South Dakota
Summit League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#231
Expected Predictive Rating+1.6#156
Pace70.7#141
Improvement-0.3#207

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#190
First Shot-3.5#283
After Offensive Rebound+3.1#35
Layup/Dunks-6.8#342
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#236
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#206
Freethrows+5.6#1
Improvement+0.4#125

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#271
First Shot-6.0#330
After Offensive Rebounds+3.2#25
Layups/Dunks-3.5#283
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#283
Freethrows-2.1#291
Improvement-0.7#262
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 5.9% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.2
.500 or above 64.7% 76.2% 51.6%
.500 or above in Conference 64.0% 70.0% 57.2%
Conference Champion 3.4% 4.5% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.8% 1.9% 3.8%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
First Round4.5% 5.6% 3.1%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Jose St. (Away) - 53.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 53 - 9
Quad 413 - 515 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2021 256   Air Force W 59-53 57%     1 - 0 +0.7 -11.0 +12.1
  Nov 14, 2021 54   @ Drake L 50-99 9%     1 - 1 -37.4 -18.5 -17.7
  Nov 19, 2021 291   Southern W 71-68 75%     2 - 1 -7.3 -5.8 -1.5
  Nov 21, 2021 313   Tennessee St. W 83-66 78%     3 - 1 +5.5 +2.0 +3.0
  Nov 27, 2021 109   @ Nebraska L 70-83 16%     3 - 2 -5.8 -1.9 -3.4
  Nov 30, 2021 289   @ San Jose St. W 75-74 53%    
  Dec 07, 2021 179   @ Northern Colorado L 71-77 30%    
  Dec 11, 2021 316   Northern Arizona W 77-69 79%    
  Dec 15, 2021 175   Bellarmine W 72-71 51%    
  Dec 20, 2021 182   Oral Roberts W 79-78 52%    
  Dec 22, 2021 191   UMKC W 69-68 54%    
  Dec 30, 2021 322   @ North Dakota W 75-72 62%    
  Jan 01, 2022 168   @ North Dakota St. L 65-71 29%    
  Jan 08, 2022 59   @ South Dakota St. L 74-88 10%    
  Jan 13, 2022 324   Denver W 77-67 81%    
  Jan 15, 2022 331   Nebraska Omaha W 78-67 83%    
  Jan 20, 2022 190   @ Western Illinois L 74-79 32%    
  Jan 22, 2022 330   @ St. Thomas W 80-75 66%    
  Jan 27, 2022 168   North Dakota St. L 68-69 50%    
  Jan 29, 2022 322   North Dakota W 78-69 80%    
  Feb 05, 2022 59   South Dakota St. L 77-85 23%    
  Feb 10, 2022 331   @ Nebraska Omaha W 75-70 65%    
  Feb 12, 2022 324   @ Denver W 74-70 62%    
  Feb 17, 2022 330   St. Thomas W 83-72 82%    
  Feb 19, 2022 190   Western Illinois W 77-76 53%    
  Feb 24, 2022 191   @ UMKC L 66-71 33%    
  Feb 26, 2022 182   @ Oral Roberts L 76-81 32%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 3.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 2.7 3.8 2.6 1.0 0.1 11.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.8 5.3 2.3 0.4 0.0 14.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.7 6.1 5.5 2.0 0.2 16.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.6 6.7 5.3 1.5 0.1 17.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 3.9 6.2 3.7 0.9 0.0 15.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.3 4.2 1.8 0.2 10.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 2.2 2.2 0.8 0.1 5.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.4 0.9 2.2 4.2 6.8 9.5 12.0 13.5 14.0 12.6 10.2 6.7 4.0 2.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 91.1% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-3 55.5% 1.2    0.7 0.5 0.0
14-4 24.2% 1.0    0.4 0.4 0.2
13-5 6.1% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 30.8% 30.8% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.6% 32.1% 32.1% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4
15-3 2.2% 20.2% 20.2% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.7
14-4 4.0% 17.2% 17.2% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.0 3.3
13-5 6.7% 12.1% 12.1% 14.7 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 5.9
12-6 10.2% 8.7% 8.7% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 9.3
11-7 12.6% 4.7% 4.7% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 12.0
10-8 14.0% 3.0% 3.0% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 13.6
9-9 13.5% 2.0% 2.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 13.2
8-10 12.0% 1.9% 1.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 11.7
7-11 9.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 9.4
6-12 6.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.8
5-13 4.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.2
4-14 2.2% 2.2
3-15 0.9% 0.9
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 1.5 95.3 0.0%