Preseason Rankings
Texas A&M
Southeastern
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.7#94
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.7#323
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#110
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#84
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.7% 1.8% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 3.8% 4.1% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.3% 16.5% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 14.0% 15.1% 2.3%
Average Seed 8.4 8.3 9.8
.500 or above 55.9% 59.1% 20.8%
.500 or above in Conference 31.8% 33.6% 11.9%
Conference Champion 1.7% 1.9% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 15.9% 14.3% 33.1%
First Four2.4% 2.5% 0.8%
First Round14.1% 15.2% 2.4%
Second Round7.3% 7.9% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen2.7% 2.9% 0.2%
Elite Eight1.1% 1.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: North Florida (Home) - 91.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 8
Quad 23 - 45 - 12
Quad 34 - 29 - 14
Quad 47 - 116 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 280   North Florida W 77-62 92%    
  Nov 12, 2021 167   Abilene Christian W 71-62 78%    
  Nov 14, 2021 342   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 79-57 98%    
  Nov 17, 2021 348   Houston Baptist W 87-63 98%    
  Nov 22, 2021 43   Wisconsin L 60-65 34%    
  Nov 30, 2021 298   New Orleans W 82-66 91%    
  Dec 11, 2021 80   TCU L 66-67 47%    
  Dec 14, 2021 136   Tulane W 69-63 70%    
  Dec 18, 2021 70   @ Oregon St. L 63-68 33%    
  Dec 21, 2021 338   Northwestern St. W 82-62 95%    
  Dec 29, 2021 334   Central Arkansas W 82-62 95%    
  Jan 04, 2022 133   @ Georgia W 74-73 51%    
  Jan 08, 2022 17   Arkansas L 70-75 34%    
  Jan 11, 2022 66   Mississippi W 64-63 51%    
  Jan 15, 2022 84   @ Missouri L 66-70 37%    
  Jan 19, 2022 14   Kentucky L 66-72 32%    
  Jan 22, 2022 17   @ Arkansas L 67-78 19%    
  Jan 26, 2022 36   @ LSU L 69-78 24%    
  Jan 29, 2022 104   South Carolina W 75-71 62%    
  Feb 01, 2022 23   @ Tennessee L 60-71 20%    
  Feb 05, 2022 84   Missouri W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 08, 2022 36   LSU L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 12, 2022 26   @ Auburn L 67-77 22%    
  Feb 15, 2022 33   Florida L 67-70 39%    
  Feb 19, 2022 92   @ Vanderbilt L 67-70 40%    
  Feb 22, 2022 133   Georgia W 77-71 69%    
  Feb 26, 2022 66   @ Mississippi L 60-66 33%    
  Mar 02, 2022 15   @ Alabama L 68-80 17%    
  Mar 05, 2022 56   Mississippi St. L 65-66 48%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 1.8 1.6 0.4 0.0 4.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.1 0.5 0.0 5.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 6.3 6th
7th 0.2 1.9 3.7 1.4 0.1 0.0 7.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 3.9 2.1 0.2 0.0 8.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 4.1 3.0 0.4 0.0 8.7 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 3.9 3.7 0.7 0.0 9.4 10th
11th 0.0 1.0 3.9 4.3 1.2 0.1 10.4 11th
12th 0.1 1.1 3.7 4.1 1.6 0.1 0.0 10.7 12th
13th 0.2 1.6 3.9 3.9 1.5 0.2 0.0 11.3 13th
14th 1.0 2.4 3.3 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 10.0 14th
Total 1.0 2.7 5.0 7.4 9.4 10.7 11.3 10.9 9.9 9.0 7.3 5.4 4.2 2.8 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 98.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 85.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-3 61.4% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 30.9% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 6.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 63.5% 36.5% 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 40.6% 59.4% 2.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.3% 100.0% 20.6% 79.4% 3.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.9% 99.7% 18.8% 80.9% 4.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
14-4 1.7% 97.3% 15.0% 82.4% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.8%
13-5 2.8% 89.4% 8.9% 80.4% 7.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 88.3%
12-6 4.2% 73.3% 6.5% 66.8% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 71.5%
11-7 5.4% 52.6% 3.3% 49.3% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.0 2.6 51.0%
10-8 7.3% 30.7% 1.7% 28.9% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 5.1 29.4%
9-9 9.0% 12.5% 0.8% 11.7% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 7.9 11.8%
8-10 9.9% 3.9% 0.6% 3.3% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.5 3.3%
7-11 10.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.6% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.8 0.6%
6-12 11.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.3 0.0%
5-13 10.7% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 10.7
4-14 9.4% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 9.4
3-15 7.4% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 7.4
2-16 5.0% 5.0
1-17 2.7% 2.7
0-18 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 15.3% 1.6% 13.8% 8.4 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.4 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 84.7 14.0%