Preseason Rankings
Princeton
Ivy League
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#168
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.3#172
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#162
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#182
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.5% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.1% 32.0% 17.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.5 14.5
.500 or above 73.9% 90.2% 65.7%
.500 or above in Conference 74.9% 86.1% 69.3%
Conference Champion 22.3% 32.2% 17.3%
Last Place in Conference 4.8% 1.7% 6.4%
First Four1.1% 0.7% 1.3%
First Round21.6% 31.8% 16.5%
Second Round2.7% 5.2% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 1.4% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina (Neutral) - 33.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 21 - 3
Quad 33 - 44 - 7
Quad 411 - 314 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 104   South Carolina L 76-81 33%    
  Nov 17, 2021 246   Marist W 71-63 76%    
  Nov 21, 2021 70   @ Oregon St. L 64-75 17%    
  Nov 24, 2021 216   @ Monmouth L 78-79 49%    
  Nov 28, 2021 323   Fairleigh Dickinson W 84-71 86%    
  Dec 01, 2021 192   @ Hofstra L 73-75 45%    
  Dec 04, 2021 175   Drexel W 71-68 61%    
  Dec 07, 2021 294   Bucknell W 81-71 80%    
  Dec 11, 2021 292   @ Lafayette W 77-73 63%    
  Dec 13, 2021 229   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 75-68 71%    
  Jan 02, 2022 160   @ Harvard L 71-74 39%    
  Jan 07, 2022 315   Columbia W 77-65 83%    
  Jan 08, 2022 290   Cornell W 78-68 79%    
  Jan 15, 2022 237   Brown W 73-66 71%    
  Jan 17, 2022 187   Penn W 74-70 63%    
  Jan 22, 2022 270   @ Dartmouth W 72-69 60%    
  Jan 29, 2022 126   Yale W 74-73 51%    
  Feb 04, 2022 290   @ Cornell W 75-71 63%    
  Feb 05, 2022 315   @ Columbia W 74-68 67%    
  Feb 12, 2022 270   Dartmouth W 75-66 76%    
  Feb 18, 2022 237   @ Brown W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 19, 2022 126   @ Yale L 70-76 32%    
  Feb 26, 2022 160   Harvard W 74-71 58%    
  Mar 05, 2022 187   @ Penn L 71-73 44%    
Projected Record 14 - 10 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 3.0 6.1 6.7 4.3 1.6 22.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 5.3 7.8 4.4 1.0 20.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 6.4 6.4 2.1 0.1 17.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 2.2 6.0 4.8 1.0 0.0 14.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.0 3.2 0.4 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.4 1.9 0.2 7.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.2 0.9 0.1 5.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.7 8th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.7 4.6 6.6 9.4 11.4 12.9 13.4 13.0 10.6 7.8 4.3 1.6 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 1.6    1.6
13-1 100.0% 4.3    4.0 0.2
12-2 86.5% 6.7    5.1 1.6 0.0
11-3 57.4% 6.1    3.2 2.5 0.4 0.0
10-4 23.2% 3.0    0.8 1.5 0.7 0.1
9-5 4.0% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 22.3% 22.3 14.7 6.1 1.3 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 1.6% 100.0% 100.0% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
13-1 4.3% 100.0% 100.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.1
12-2 7.8% 86.8% 86.5% 0.3% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.4 1.7 0.4 1.0 2.5%
11-3 10.6% 57.2% 57.1% 0.1% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.7 2.4 1.1 4.6 0.2%
10-4 13.0% 22.4% 22.4% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.1 10.1
9-5 13.4% 3.3% 3.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 12.9
8-6 12.9% 0.1% 0.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 12.9
7-7 11.4% 11.4
6-8 9.4% 9.4
5-9 6.6% 6.6
4-10 4.6% 4.6
3-11 2.7% 2.7
2-12 1.3% 1.3
1-13 0.5% 0.5
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 22.1% 22.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.6 4.5 6.0 6.0 3.0 77.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 6.3 1.0 8.2 6.2 26.4 27.1 6.7 3.6 5.5 5.7 7.2 2.4
Lose Out 0.0%