IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Western Michigan
Mid-American
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.6	#284
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.5	#272
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.1	#269

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.5	#286

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.8%	4.7%	0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.2	12.7	14.3

.500 or above	10.1%	43.5%	9.6%
.500 or above in Conference	16.8%	45.9%	16.3%
Conference Champion	0.5%	3.0%	0.4%
Last Place in Conference	21.7%	4.7%	22.0%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
First Round	0.7%	4.6%	0.7%
Second Round	0.1%	0.9%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Michigan St. (Away) - 1.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 8
Quad 3	2 - 7	3 - 15
Quad 4	6 - 5	8 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 12, 2021	24	@ Michigan St.	L	58-81	2%
Nov 22, 2021	39	@ Iowa	L	64-85	4%
Nov 26, 2021	222	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	70-76	29%
Nov 27, 2021	247	Purdue Fort Wayne	L	73-75	44%
Nov 28, 2021	325	SE Louisiana	W	73-70	61%
Dec 05, 2021	189	Valparaiso	L	68-70	42%
Dec 11, 2021	212	@ Detroit Mercy	L	69-76	28%
Dec 20, 2021	45	@ Notre Dame	L	61-81	5%
Dec 29, 2021	114	@ Toledo	L	66-80	14%
Jan 01, 2022	91	Ohio	L	67-77	22%
Jan 04, 2022	300	Eastern Michigan	W	71-67	63%
Jan 08, 2022	279	@ Central Michigan	L	75-78	40%
Jan 11, 2022	83	Buffalo	L	71-81	20%
Jan 15, 2022	152	Miami (OH)	L	66-71	36%
Jan 18, 2022	128	@ Akron	L	65-77	16%
Jan 22, 2022	150	Bowling Green	L	71-76	35%
Jan 25, 2022	132	@ Kent St.	L	66-78	17%
Jan 29, 2022	199	@ Ball St.	L	68-76	27%
Feb 01, 2022	314	Northern Illinois	W	70-65	65%
Feb 05, 2022	91	@ Ohio	L	64-80	11%
Feb 08, 2022	152	@ Miami (OH)	L	63-74	20%
Feb 12, 2022	279	Central Michigan	W	78-75	59%
Feb 15, 2022	128	Akron	L	68-74	31%
Feb 19, 2022	83	@ Buffalo	L	68-84	10%
Feb 22, 2022	114	Toledo	L	69-77	28%
Feb 26, 2022	150	@ Bowling Green	L	68-79	20%
Mar 01, 2022	300	@ Eastern Michigan	L	68-70	44%
Mar 04, 2022	199	Ball St.	L	71-73	45%
Projected Record						8 - 20	6 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.5	1st
2nd													0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0				1.1	2nd
3rd												0.1	0.3	0.7	0.6	0.2	0.0						1.9	3rd
4th										0.0	0.1	0.7	1.1	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0						2.9	4th
5th									0.0	0.2	0.9	1.6	1.0	0.3	0.0								4.1	5th
6th								0.0	0.4	1.5	2.3	1.5	0.3	0.0									6.0	6th
7th							0.1	0.8	2.5	3.2	1.7	0.4	0.0										8.7	7th
8th						0.2	1.4	3.6	3.8	2.0	0.3	0.0											11.3	8th
9th				0.0	0.5	2.4	5.0	4.5	1.9	0.3	0.0												14.6	9th
10th			0.1	1.4	4.1	5.7	4.1	1.4	0.2	0.0													16.9	10th
11th		0.4	2.5	5.2	5.4	3.0	0.8	0.1	0.0														17.3	11th
12th	1.6	3.7	4.6	3.1	1.4	0.3	0.0	0.0															14.7	12th

Total	1.6	4.2	7.2	9.7	11.3	11.6	11.3	10.4	8.8	7.1	5.4	4.2	2.8	2.0	1.2	0.7	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	90.6%	0.0		0.0	0.0
17-3	78.9%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
16-4	41.0%	0.1		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
15-5	13.8%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	4.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.5%	0.0				0.0		0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0					0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.5%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%											0.0				0.0
19-1	0.0%		63.6%	35.1%	28.6%	9.0							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0					0.0		44.0%
18-2	0.0%		23.0%	23.0%		12.8													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
17-3	0.2%		20.9%	16.3%	4.6%	12.4											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1		5.5%
16-4	0.3%		22.5%	21.0%	1.5%	12.9										0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2		1.8%
15-5	0.7%		11.1%	10.8%	0.3%	13.4												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.6		0.4%
14-6	1.2%		10.9%	10.9%		13.9												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	1.1
13-7	2.0%		5.2%	5.2%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.9
12-8	2.8%		3.7%	3.7%		14.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.7
11-9	4.2%		2.1%	2.1%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	4.1
10-10	5.4%		1.3%	1.3%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	5.3
9-11	7.1%		0.7%	0.7%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.0	7.1
8-12	8.8%		0.4%	0.4%		15.9																0.0	0.0	8.8
7-13	10.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.4
6-14	11.3%																							11.3
5-15	11.6%																							11.6
4-16	11.3%																							11.3
3-17	9.7%																							9.7
2-18	7.2%																							7.2
1-19	4.2%																							4.2
0-20	1.6%																							1.6

Total	100%		0.8%	0.8%	0.0%	14.2						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	99.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.7%