Preseason Rankings
Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#227
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.3#301
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#251
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#222
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.6% 22.7% 8.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 13.4 14.7
.500 or above 46.3% 83.2% 44.9%
.500 or above in Conference 56.9% 84.7% 55.9%
Conference Champion 10.2% 29.0% 9.5%
Last Place in Conference 9.0% 1.5% 9.3%
First Four1.3% 1.2% 1.3%
First Round8.0% 22.0% 7.4%
Second Round0.6% 3.3% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Bonaventure (Away) - 3.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 63 - 9
Quad 412 - 715 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 28   @ St. Bonaventure L 55-74 4%    
  Nov 13, 2021 181   Delaware L 67-68 50%    
  Nov 16, 2021 126   Yale L 68-71 38%    
  Nov 19, 2021 86   @ Georgetown L 64-77 13%    
  Nov 22, 2021 160   Harvard L 68-69 46%    
  Nov 28, 2021 294   @ Bucknell W 73-72 52%    
  Nov 30, 2021 257   @ Army L 68-69 46%    
  Dec 03, 2021 278   Manhattan W 68-62 68%    
  Dec 05, 2021 191   @ St. Peter's L 62-67 33%    
  Dec 11, 2021 321   @ Holy Cross W 72-69 59%    
  Dec 28, 2021 259   @ American L 66-67 46%    
  Dec 31, 2021 146   @ Iona L 64-72 26%    
  Jan 02, 2022 265   Canisius W 74-69 65%    
  Jan 07, 2022 216   @ Monmouth L 72-76 38%    
  Jan 09, 2022 260   Fairfield W 65-60 65%    
  Jan 14, 2022 246   @ Marist L 63-65 44%    
  Jan 21, 2022 278   @ Manhattan L 64-65 49%    
  Jan 28, 2022 250   Niagara W 68-64 64%    
  Jan 30, 2022 261   Quinnipiac W 74-69 65%    
  Feb 04, 2022 248   Rider W 71-67 63%    
  Feb 06, 2022 260   @ Fairfield L 62-63 46%    
  Feb 11, 2022 146   Iona L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 13, 2022 248   @ Rider L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 18, 2022 246   Marist W 66-62 63%    
  Feb 20, 2022 191   St. Peter's W 65-64 52%    
  Feb 24, 2022 261   @ Quinnipiac L 71-72 46%    
  Feb 27, 2022 216   Monmouth W 75-73 57%    
  Mar 03, 2022 250   @ Niagara L 65-67 45%    
  Mar 05, 2022 265   @ Canisius L 71-72 47%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 2.4 2.3 1.6 0.8 0.2 10.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.1 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1 10.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.0 3.8 2.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 10.9 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 3.2 3.7 1.8 0.4 0.0 10.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 3.5 3.9 1.5 0.2 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.3 3.6 1.3 0.1 9.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.4 3.4 1.0 0.1 9.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.1 3.0 0.9 0.1 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.8 2.4 0.8 0.1 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.7 2.4 1.6 0.6 0.1 7.1 10th
11th 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.6 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 5.9 11th
Total 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.4 3.5 4.7 6.1 7.3 8.3 8.8 9.2 9.3 8.8 8.0 6.8 5.7 3.9 2.7 1.6 0.8 0.2 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.8    0.7 0.0
18-2 95.6% 1.6    1.4 0.1 0.0
17-3 82.6% 2.3    1.8 0.5 0.0
16-4 61.4% 2.4    1.5 0.8 0.1 0.0
15-5 33.6% 1.9    0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0
14-6 13.3% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 10.2% 10.2 6.8 2.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 64.3% 54.1% 10.2% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 22.3%
19-1 0.8% 58.7% 56.3% 2.4% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.5%
18-2 1.6% 43.4% 43.1% 0.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 0.5%
17-3 2.7% 37.3% 37.2% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.7 0.2%
16-4 3.9% 26.3% 26.3% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 2.9
15-5 5.7% 21.7% 21.7% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 4.5
14-6 6.8% 17.8% 17.8% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.3 5.6
13-7 8.0% 12.0% 12.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 7.0
12-8 8.8% 8.6% 8.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 8.0
11-9 9.3% 5.3% 5.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 8.8
10-10 9.2% 3.2% 3.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 8.9
9-11 8.8% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.7
8-12 8.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 8.2
7-13 7.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 7.3
6-14 6.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.1
5-15 4.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.7
4-16 3.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.5
3-17 2.4% 2.4
2-18 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.3
1-19 0.5% 0.5
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 8.6% 8.5% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.9 2.4 2.5 91.4 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 4.0 100.0
Lose Out 0.1%