Pre-tourney Rankings
Northeast
2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
312 Merrimack 0.0%   15 - 16 12 - 4 16 - 16 12 - 4 -8.4      -10.7 361 +2.3 103 66.3 223 -8.1 304 -5.1 1
315 Wagner 0.0%   13 - 13 8 - 8 13 - 13 8 - 8 -8.7      -7.7 347 -0.9 203 58.5 355 -8.7 315 -11.6 6
320 Fairleigh Dickinson 100.0%   16   15 - 14 10 - 6 17 - 16 10 - 6 -8.9      +0.2 165 -9.1 361 72.5 65 -8.3 306 -8.5 3
330 Sacred Heart 0.0%   15 - 17 8 - 8 15 - 17 8 - 8 -9.9      -5.6 325 -4.3 301 73.2 46 -9.9 328 -11.4 5
332 St. Francis (PA) 0.0%   11 - 17 9 - 7 11 - 18 9 - 7 -10.6      -2.9 267 -7.6 354 70.7 116 -11.3 335 -9.8 4
333 Stonehill 0.0%   13 - 17 10 - 6 13 - 17 10 - 6 -10.6      -7.4 344 -3.2 273 66.9 208 -8.9 320 -8.2 2
339 Central Connecticut St. 0.0%   10 - 22 7 - 9 10 - 22 7 - 9 -11.3      -5.7 327 -5.6 331 62.5 321 -12.9 349 -12.8 8
355 St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0%   12 - 15 7 - 9 12 - 16 7 - 9 -13.6      -9.8 359 -3.8 294 65.4 259 -11.2 334 -12.4 7
363 LIU Brooklyn 0.0%   1 - 26 1 - 15 1 - 26 1 - 15 -20.6      -12.4 363 -8.3 358 79.6 5 -25.9 363 -25.2 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Merrimack 1.0 100.0
Wagner 5.0 100.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 2.0 100.0
Sacred Heart 5.0 100.0
St. Francis (PA) 4.0 100.0
Stonehill 2.0 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 7.0 100.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 7.0 100.0
LIU Brooklyn 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Merrimack 12 - 4 100.0
Wagner 8 - 8 100.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 10 - 6 100.0
Sacred Heart 8 - 8 100.0
St. Francis (PA) 9 - 7 100.0
Stonehill 10 - 6 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 7 - 9 100.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 7 - 9 100.0
LIU Brooklyn 1 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Merrimack 100.0% 100.0
Wagner
Fairleigh Dickinson
Sacred Heart
St. Francis (PA)
Stonehill
Central Connecticut St.
St. Francis Brooklyn
LIU Brooklyn


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Merrimack 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wagner 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   100.0
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stonehill 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Merrimack 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 100.0% 100.0% 44.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 44.4% 0.4 55.6 44.4
2nd Round 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0