UMKC
Summit League
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#191
Expected Predictive Rating+2.8#135
Pace61.7#338
Improvement-0.8#251

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#177
First Shot+0.1#176
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#199
Layup/Dunks+5.8#28
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#355
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#123
Freethrows-2.3#304
Improvement+0.5#115

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#214
First Shot-3.1#272
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#69
Layups/Dunks-5.9#330
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#65
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#51
Freethrows-3.4#332
Improvement-1.3#299
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.3% 9.6% 7.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.4 14.9
.500 or above 72.1% 81.5% 62.6%
.500 or above in Conference 79.5% 83.7% 75.2%
Conference Champion 7.3% 8.5% 6.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.5% 1.3%
First Four0.7% 0.4% 0.9%
First Round8.0% 9.4% 6.6%
Second Round0.5% 0.8% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas St. (Away) - 50.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 43 - 8
Quad 412 - 416 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 82   @ Minnesota L 56-71 16%     0 - 1 -5.6 -5.3 -1.6
  Nov 12, 2021 19   @ Iowa L 57-89 5%     0 - 2 -14.6 -12.8 -0.7
  Nov 15, 2021 127   @ Missouri W 80-66 25%     1 - 2 +19.6 +8.2 +10.7
  Nov 22, 2021 308   @ Idaho St. W 74-58 64%     2 - 2 +10.9 +11.4 +2.0
  Nov 27, 2021 138   Morehead St. L 62-70 37%     2 - 3 -5.8 -0.5 -6.5
  Nov 28, 2021 245   @ Arkansas St. L 66-67 50%    
  Dec 10, 2021 300   Green Bay W 71-61 81%    
  Dec 12, 2021 328   @ SIU Edwardsville W 69-63 72%    
  Dec 20, 2021 59   @ South Dakota St. L 69-81 14%    
  Dec 22, 2021 231   @ South Dakota L 68-69 46%    
  Dec 30, 2021 331   Nebraska Omaha W 74-61 87%    
  Jan 01, 2022 324   Denver W 72-60 85%    
  Jan 06, 2022 190   @ Western Illinois L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 08, 2022 330   @ St. Thomas W 75-68 73%    
  Jan 15, 2022 182   Oral Roberts W 74-71 60%    
  Jan 20, 2022 168   North Dakota St. W 64-62 56%    
  Jan 22, 2022 322   North Dakota W 74-63 85%    
  Jan 27, 2022 324   @ Denver W 69-63 69%    
  Jan 29, 2022 331   @ Nebraska Omaha W 71-64 72%    
  Feb 03, 2022 330   St. Thomas W 78-65 87%    
  Feb 05, 2022 190   Western Illinois W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 12, 2022 182   @ Oral Roberts L 71-74 39%    
  Feb 17, 2022 322   @ North Dakota W 71-66 69%    
  Feb 19, 2022 168   @ North Dakota St. L 61-65 36%    
  Feb 24, 2022 231   South Dakota W 71-66 67%    
  Feb 26, 2022 59   South Dakota St. L 72-78 30%    
Projected Record 15 - 11 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.7 2.4 1.7 0.7 0.1 7.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 3.7 7.0 5.5 2.0 0.3 19.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.7 5.7 7.3 3.7 0.8 0.0 19.4 3rd
4th 0.3 2.4 5.9 6.5 2.5 0.3 17.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.8 4.9 1.5 0.1 15.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.5 2.6 0.7 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.3 1.5 2.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.6 7th
8th 0.2 0.9 1.2 0.6 0.0 2.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 10th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.3 5.7 8.8 11.1 13.4 14.7 13.6 11.6 8.0 4.4 2.0 0.7 0.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
16-2 85.7% 1.7    1.2 0.5
15-3 53.8% 2.4    1.2 1.0 0.1
14-4 21.4% 1.7    0.5 0.8 0.4 0.0
13-5 6.0% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1
12-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.3% 7.3 3.9 2.6 0.7 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.7% 34.7% 34.7% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-2 2.0% 25.0% 25.0% 13.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5
15-3 4.4% 23.9% 23.9% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.3
14-4 8.0% 17.1% 17.1% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 6.6
13-5 11.6% 13.9% 13.9% 14.6 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.1 10.0
12-6 13.6% 10.0% 10.0% 15.0 0.3 0.8 0.3 12.3
11-7 14.7% 6.3% 6.3% 15.3 0.0 0.6 0.4 13.7
10-8 13.4% 4.3% 4.3% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 12.8
9-9 11.1% 3.7% 3.7% 15.8 0.1 0.3 10.7
8-10 8.8% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 8.7
7-11 5.7% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 5.6
6-12 3.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 3.3
5-13 1.7% 1.7
4-14 0.8% 0.8
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.3% 8.3% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.1 3.3 1.7 91.7 0.0%