Nebraska
Big Ten
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.2#109
Expected Predictive Rating-1.1#193
Pace76.8#40
Improvement-0.3#208

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#111
First Shot+1.5#132
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#142
Layup/Dunks+2.3#96
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#232
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#224
Freethrows+2.1#60
Improvement+0.2#150

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#101
First Shot+1.6#120
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#135
Layups/Dunks+5.6#30
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#266
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#330
Freethrows+2.2#60
Improvement-0.5#245
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 7.0% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.4% 6.8% 2.1%
Average Seed 9.7 9.4 10.0
.500 or above 16.5% 27.9% 12.0%
.500 or above in Conference 7.7% 10.7% 6.6%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 35.3% 29.7% 37.4%
First Four0.8% 1.4% 0.6%
First Round3.1% 6.2% 1.8%
Second Round1.3% 2.7% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina St. (Away) - 28.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 12
Quad 23 - 55 - 17
Quad 32 - 27 - 19
Quad 46 - 113 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 190   Western Illinois L 74-75 79%     0 - 1 -5.3 -9.2 +4.0
  Nov 12, 2021 216   Sam Houston St. W 74-65 82%     1 - 1 +3.5 -3.9 +7.1
  Nov 16, 2021 87   Creighton L 69-77 54%     1 - 2 -4.9 -4.5 -0.1
  Nov 19, 2021 308   Idaho St. W 78-60 92%     2 - 2 +6.9 +9.0 -0.3
  Nov 21, 2021 291   Southern W 82-59 91%     3 - 2 +12.7 -1.6 +12.1
  Nov 23, 2021 313   Tennessee St. W 79-73 92%     4 - 2 -5.5 -0.6 -4.9
  Nov 27, 2021 231   South Dakota W 83-70 84%     5 - 2 +6.6 +2.4 +3.7
  Dec 01, 2021 65   @ North Carolina St. L 72-78 28%    
  Dec 04, 2021 30   @ Indiana L 66-77 15%    
  Dec 07, 2021 16   Michigan L 68-76 24%    
  Dec 11, 2021 20   Auburn L 73-83 19%    
  Dec 19, 2021 101   Kansas St. W 70-68 59%    
  Dec 22, 2021 310   Kennesaw St. W 81-66 92%    
  Jan 02, 2022 29   Ohio St. L 73-78 32%    
  Jan 05, 2022 21   @ Michigan St. L 67-80 12%    
  Jan 08, 2022 98   @ Rutgers L 67-71 35%    
  Jan 11, 2022 33   Illinois L 75-80 34%    
  Jan 14, 2022 2   @ Purdue L 68-86 5%    
  Jan 17, 2022 30   Indiana L 69-74 33%    
  Jan 22, 2022 29   @ Ohio St. L 70-81 15%    
  Jan 25, 2022 31   Wisconsin L 65-70 33%    
  Jan 29, 2022 98   Rutgers W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 01, 2022 16   @ Michigan L 65-79 12%    
  Feb 05, 2022 42   Northwestern L 73-76 40%    
  Feb 09, 2022 82   Minnesota W 74-73 53%    
  Feb 13, 2022 19   @ Iowa L 76-89 12%    
  Feb 18, 2022 53   Maryland L 71-73 45%    
  Feb 22, 2022 42   @ Northwestern L 70-79 22%    
  Feb 25, 2022 19   Iowa L 79-86 27%    
  Feb 28, 2022 68   @ Penn St. L 65-71 29%    
  Mar 06, 2022 31   @ Wisconsin L 62-73 17%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 6 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 5th
6th 0.2 1.1 0.8 0.1 2.2 6th
7th 0.2 1.2 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.1 0.8 0.1 4.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 2.9 1.7 0.2 6.2 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 3.8 3.1 0.5 0.0 8.7 10th
11th 0.2 1.6 4.7 4.5 1.0 0.1 12.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.2 6.1 5.3 1.8 0.2 15.8 12th
13th 0.2 1.1 3.9 6.8 6.1 2.2 0.2 0.0 20.5 13th
14th 0.9 3.6 6.4 7.3 4.3 1.7 0.2 24.3 14th
Total 0.9 3.8 7.5 11.5 13.5 15.5 13.7 11.6 8.7 5.7 3.7 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 42.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 18.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.2% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.3% 100.0% 3.7% 96.3% 7.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7 0.5% 88.9% 6.7% 82.2% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 88.1%
12-8 1.0% 65.0% 65.0% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 65.0%
11-9 2.2% 45.5% 0.9% 44.5% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.2 45.0%
10-10 3.7% 21.2% 0.5% 20.7% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.9 20.8%
9-11 5.7% 4.8% 0.4% 4.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.4 4.4%
8-12 8.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.8% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.6 0.8%
7-13 11.6% 11.6
6-14 13.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 13.7
5-15 15.5% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 15.5
4-16 13.5% 13.5
3-17 11.5% 11.5
2-18 7.5% 7.5
1-19 3.8% 3.8
0-20 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 3.6% 0.1% 3.4% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.4 3.4%