Pre-tourney Rankings
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
76 Iona 100.0%   13   27 - 7 17 - 3 27 - 8 17 - 3 +7.7      +3.8 80 +3.9 70 71.6 93 +6.1 92 +5.2 1
187 Quinnipiac 0.0%   19 - 12 11 - 9 20 - 12 12 - 9 -0.9      -0.8 199 -0.2 180 73.1 49 -0.7 178 -2.8 4
205 Siena 0.0%   17 - 15 11 - 9 17 - 15 11 - 9 -1.8      -1.9 239 +0.1 172 67.3 198 -2.5 215 -2.7 3
206 Rider 0.0%   15 - 14 13 - 7 15 - 14 13 - 7 -1.8      +0.8 152 -2.6 258 63.9 291 -3.2 225 -0.1 2
247 Niagara 0.0%   15 - 15 10 - 10 15 - 15 10 - 10 -4.6      -2.6 255 -2.0 239 60.1 346 -3.3 229 -3.7 6
249 Canisius 0.0%   9 - 20 8 - 12 9 - 20 8 - 12 -4.8      -2.3 247 -2.6 257 69.0 153 -7.2 292 -6.1 9
255 Fairfield 0.0%   12 - 18 9 - 11 12 - 18 9 - 11 -5.1      -4.1 291 -1.0 206 63.3 305 -5.8 266 -4.8 7
275 Mount St. Mary's 0.0%   12 - 20 8 - 12 12 - 20 8 - 12 -6.1      -5.4 321 -0.8 193 64.9 270 -6.1 269 -6.0 8
283 Marist 0.0%   13 - 20 6 - 14 13 - 20 6 - 14 -6.4      -5.0 317 -1.5 216 64.5 277 -6.9 284 -8.6 11
296 St. Peter's 0.0%   13 - 18 7 - 13 13 - 19 7 - 14 -7.1      -5.4 322 -1.7 229 59.9 348 -6.2 271 -7.2 10
304 Manhattan 0.0%   11 - 18 10 - 10 11 - 18 10 - 10 -7.6      -4.9 314 -2.7 263 67.5 189 -7.0 286 -3.3 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Iona 1.0 100.0
Quinnipiac 3.0 100.0
Siena 3.8 19.2 80.8
Rider 2.0 100.0
Niagara 5.0 100.0
Canisius 8.0 100.0
Fairfield 7.0 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 8.0 100.0
Marist 11.0 100.0
St. Peter's 9.6 19.2 80.8
Manhattan 5.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Iona 17 - 3 100.0
Quinnipiac 12 - 8 19.2 80.8
Siena 11 - 9 100.0
Rider 13 - 7 100.0
Niagara 10 - 10 100.0
Canisius 8 - 12 100.0
Fairfield 9 - 11 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 8 - 12 100.0
Marist 6 - 14 100.0
St. Peter's 7 - 13 80.8 19.2
Manhattan 10 - 10 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Iona 100.0% 100.0
Quinnipiac
Siena
Rider
Niagara
Canisius
Fairfield
Mount St. Mary's
Marist
St. Peter's
Manhattan


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Iona 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.0 7.5 66.0 25.2 1.3
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Iona 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 25.3% 8.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 25.3% 0.3 74.7 25.3
Sweet Sixteen 8.6% 0.1 91.4 8.6
Elite Eight 1.9% 0.0 98.1 1.9
Final Four 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0