Harvard
Ivy League
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#152
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#158
Pace68.0#195
Improvement+0.3#32

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#210
First Shot-1.2#213
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#169
Layup/Dunks+7.7#11
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#333
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#323
Freethrows-0.5#212
Improvement+0.0#168

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#113
First Shot+1.8#115
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#172
Layups/Dunks+0.3#178
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#274
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#170
Freethrows+2.4#54
Improvement+0.3#20
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.6% 11.1% 5.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 14.1 14.7
.500 or above 83.7% 85.7% 60.8%
.500 or above in Conference 77.6% 78.6% 66.6%
Conference Champion 13.1% 13.6% 7.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 1.0% 2.3%
First Four0.8% 0.7% 1.0%
First Round10.3% 10.7% 4.9%
Second Round0.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Howard (Home) - 92.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 34 - 54 - 10
Quad 411 - 215 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 141   Louisiana L 61-75 46%     0 - 1 -12.0 -6.8 -5.8
  Nov 13, 2022 340   Elon W 92-77 89%     1 - 1 +2.6 +8.1 -6.2
  Nov 16, 2022 229   @ Northeastern W 70-69 55%     2 - 1 +0.6 +4.0 -3.4
  Nov 20, 2022 198   Siena W 69-59 71%     3 - 1 +5.2 -3.5 +9.0
  Nov 25, 2022 175   Loyola Chicago W 61-55 66%     4 - 1 +2.7 -8.0 +11.0
  Nov 27, 2022 146   @ Fordham L 60-68 37%     4 - 2 -3.6 -9.4 +5.9
  Nov 30, 2022 350   @ Holy Cross W 72-38 85%     5 - 2 +23.9 -1.1 +26.9
  Dec 02, 2022 98   Massachusetts L 68-71 47%     5 - 3 -1.2 -1.2 -0.1
  Dec 18, 2022 334   Howard W 78-63 92%    
  Dec 20, 2022 70   @ UC Irvine L 62-71 19%    
  Dec 22, 2022 13   @ Kansas L 61-79 5%    
  Dec 28, 2022 262   @ Maine W 69-66 61%    
  Dec 31, 2022 112   @ Princeton L 65-71 30%    
  Jan 06, 2023 223   @ Brown W 65-64 54%    
  Jan 07, 2023 84   @ Yale L 61-69 22%    
  Jan 14, 2023 343   Columbia W 78-61 93%    
  Jan 16, 2023 313   Dartmouth W 74-61 87%    
  Jan 21, 2023 149   Cornell W 78-75 60%    
  Jan 28, 2023 170   @ Penn L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 03, 2023 84   Yale L 64-66 41%    
  Feb 04, 2023 223   Brown W 68-61 74%    
  Feb 11, 2023 170   Penn W 73-69 65%    
  Feb 17, 2023 343   @ Columbia W 75-64 83%    
  Feb 18, 2023 149   @ Cornell L 75-78 38%    
  Feb 25, 2023 112   Princeton W 69-68 51%    
  Mar 04, 2023 313   @ Dartmouth W 71-64 72%    
Projected Record 15 - 11 8 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.1 3.4 1.2 0.2 13.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 6.3 8.2 3.1 0.3 18.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 7.5 9.1 2.3 0.1 20.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 7.6 8.3 1.6 0.0 19.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 6.4 6.2 1.1 0.0 15.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.2 3.1 0.6 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.1 2.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.9 6.7 11.2 15.8 17.7 17.5 13.4 8.3 3.7 1.2 0.2 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
13-1 100.0% 1.2    1.1 0.1
12-2 92.6% 3.4    2.7 0.7 0.0
11-3 61.0% 5.1    2.3 2.3 0.4
10-4 21.6% 2.9    0.5 1.3 0.9 0.1
9-5 2.4% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 13.1% 13.1 6.8 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.2% 51.8% 49.4% 2.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.7%
13-1 1.2% 36.2% 35.9% 0.3% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.5%
12-2 3.7% 28.3% 28.3% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 2.6
11-3 8.3% 20.6% 20.6% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 6.6
10-4 13.4% 15.0% 15.0% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 11.4
9-5 17.5% 12.0% 12.0% 14.2 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.1 15.4
8-6 17.7% 8.1% 8.1% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.1 16.3
7-7 15.8% 6.5% 6.5% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 14.7
6-8 11.2% 4.2% 4.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 10.7
5-9 6.7% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 6.5
4-10 2.9% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.1 2.9
3-11 1.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.2
2-12 0.3% 0.3
1-13 0.1% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.6% 10.6% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.5 3.5 2.7 1.3 89.4 0.0%