IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.8	#232
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.7	#135
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.7	#287

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.1	#176

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	21.7%	39.7%	20.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	14.9	15.7

.500 or above	47.4%	84.6%	45.2%
.500 or above in Conference	92.2%	99.1%	91.8%
Conference Champion	27.8%	52.5%	26.3%
Last Place in Conference	0.2%	0.0%	0.2%

First Four	12.6%	10.1%	12.8%
First Round	16.2%	35.0%	15.1%
Second Round	0.7%	2.8%	0.6%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.4%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: St. Mary's (Away) - 5.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 2	0 - 3	1 - 9
Quad 3	1 - 3	2 - 12
Quad 4	14 - 4	16 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	49	@ St. Mary's	L	56-73	6%
Nov 11, 2021	67	@ San Francisco	L	63-78	9%
Nov 13, 2021	2	Michigan	L	58-80	2%
Nov 14, 2021	35	@ Oklahoma St.	L	65-84	5%
Nov 15, 2021	21	@ Texas Tech	L	57-77	4%
Nov 17, 2021	142	@ Grand Canyon	L	64-73	23%
Nov 27, 2021	82	@ Loyola Marymount	L	62-76	12%
Nov 30, 2021	99	@ South Dakota St.	L	71-83	16%
Dec 10, 2021	76	@ Boise St.	L	65-79	13%
Dec 22, 2021	54	@ Wichita St.	L	61-77	10%
Dec 28, 2021	189	@ Valparaiso	L	67-73	32%
Dec 30, 2021	58	@ Northwestern	L	62-78	10%
Jan 03, 2022	312	@ Grambling St.	W	72-70	55%
Jan 05, 2022	317	@ Southern	W	73-71	56%
Jan 08, 2022	358	Mississippi Valley	W	87-63	97%
Jan 10, 2022	355	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	78-58	94%
Jan 15, 2022	262	@ Jackson St.	L	67-68	46%
Jan 17, 2022	347	@ Alcorn St.	W	76-68	73%
Jan 22, 2022	351	Alabama St.	W	78-62	89%
Jan 24, 2022	340	Alabama A&M	W	72-60	82%
Jan 29, 2022	211	Texas Southern	W	76-74	55%
Feb 05, 2022	350	@ Bethune-Cookman	W	75-65	77%
Feb 07, 2022	304	@ Florida A&M	W	69-68	53%
Feb 12, 2022	317	Southern	W	76-68	73%
Feb 14, 2022	312	Grambling St.	W	75-67	72%
Feb 19, 2022	355	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	75-61	86%
Feb 19, 2022	358	@ Mississippi Valley	W	84-66	91%
Feb 26, 2022	347	Alcorn St.	W	79-65	86%
Feb 28, 2022	262	Jackson St.	W	70-65	64%
Mar 05, 2022	211	@ Texas Southern	L	73-77	37%
Projected Record						14 - 16	13 - 5

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.6	3.0	6.5	8.6	6.3	2.6		27.8	1st
2nd												0.1	1.0	4.6	7.6	5.4	1.4	0.0			20.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	1.2	4.8	6.5	3.1	0.5	0.0				16.1	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	1.1	4.1	4.8	1.8	0.1						12.0	4th
5th									0.1	0.9	3.2	3.5	1.0	0.1							8.8	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	0.7	2.2	2.3	0.7	0.1								6.1	6th
7th							0.1	0.5	1.6	1.5	0.4	0.0									4.1	7th
8th						0.0	0.4	1.0	1.0	0.2	0.0										2.6	8th
9th					0.0	0.3	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0											1.4	9th
10th				0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0													0.6	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0													0.3	11th
12th	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0															0.1	12th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.3	2.0	3.5	5.0	7.1	9.5	11.7	13.5	13.8	12.4	10.1	6.4	2.6			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	2.6		2.6
17-1	99.4%	6.3		5.9	0.5
16-2	85.8%	8.6		6.2	2.4	0.1
15-3	52.5%	6.5		3.2	2.7	0.6	0.0
14-4	21.9%	3.0		0.8	1.4	0.7	0.1	0.0
13-5	4.4%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	0.4%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0								0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	27.8%	27.8		18.7	7.1	1.7	0.2	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	2.6%		62.9%	62.8%	0.1%	14.3									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.4	1.0		0.2%
17-1	6.4%		54.9%	54.9%		15.1												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.0	1.6	2.9
16-2	10.1%		42.2%	42.2%		15.5												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	1.0	2.8	5.8
15-3	12.4%		32.4%	32.4%		15.8													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	3.3	8.4
14-4	13.8%		24.8%	24.8%		15.9													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	3.2	10.4
13-5	13.5%		16.3%	16.3%		16.0														0.0	0.0	0.1	2.1	11.3
12-6	11.7%		11.0%	11.0%		16.0																0.0	1.3	10.5
11-7	9.5%		7.6%	7.6%		16.0																0.0	0.7	8.8
10-8	7.1%		5.0%	5.0%		16.0																	0.4	6.8
9-9	5.0%		3.0%	3.0%		16.0																	0.2	4.8
8-10	3.5%		2.4%	2.4%		16.0																	0.1	3.4
7-11	2.0%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	2.0
6-12	1.3%																							1.3
5-13	0.6%																							0.6
4-14	0.2%																							0.2
3-15	0.1%																							0.1
2-16	0.0%																							0.0
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		21.7%	21.7%	0.0%	15.6									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.5	3.3	16.1	78.3		0.0%