IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Presbyterian
Big South
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.0	#319
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	63.7	#311
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.2	#324

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.8	#292

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.8%	10.1%	2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	14.7	15.6

.500 or above	17.9%	58.9%	17.1%
.500 or above in Conference	39.0%	73.4%	38.3%
Conference Champion	3.1%	12.5%	2.9%
Last Place in Conference	13.7%	2.1%	14.0%

First Four	1.3%	1.9%	1.3%
First Round	2.2%	9.4%	2.0%
Second Round	0.1%	0.8%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Away) - 2.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 10
Quad 4	9 - 9	10 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	55	@ Clemson	L	52-73	2%
Nov 12, 2021	218	VMI	L	71-74	38%
Nov 15, 2021	272	The Citadel	W	77-76	50%
Nov 18, 2021	90	@ Cincinnati	L	61-79	6%
Nov 24, 2021	218	VMI	L	69-75	30%
Nov 25, 2021	298	@ New Orleans	L	72-77	35%
Nov 26, 2021	334	Central Arkansas	W	73-71	58%
Nov 30, 2021	23	@ Tennessee	L	54-79	2%
Dec 06, 2021	158	@ Morehead St.	L	59-72	15%
Dec 12, 2021	235	@ College of Charleston	L	61-69	26%
Dec 18, 2021	139	Wofford	L	62-70	26%
Dec 21, 2021	109	@ Furman	L	60-76	9%
Jan 05, 2022	286	@ N.C. A&T	L	68-73	34%
Jan 08, 2022	343	South Carolina Upstate	W	72-65	71%
Jan 12, 2022	225	@ Gardner-Webb	L	63-72	24%
Jan 15, 2022	329	@ Hampton	L	71-72	46%
Jan 19, 2022	143	Winthrop	L	69-77	27%
Jan 22, 2022	249	Longwood	L	63-64	47%
Jan 26, 2022	335	@ Charleston Southern	L	69-70	48%
Jan 29, 2022	252	UNC Asheville	L	70-71	47%
Feb 02, 2022	200	Campbell	L	63-67	37%
Feb 05, 2022	264	@ Radford	L	61-67	30%
Feb 09, 2022	299	High Point	W	67-66	55%
Feb 12, 2022	143	@ Winthrop	L	66-80	14%
Feb 16, 2022	343	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	69-68	53%
Feb 19, 2022	225	Gardner-Webb	L	66-69	42%
Feb 23, 2022	335	Charleston Southern	W	72-67	67%
Feb 26, 2022	252	@ UNC Asheville	L	67-74	30%
Projected Record						10 - 18	7 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.2	0.6	1.0	0.9	0.4	0.1		3.1	1st
2nd										0.0	0.4	1.4	1.7	0.9	0.2				4.6	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.5	2.1	2.5	0.9	0.1					6.1	3rd
4th								0.0	0.4	2.5	3.1	1.0	0.1						7.1	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.7	3.9	1.4	0.1	0.0						8.5	5th
6th						0.0	0.2	2.4	4.8	1.8	0.1								9.4	6th
7th					0.0	0.1	2.2	5.1	2.7	0.2	0.0								10.3	7th
8th					0.1	1.9	5.4	3.3	0.4	0.0									11.2	8th
9th				0.1	1.7	4.8	3.6	0.6	0.0										11.0	9th
10th			0.2	1.7	4.6	3.5	0.7	0.0											10.7	10th
11th		0.3	1.9	4.0	3.1	0.7	0.0												10.1	11th
12th	0.8	2.3	3.0	1.7	0.4	0.0													8.1	12th

Total	0.8	2.6	5.1	7.5	10.0	11.1	12.2	11.8	11.0	8.9	7.2	5.2	3.3	2.0	1.0	0.4	0.1			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-1	100.0%	0.4		0.4	0.0
14-2	84.8%	0.9		0.7	0.2	0.0
13-3	51.0%	1.0		0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0
12-4	19.2%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0
11-5	3.1%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.1%	0.0		0.0				0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	3.1%	3.1		1.7	1.0	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.1%		37.2%	37.2%		13.7														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
15-1	0.4%		38.2%	38.2%		14.2												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.2
14-2	1.0%		24.7%	24.7%		14.7													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.8
13-3	2.0%		21.1%	21.1%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	1.6
12-4	3.3%		13.6%	13.6%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.3	2.8
11-5	5.2%		9.0%	9.0%		15.7													0.0		0.0	0.1	0.3	4.7
10-6	7.2%		4.9%	4.9%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	6.8
9-7	8.9%		3.8%	3.8%		15.9																0.0	0.3	8.6
8-8	11.0%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																	0.2	10.8
7-9	11.8%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	11.7
6-10	12.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	12.2
5-11	11.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.1
4-12	10.0%																							10.0
3-13	7.5%																							7.5
2-14	5.1%																							5.1
1-15	2.6%																							2.6
0-16	0.8%																							0.8

Total	100%		2.8%	2.8%	0.0%	15.5												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.9	97.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.4%