Pre-tourney Rankings
Mid-American
2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
72 Kent St. 100.0%   13   26 - 6 15 - 3 26 - 7 15 - 3 +7.9      +1.9 120 +6.0 37 69.3 150 +9.7 52 +7.3 2
88 Toledo 0.0%   26 - 7 16 - 2 26 - 7 16 - 2 +6.2      +9.8 10 -3.6 286 72.3 67 +7.0 79 +10.2 1
109 Akron 0.0%   20 - 11 13 - 5 20 - 11 13 - 5 +4.0      +3.2 95 +0.9 144 64.0 286 +3.5 119 +4.7 3
129 Ohio 0.0%   18 - 14 10 - 8 18 - 14 10 - 8 +2.1      +3.7 82 -1.6 224 69.7 138 +0.5 159 -1.2 5
165 Ball St. 0.0%   18 - 12 11 - 7 18 - 12 11 - 7 0.0      +2.1 114 -2.0 242 68.0 179 +0.8 153 +1.1 4
212 Buffalo 0.0%   13 - 17 9 - 9 13 - 17 9 - 9 -2.0      -0.7 195 -1.3 215 78.3 13 -1.2 188 -1.3 6
248 Northern Illinois 0.0%   12 - 18 9 - 9 12 - 18 9 - 9 -4.7      -2.8 262 -1.9 235 70.9 108 -4.2 244 -2.9 7
270 Miami (OH) 0.0%   9 - 20 6 - 12 9 - 20 6 - 12 -5.8      -0.9 202 -4.9 317 67.6 187 -7.7 299 -7.3 8
281 Bowling Green 0.0%   9 - 20 5 - 13 9 - 20 5 - 13 -6.4      -1.1 208 -5.2 325 73.0 51 -7.8 303 -8.1 10
310 Eastern Michigan 0.0%   7 - 23 5 - 13 7 - 23 5 - 13 -8.3      -2.2 246 -6.1 340 72.1 72 -8.5 311 -7.5 9
313 Western Michigan 0.0%   5 - 23 4 - 14 5 - 23 4 - 14 -8.5      -1.2 210 -7.3 351 65.0 269 -11.7 343 -10.7 12
329 Central Michigan 0.0%   8 - 21 5 - 13 8 - 21 5 - 13 -9.9      -8.2 352 -1.7 227 68.2 172 -8.3 307 -8.3 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Kent St. 2.0 100.0
Toledo 1.0 100.0
Akron 3.0 100.0
Ohio 5.0 100.0
Ball St. 4.0 100.0
Buffalo 6.0 100.0
Northern Illinois 6.0 100.0
Miami (OH) 8.0 100.0
Bowling Green 9.0 100.0
Eastern Michigan 9.0 100.0
Western Michigan 12.0 100.0
Central Michigan 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Kent St. 15 - 3 100.0
Toledo 16 - 2 100.0
Akron 13 - 5 100.0
Ohio 10 - 8 100.0
Ball St. 11 - 7 100.0
Buffalo 9 - 9 100.0
Northern Illinois 9 - 9 100.0
Miami (OH) 6 - 12 100.0
Bowling Green 5 - 13 100.0
Eastern Michigan 5 - 13 100.0
Western Michigan 4 - 14 100.0
Central Michigan 5 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Kent St.
Toledo 100.0% 100.0
Akron
Ohio
Ball St.
Buffalo
Northern Illinois
Miami (OH)
Bowling Green
Eastern Michigan
Western Michigan
Central Michigan


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Kent St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   1.0 54.2 43.6 1.2
Toledo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Akron 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ohio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Kent St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 29.3% 10.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Toledo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Akron 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
2nd Round 29.3% 0.3 70.7 29.3
Sweet Sixteen 10.0% 0.1 90.0 10.0
Elite Eight 2.0% 0.0 98.0 2.0
Final Four 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0