Pre-tourney Rankings
Atlantic 10
2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
60 Virginia Commonwealth 100.0%   12   27 - 7 15 - 3 27 - 8 15 - 3 +9.0      +1.2 145 +7.8 18 69.8 134 +9.8 51 +10.9 1
78 Dayton 0.0%   22 - 12 12 - 6 22 - 12 12 - 6 +7.5      +3.2 93 +4.3 65 59.3 352 +5.0 101 +5.4 3
92 Saint Louis 0.0%   20 - 12 12 - 6 20 - 12 12 - 6 +5.5      +4.7 61 +0.8 146 72.1 73 +6.1 91 +5.8 2
121 Duquesne 0.0%   20 - 12 10 - 8 20 - 12 10 - 8 +2.9      +2.5 106 +0.3 164 69.7 137 +2.8 129 +2.1 7
124 Davidson 0.0%   15 - 16 8 - 10 15 - 16 8 - 10 +2.3      +1.8 122 +0.5 157 63.8 296 +1.0 149 +0.7 8
128 Fordham 0.0%   25 - 8 12 - 6 25 - 8 12 - 6 +2.2      -1.3 214 +3.4 80 72.7 60 +6.0 93 +5.0 4
141 George Mason 0.0%   20 - 13 11 - 7 20 - 13 11 - 7 +1.6      -1.3 215 +2.9 89 66.2 226 +2.9 127 +3.1 5
147 Richmond 0.0%   15 - 18 7 - 11 15 - 18 7 - 11 +1.3      -0.7 192 +2.0 109 64.3 279 -0.8 179 -1.5 11
171 Saint Joseph's 0.0%   16 - 17 8 - 10 16 - 17 8 - 10 -0.3      -0.1 176 -0.2 181 71.9 82 -0.9 182 -0.7 10
182 St. Bonaventure 0.0%   14 - 18 8 - 10 14 - 18 8 - 10 -0.8      -2.5 252 +1.7 115 64.8 271 -1.7 197 -0.2 9
195 Massachusetts 0.0%   15 - 16 6 - 12 15 - 16 6 - 12 -1.2      -2.2 243 +1.0 140 74.9 34 +0.1 167 -3.4 13
207 George Washington 0.0%   15 - 16 10 - 8 15 - 16 10 - 8 -1.9      +3.0 98 -4.8 315 71.5 95 -1.0 185 +2.4 6
218 La Salle 0.0%   15 - 19 7 - 11 15 - 19 7 - 11 -2.5      -0.9 203 -1.5 220 68.8 163 -1.8 200 -2.3 12
238 Loyola Chicago 0.0%   10 - 21 4 - 14 10 - 21 4 - 14 -3.9      -1.7 234 -2.2 248 65.4 254 -4.7 252 -5.5 15
239 Rhode Island 0.0%   9 - 22 5 - 13 9 - 22 5 - 13 -3.9      -4.5 302 +0.6 152 68.1 177 -5.5 261 -4.4 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th
Virginia Commonwealth 1.0 100.0
Dayton 2.0 100.0
Saint Louis 2.0 100.0
Duquesne 6.0 100.0
Davidson 8.0 100.0
Fordham 2.0 100.0
George Mason 5.0 100.0
Richmond 11.0 100.0
Saint Joseph's 8.0 100.0
St. Bonaventure 8.0 100.0
Massachusetts 13.0 100.0
George Washington 6.0 100.0
La Salle 11.0 100.0
Loyola Chicago 15.0 100.0
Rhode Island 14.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Virginia Commonwealth 15 - 3 100.0
Dayton 12 - 6 100.0
Saint Louis 12 - 6 100.0
Duquesne 10 - 8 100.0
Davidson 8 - 10 100.0
Fordham 12 - 6 100.0
George Mason 11 - 7 100.0
Richmond 7 - 11 100.0
Saint Joseph's 8 - 10 100.0
St. Bonaventure 8 - 10 100.0
Massachusetts 6 - 12 100.0
George Washington 10 - 8 100.0
La Salle 7 - 11 100.0
Loyola Chicago 4 - 14 100.0
Rhode Island 5 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Virginia Commonwealth 100.0% 100.0
Dayton
Saint Louis
Duquesne
Davidson
Fordham
George Mason
Richmond
Saint Joseph's
St. Bonaventure
Massachusetts
George Washington
La Salle
Loyola Chicago
Rhode Island


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Virginia Commonwealth 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 0.2 11.4 77.1 11.3 0.0
Dayton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Saint Louis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Duquesne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Davidson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fordham 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
George Mason 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Richmond 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Saint Joseph's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Bonaventure 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Massachusetts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
George Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
La Salle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Loyola Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rhode Island 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Virginia Commonwealth 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 33.5% 12.0% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Dayton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Saint Louis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Duquesne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Davidson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fordham 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Mason 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Richmond 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Saint Joseph's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Bonaventure 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Massachusetts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
La Salle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rhode Island 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 33.5% 0.3 66.5 33.5
Sweet Sixteen 12.0% 0.1 88.0 12.0
Elite Eight 3.0% 0.0 97.0 3.0
Final Four 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Final Game 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0