Pre-tourney Rankings
Colonial Athletic
2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
71 College of Charleston 100.0%   12   30 - 3 16 - 2 30 - 4 16 - 2 +8.0      +4.2 70 +3.8 73 76.8 21 +11.4 38 +7.8 2
93 Hofstra 0.0%   23 - 9 16 - 2 23 - 9 16 - 2 +5.3      +3.4 90 +1.9 111 68.0 178 +5.2 100 +7.9 1
134 Towson 0.0%   21 - 12 12 - 6 21 - 12 12 - 6 +2.0      +1.7 124 +0.3 163 63.1 311 +1.4 141 +1.1 3
157 UNC Wilmington 0.0%   22 - 10 12 - 6 22 - 10 12 - 6 +0.4      -1.8 237 +2.2 105 63.9 289 +4.4 109 -0.9 4
201 Drexel 0.0%   16 - 15 10 - 8 16 - 15 10 - 8 -1.5      -2.7 258 +1.2 135 61.0 341 -3.6 233 -4.4 5
235 Delaware 0.0%   16 - 16 8 - 10 16 - 16 8 - 10 -3.7      -1.6 233 -2.1 244 67.3 197 -2.2 210 -5.2 6
299 Northeastern 0.0%   10 - 20 6 - 12 10 - 20 6 - 12 -7.4      -4.8 312 -2.5 256 67.0 203 -7.7 300 -8.9 10
316 N.C. A&T 0.0%   10 - 19 8 - 10 10 - 19 8 - 10 -8.7      -4.6 306 -4.1 299 73.3 45 -7.5 295 -6.9 7
319 William & Mary 0.0%   11 - 20 7 - 11 11 - 20 7 - 11 -8.8      -3.7 283 -5.2 323 63.9 287 -7.3 293 -8.4 9
326 Stony Brook 0.0%   9 - 22 6 - 12 9 - 22 6 - 12 -9.3      -5.6 324 -3.7 290 62.0 328 -9.1 323 -9.6 11
334 Elon 0.0%   6 - 24 6 - 12 6 - 24 6 - 12 -10.7      -5.7 328 -5.0 321 65.8 243 -11.9 346 -8.2 8
343 Monmouth 0.0%   7 - 26 5 - 13 7 - 26 5 - 13 -11.6      -8.2 353 -3.4 280 70.2 124 -10.7 330 -10.8 12
349 Hampton 0.0%   7 - 24 5 - 13 7 - 24 5 - 13 -12.4      -5.1 318 -7.3 353 71.0 106 -11.9 345 -10.8 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
College of Charleston 1.0 100.0
Hofstra 1.0 100.0
Towson 3.0 100.0
UNC Wilmington 3.0 100.0
Drexel 5.0 100.0
Delaware 6.0 100.0
Northeastern 9.0 100.0
N.C. A&T 6.0 100.0
William & Mary 8.0 100.0
Stony Brook 9.0 100.0
Elon 9.0 100.0
Monmouth 12.0 100.0
Hampton 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
College of Charleston 16 - 2 100.0
Hofstra 16 - 2 100.0
Towson 12 - 6 100.0
UNC Wilmington 12 - 6 100.0
Drexel 10 - 8 100.0
Delaware 8 - 10 100.0
Northeastern 6 - 12 100.0
N.C. A&T 8 - 10 100.0
William & Mary 7 - 11 100.0
Stony Brook 6 - 12 100.0
Elon 6 - 12 100.0
Monmouth 5 - 13 100.0
Hampton 5 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
College of Charleston 100.0% 100.0
Hofstra 100.0% 100.0
Towson
UNC Wilmington
Drexel
Delaware
Northeastern
N.C. A&T
William & Mary
Stony Brook
Elon
Monmouth
Hampton


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
College of Charleston 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 0.0 3.2 72.9 23.7 0.2
Hofstra 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Wilmington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Drexel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Delaware 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northeastern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
N.C. A&T 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stony Brook 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hampton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
College of Charleston 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 29.8% 9.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Hofstra 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Wilmington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Drexel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northeastern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
N.C. A&T 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stony Brook 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hampton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 29.8% 0.3 70.2 29.8
Sweet Sixteen 9.9% 0.1 90.1 9.9
Elite Eight 2.0% 0.0 98.0 2.0
Final Four 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0