Preseason Rankings
Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#261
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace76.7#35
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#290
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#226
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.7% 19.2% 5.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.0 15.1
.500 or above 41.8% 85.4% 41.1%
.500 or above in Conference 44.5% 80.1% 43.9%
Conference Champion 6.0% 22.4% 5.7%
Last Place in Conference 14.4% 2.2% 14.6%
First Four1.4% 1.7% 1.3%
First Round5.1% 18.1% 4.9%
Second Round0.3% 1.9% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland (Away) - 1.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 9
Quad 411 - 714 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 16   @ Maryland L 59-81 2%    
  Nov 15, 2021 321   Holy Cross W 80-73 73%    
  Nov 20, 2021 346   Central Connecticut St. W 84-72 84%    
  Nov 23, 2021 241   @ New Hampshire L 69-73 37%    
  Nov 28, 2021 237   Brown W 73-71 55%    
  Dec 03, 2021 191   St. Peter's L 69-70 46%    
  Dec 05, 2021 278   @ Manhattan L 69-71 43%    
  Dec 08, 2021 270   @ Dartmouth L 71-73 42%    
  Dec 11, 2021 337   Maine W 71-62 78%    
  Dec 22, 2021 53   @ Penn St. L 67-85 7%    
  Dec 31, 2021 250   Niagara W 72-69 58%    
  Jan 02, 2022 248   Rider W 76-73 58%    
  Jan 07, 2022 265   @ Canisius L 76-79 41%    
  Jan 09, 2022 250   @ Niagara L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 14, 2022 248   @ Rider L 73-76 39%    
  Jan 16, 2022 260   Fairfield W 69-66 59%    
  Jan 23, 2022 146   Iona L 71-75 38%    
  Jan 28, 2022 246   Marist W 70-68 57%    
  Jan 30, 2022 227   @ Siena L 69-74 35%    
  Feb 04, 2022 191   @ St. Peter's L 66-73 28%    
  Feb 06, 2022 216   Monmouth W 82-81 51%    
  Feb 09, 2022 260   @ Fairfield L 66-69 41%    
  Feb 13, 2022 278   Manhattan W 72-68 62%    
  Feb 20, 2022 246   @ Marist L 67-71 39%    
  Feb 24, 2022 227   Siena W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 27, 2022 265   Canisius W 79-76 60%    
  Mar 03, 2022 216   @ Monmouth L 78-84 33%    
  Mar 05, 2022 146   @ Iona L 68-78 22%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.6 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 6.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.3 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 7.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 2.4 2.9 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 8.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.0 3.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 8.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 3.4 3.2 1.3 0.1 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.5 3.5 1.2 0.1 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.8 3.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.8 3.4 0.9 0.1 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.1 3.8 2.9 0.9 0.1 10.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.5 3.4 2.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 10.1 10th
11th 0.4 1.2 2.2 2.5 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 10.0 11th
Total 0.4 1.2 2.4 3.7 5.3 6.9 8.0 8.9 9.4 9.3 9.0 8.1 7.3 6.0 5.0 3.7 2.6 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 96.7% 0.8    0.7 0.1
17-3 82.3% 1.3    1.0 0.3 0.0
16-4 59.9% 1.6    1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 31.2% 1.1    0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0
14-6 12.7% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.0% 6.0 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 77.3% 74.4% 2.9% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.3%
19-1 0.3% 52.4% 52.4% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
18-2 0.8% 43.0% 42.4% 0.6% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0%
17-3 1.6% 34.0% 34.0% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.0
16-4 2.6% 28.8% 28.8% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.9
15-5 3.7% 20.4% 20.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 2.9
14-6 5.0% 15.9% 15.9% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 4.2
13-7 6.0% 11.1% 11.1% 15.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 5.3
12-8 7.3% 7.9% 7.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 6.8
11-9 8.1% 5.2% 5.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 7.7
10-10 9.0% 3.6% 3.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 8.7
9-11 9.3% 1.6% 1.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.1
8-12 9.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 9.3
7-13 8.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 8.9
6-14 8.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.0
5-15 6.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.9
4-16 5.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.3
3-17 3.7% 3.7
2-18 2.4% 2.4
1-19 1.2% 1.2
0-20 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.7 2.4 94.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%