IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
UC San Diego
Big West
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.5	#263
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.2	#125
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.4	#227

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.1	#298

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	n/a	n/a	n/a

.500 or above	30.3%	62.4%	25.9%
.500 or above in Conference	33.9%	58.4%	30.6%
Conference Champion	2.3%	6.2%	1.7%
Last Place in Conference	15.8%	5.1%	17.2%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: California (Away) - 12.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 7	3 - 12
Quad 4	9 - 6	12 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	113	@ California	L	63-76	12%
Nov 13, 2021	238	George Washington	W	76-74	57%
Nov 20, 2021	287	@ Sacramento St.	L	70-72	44%
Nov 24, 2021	161	@ Montana	L	67-76	22%
Nov 25, 2021	195	Southern Miss	L	70-74	37%
Nov 26, 2021	266	UNC Wilmington	W	78-77	51%
Dec 02, 2021	300	Eastern Michigan	W	75-70	66%
Dec 12, 2021	179	@ Seattle	L	72-80	26%
Dec 15, 2021	344	@ Denver	W	80-75	64%
Dec 22, 2021	42	@ San Diego St.	L	60-80	6%
Dec 30, 2021	97	UC Santa Barbara	L	68-76	26%
Jan 01, 2022	296	Cal St. Northridge	W	81-76	65%
Jan 06, 2022	148	@ UC Riverside	L	66-76	21%
Jan 08, 2022	208	@ UC Davis	L	73-79	31%
Jan 11, 2022	111	@ UC Irvine	L	66-79	16%
Jan 16, 2022	202	@ Hawaii	L	68-75	30%
Jan 20, 2022	271	Long Beach St.	W	82-79	61%
Jan 22, 2022	231	@ Cal St. Fullerton	L	77-82	36%
Jan 27, 2022	305	Cal Poly	W	75-70	67%
Jan 29, 2022	203	Cal St. Bakersfield	L	68-69	49%
Feb 03, 2022	296	@ Cal St. Northridge	L	78-79	46%
Feb 05, 2022	97	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	65-79	14%
Feb 10, 2022	208	UC Davis	L	75-76	49%
Feb 12, 2022	148	UC Riverside	L	69-73	38%
Feb 15, 2022	111	UC Irvine	L	69-76	30%
Feb 17, 2022	202	Hawaii	L	71-72	48%
Feb 24, 2022	271	@ Long Beach St.	L	79-82	42%
Feb 26, 2022	231	Cal St. Fullerton	W	80-79	54%
Mar 03, 2022	203	@ Cal St. Bakersfield	L	65-72	31%
Mar 05, 2022	305	@ Cal Poly	L	72-73	48%
Projected Record						12 - 18	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big West Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0		2.3	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.7	1.3	1.2	0.7	0.2	0.0				4.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.0	0.4	1.4	2.0	1.5	0.5	0.1	0.0					5.9	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	0.8	2.3	2.9	1.5	0.3	0.0	0.0						7.8	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	1.2	3.1	3.1	1.4	0.2	0.0								9.2	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	1.6	3.8	3.5	1.2	0.1	0.0									10.4	6th
7th						0.0	0.4	2.1	4.4	3.5	1.0	0.1											11.6	7th
8th					0.0	0.8	3.0	4.8	3.0	0.8	0.1												12.5	8th
9th				0.2	1.3	3.7	4.4	2.5	0.6	0.0													12.8	9th
10th		0.0	0.6	2.1	4.0	3.6	1.7	0.4	0.0														12.5	10th
11th	0.5	1.8	2.8	2.9	1.9	0.6	0.1	0.0															10.8	11th

Total	0.5	1.9	3.5	5.2	7.2	8.8	9.6	10.0	9.9	9.5	8.4	7.1	6.0	4.4	3.3	2.2	1.3	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Big West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
18-2	93.7%	0.3		0.3	0.0
17-3	71.8%	0.6		0.4	0.1	0.0
16-4	45.1%	0.6		0.3	0.2	0.0
15-5	20.0%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
14-6	6.1%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	1.1%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	2.3%	2.3		1.3	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%																							0.0
19-1	0.1%																							0.1
18-2	0.3%																							0.3
17-3	0.8%																							0.8
16-4	1.3%																							1.3
15-5	2.2%																							2.2
14-6	3.3%																							3.3
13-7	4.4%																							4.4
12-8	6.0%																							6.0
11-9	7.1%																							7.1
10-10	8.4%																							8.4
9-11	9.5%																							9.5
8-12	9.9%																							9.9
7-13	10.0%																							10.0
6-14	9.6%																							9.6
5-15	8.8%																							8.8
4-16	7.2%																							7.2
3-17	5.2%																							5.2
2-18	3.5%																							3.5
1-19	1.9%																							1.9
0-20	0.5%																							0.5

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0																		100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%