Pre-tourney Rankings
Projected NCAA Tournament Seeding
2022-23



View: Probabilistic Seeding


Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
1  Alabama Auto 100.0% 100.0%
1  Houston At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1  UCLA At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1  Kansas At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  Texas Auto 100.0% 100.0%
2  Purdue Auto 100.0% 100.0%
2  Gonzaga Auto 100.0% 100.0%
2  Marquette Auto 100.0% 100.0%
3  Arizona Auto 100.0% 100.0%
3  Baylor At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Connecticut At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Xavier At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  San Diego St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
4  Tennessee At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Kansas St. At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Texas A&M At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  Iowa St. At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  St. Mary's At-Large 99.2% 99.2% 99.2%
5  Duke Auto 100.0% 100.0%
5  TCU At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
6  Indiana At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
6  Creighton At-Large 99.3% 99.3% 99.3%
6  Florida Atlantic Auto 100.0% 100.0%
6  Memphis Auto 100.0% 100.0%
7  Kentucky At-Large 99.8% 99.8% 99.8%
7  Virginia At-Large 99.6% 99.6% 99.6%
7  Michigan St. At-Large 99.1% 99.1% 99.1%
7  Miami (FL) At-Large 98.7% 98.7% 98.7%
8  Northwestern At-Large 99.0% 99.0% 99.0%
8  Utah St. At-Large 97.5% 97.5% 97.5%
8  Missouri At-Large 98.7% 98.7% 98.7%
8  Boise St. At-Large 96.9% 96.9% 96.9%
Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
9  Penn St. At-Large 97.6% 97.6% 97.6%
9  Iowa At-Large 95.8% 95.8% 95.8%
9  West Virginia At-Large 97.8% 97.8% 97.8%
9  Arkansas At-Large 91.4% 91.4% 91.4%
10  USC At-Large 87.4% 87.4% 87.4%
10  Maryland At-Large 88.9% 88.9% 88.9%
10  Auburn At-Large 88.2% 88.2% 88.2%
10  Providence At-Large 81.4% 81.4% 81.4%
11  Illinois At-Large 88.7% 88.7% 88.7%
11  Rutgers At-Large 75.8% 75.8% 75.8%
11  Nevada At-Large 59.3% 59.3% 59.3%
11  Oklahoma St. At-Large 66.0% 66.0% 66.0%
11  Arizona St. At-Large 58.3% 58.3% 58.3%
11  Mississippi St. At-Large 56.9% 56.9% 56.9%
12  Virginia Commonwealth Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Oral Roberts Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Drake Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  College of Charleston Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Kent St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Iona Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Louisiana Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  UC Santa Barbara Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Grand Canyon Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Furman Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Montana St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Kennesaw St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Princeton Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Vermont Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Colgate Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  UNC Asheville Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Northern Kentucky Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Texas Southern Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  TX A&M Corpus Christi Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Southeast Missouri St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Fairleigh Dickinson Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Howard Auto 100.0% 100.0%



Bubble Teams - Last at Large Teams

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Providence 81.4% 81.4% 81.4%
Rutgers 75.8% 75.8% 75.8%
Oklahoma St. 66.0% 66.0% 66.0%
Nevada 59.3% 59.3% 59.3%
Arizona St. 58.3% 58.3% 58.3%
Mississippi St. 56.9% 56.9% 56.9%


Bubble Teams - First Teams Out

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
North Carolina St. 53.1% 53.1% 53.1%
Oregon 42.8% 42.8% 42.8%
Vanderbilt 35.2% 35.2% 35.2%
Wisconsin 30.0% 30.0% 30.0%
Clemson 29.9% 29.9% 29.9%
North Carolina 26.2% 26.2% 26.2%
Pittsburgh 23.7% 23.7% 23.7%
New Mexico 11.7% 11.7% 11.7%
Michigan 9.8% 9.8% 9.8%
North Texas 9.2% 9.2% 9.2%
UAB 1.9% 1.9% 1.9%
Seton Hall 1.7% 1.7% 1.7%
Cincinnati 0.7% 0.7% 0.7%
Santa Clara 0.7% 0.7% 0.7%
Sam Houston St. 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
Utah Valley 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
San Jose St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Colorado 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Virginia Tech 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Villanova 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Bradley 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Liberty 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wake Forest 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oklahoma 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Washington St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tulane 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Yale 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Miss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hofstra 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNLV 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%