Pre-tourney Rankings
Big West
2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
104 UC Irvine 0.0%   21 - 11 15 - 5 21 - 11 15 - 5 +4.5      +1.6 131 +2.9 87 71.8 85 +3.7 116 +5.3 2
108 UC Santa Barbara 100.0%   13   25 - 7 15 - 5 25 - 8 15 - 5 +4.1      +4.0 78 +0.1 171 63.4 301 +6.3 87 +5.3 1
127 Cal St. Fullerton 0.0%   18 - 13 12 - 6 18 - 13 12 - 6 +2.3      -0.6 188 +2.9 90 63.3 306 +2.7 131 +3.5 4
130 Hawaii 0.0%   21 - 11 13 - 7 21 - 11 13 - 7 +2.1      -2.4 248 +4.5 60 63.1 312 +2.5 133 +2.6 5
146 UC Riverside 0.0%   21 - 12 14 - 6 21 - 12 14 - 6 +1.4      +1.5 133 -0.1 176 66.9 209 +3.9 113 +4.1 3
160 UC Davis 0.0%   16 - 14 11 - 8 16 - 14 11 - 8 +0.3      -0.5 185 +0.7 150 74.8 36 -0.3 174 +0.5 6
162 Long Beach St. 0.0%   15 - 16 11 - 9 15 - 16 11 - 9 +0.2      +0.3 163 -0.1 177 80.4 2 -0.4 175 +0.2 7
253 UC San Diego 0.0%   8 - 19 5 - 13 8 - 20 5 - 13 -5.1      -1.7 235 -3.3 279 65.8 242 -5.7 263 -6.5 9
278 Cal Poly 0.0%   6 - 25 1 - 18 6 - 25 1 - 18 -6.3      -6.9 340 +0.6 153 61.8 332 -9.5 327 -18.1 11
287 Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0%   9 - 22 6 - 14 9 - 22 6 - 14 -6.5      -6.4 336 -0.1 178 60.0 347 -6.2 270 -5.8 8
321 Cal St. Northridge 0.0%   5 - 25 4 - 16 5 - 25 4 - 16 -9.1      -6.1 331 -2.9 267 63.8 295 -11.3 338 -8.8 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
UC Irvine 1.0 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 1.0 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 5.0 100.0
Hawaii 4.0 100.0
UC Riverside 3.0 100.0
UC Davis 6.0 100.0
Long Beach St. 6.0 100.0
UC San Diego 9.0 100.0
Cal Poly 11.0 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield 8.0 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
UC Irvine 15 - 5 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 15 - 5 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 12 - 8 100.0
Hawaii 13 - 7 100.0
UC Riverside 14 - 6 100.0
UC Davis 11 - 9 100.0
Long Beach St. 11 - 9 100.0
UC San Diego 5 - 15 100.0
Cal Poly 1 - 19 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield 6 - 14 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 4 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
UC Irvine 100.0% 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 100.0% 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton
Hawaii
UC Riverside
UC Davis
Long Beach St.
UC San Diego
Cal Poly
Cal St. Bakersfield
Cal St. Northridge


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
UC Irvine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Santa Barbara 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   1.5 46.6 44.8 7.1
Cal St. Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
UC Irvine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Santa Barbara 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 14.4% 3.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 14.4% 0.1 85.6 14.4
Sweet Sixteen 3.2% 0.0 96.8 3.2
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0