Pre-tourney Rankings
Patriot League
2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
116 Colgate 100.0%   15   25 - 8 17 - 1 25 - 9 17 - 1 +3.2      +5.1 54 -1.9 232 68.9 157 +2.8 128 +9.6 1
191 Navy 0.0%   17 - 13 11 - 7 17 - 13 11 - 7 -1.0      -1.2 211 +0.2 169 62.8 314 -2.9 221 -3.3 3
251 Army 0.0%   15 - 16 10 - 8 15 - 16 10 - 8 -4.9      -1.6 231 -3.3 276 70.6 117 -5.9 268 -4.2 4
264 Boston University 0.0%   14 - 17 8 - 10 14 - 17 8 - 10 -5.6      -4.5 303 -1.1 210 64.2 283 -5.7 265 -6.9 5
269 Lafayette 0.0%   11 - 23 7 - 11 11 - 23 7 - 11 -5.8      -6.3 335 +0.6 155 59.8 349 -7.8 301 -8.3 9
274 American 0.0%   17 - 15 7 - 11 17 - 15 7 - 11 -6.1      -2.8 263 -3.3 277 59.1 354 -4.5 247 -8.3 8
279 Lehigh 0.0%   14 - 14 11 - 7 14 - 14 11 - 7 -6.3      -4.8 311 -1.5 219 72.3 68 -4.5 248 -2.6 2
300 Bucknell 0.0%   11 - 20 5 - 13 11 - 20 5 - 13 -7.4      -3.9 288 -3.5 282 67.2 200 -9.0 321 -11.1 10
325 Loyola Maryland 0.0%   11 - 20 7 - 11 11 - 20 7 - 11 -9.2      -4.3 297 -5.0 319 65.4 255 -8.5 310 -7.9 7
340 Holy Cross 0.0%   8 - 22 7 - 11 8 - 22 7 - 11 -11.3      -7.4 345 -3.9 295 71.2 100 -10.8 332 -7.6 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Colgate 1.0 100.0
Navy 2.0 100.0
Army 4.0 100.0
Boston University 5.0 100.0
Lafayette 6.0 100.0
American 6.0 100.0
Lehigh 2.0 100.0
Bucknell 10.0 100.0
Loyola Maryland 6.0 100.0
Holy Cross 6.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Colgate 17 - 1 100.0
Navy 11 - 7 100.0
Army 10 - 8 100.0
Boston University 8 - 10 100.0
Lafayette 7 - 11 100.0
American 7 - 11 100.0
Lehigh 11 - 7 100.0
Bucknell 5 - 13 100.0
Loyola Maryland 7 - 11 100.0
Holy Cross 7 - 11 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Colgate 100.0% 100.0
Navy
Army
Boston University
Lafayette
American
Lehigh
Bucknell
Loyola Maryland
Holy Cross


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Colgate 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.0 3.6 21.7 72.5 2.2
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bucknell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Colgate 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 9.4% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bucknell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 9.4% 0.1 90.6 9.4
Sweet Sixteen 1.8% 0.0 98.2 1.8
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0