.2%	7.8%	80.4%	7.3		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.0	1.2	1.4	1.3	1.0	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.0				1.1		87.2%
10-8	10.1%		73.8%	4.8%	69.0%	8.5			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.1	1.3	1.3	1.0	0.9	0.4	0.1				2.6		72.5%
9-9	10.8%		49.5%	3.3%	46.2%	9.4				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.9	0.9	1.0	1.0	0.6	0.1	0.0			5.5		47.7%
8-10	10.6%		21.7%	2.2%	19.5%	10.6						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.0			8.3		19.9%
7-11	9.8%		6.6%	1.1%	5.5%	11.4							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	9.2		5.6%
6-12	8.5%		1.5%	0.5%	1.0%	12.2									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	8.4		1.0%
5-13	6.6%		0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	13.4												0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0		6.6		0.1%
4-14	5.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	5.0
3-15	3.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	3.4
2-16	1.7%																							1.7
1-17	0.7%																							0.7
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		47.1%	6.7%	40.4%	6.5		2.4	3.2	4.1	4.3	4.7	4.8	4.9	5.0	4.1	3.6	3.3	2.3	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	52.9		43.3%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	1.1	94.0	6.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.0%	100.0%	1.3	68.7	31.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.0%	100.0%	1.0	100.0