Arkansas St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#278
Expected Predictive Rating-12.4#331
Pace60.4#351
Improvement-0.1#226

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#333
First Shot-4.7#311
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#254
Layup/Dunks+4.3#48
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#148
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#294
Freethrows-5.3#362
Improvement+0.0#153

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#175
First Shot-1.7#227
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#78
Layups/Dunks-0.3#196
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#139
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#220
Freethrows-1.2#255
Improvement-0.1#269
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 15.2% 29.5% 10.3%
.500 or above in Conference 16.7% 24.6% 14.0%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 19.0% 12.5% 21.2%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
First Round0.3% 0.5% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Air Force (Away) - 25.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 82 - 11
Quad 48 - 610 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2022 75   @ LSU L 52-61 7%     0 - 1 +1.3 -9.7 +10.2
  Nov 18, 2022 174   @ UC Davis L 60-75 20%     0 - 2 -12.3 -9.6 -3.0
  Nov 22, 2022 331   Tennessee Martin W 70-64 76%     1 - 2 -7.5 -11.6 +4.2
  Nov 25, 2022 262   Prairie View L 59-67 57%     1 - 3 -15.9 -14.3 -2.0
  Dec 01, 2022 363   Mississippi Valley W 58-38 92%     2 - 3 -2.0 -8.7 +12.1
  Dec 06, 2022 313   @ Central Arkansas L 67-72 49%     2 - 4 -10.8 -7.1 -4.0
  Dec 09, 2022 208   @ Air Force L 53-60 25%    
  Dec 14, 2022 256   Southeast Missouri St. W 67-65 56%    
  Dec 19, 2022 355   Alabama St. W 68-56 86%    
  Dec 22, 2022 323   Arkansas Little Rock W 72-65 73%    
  Dec 29, 2022 151   @ Old Dominion L 55-65 18%    
  Dec 31, 2022 319   Louisiana Monroe W 66-60 72%    
  Jan 05, 2023 138   @ South Alabama L 55-66 15%    
  Jan 07, 2023 145   @ Troy L 58-68 17%    
  Jan 12, 2023 197   Texas St. L 59-60 45%    
  Jan 14, 2023 115   Southern Miss L 58-65 28%    
  Jan 19, 2023 141   Louisiana L 61-66 32%    
  Jan 21, 2023 84   Marshall L 63-73 19%    
  Jan 26, 2023 115   @ Southern Miss L 55-68 13%    
  Jan 28, 2023 210   @ Appalachian St. L 57-64 27%    
  Feb 02, 2023 138   South Alabama L 58-63 33%    
  Feb 04, 2023 222   Coastal Carolina L 61-62 50%    
  Feb 09, 2023 197   @ Texas St. L 56-63 26%    
  Feb 11, 2023 294   @ Georgia Southern L 59-61 43%    
  Feb 16, 2023 145   Troy L 61-65 35%    
  Feb 18, 2023 240   Georgia St. W 59-58 53%    
  Feb 22, 2023 141   @ Louisiana L 58-69 17%    
  Feb 24, 2023 319   @ Louisiana Monroe W 63-62 51%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.1 5th
6th 0.3 1.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 4.1 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 2.9 0.7 0.0 5.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 3.8 1.6 0.1 7.3 8th
9th 0.0 1.4 4.5 3.1 0.4 0.0 9.4 9th
10th 0.1 1.3 4.9 4.4 0.9 0.0 11.6 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 5.2 5.7 1.6 0.1 13.7 11th
12th 0.1 1.3 5.2 6.2 2.2 0.2 15.2 12th
13th 0.2 1.5 5.1 5.4 2.0 0.2 14.4 13th
14th 0.5 2.2 3.8 3.3 1.2 0.1 11.2 14th
Total 0.5 2.4 5.4 9.8 13.0 14.9 14.4 12.6 10.2 7.4 4.6 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 72.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 45.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 24.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 8.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 5.0% 5.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.2% 7.2% 7.2% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.6% 4.3% 4.3% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
12-6 1.4% 2.8% 2.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
11-7 2.4% 2.2% 2.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 2.4
10-8 4.6% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 4.5
9-9 7.4% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.3
8-10 10.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.2
7-11 12.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.6
6-12 14.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.4
5-13 14.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.9
4-14 13.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.0
3-15 9.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.8
2-16 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.4
1-17 2.4% 2.4
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 99.5 0.0%