Pre-tourney Rankings
Southland
2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
193 TX A&M Corpus Christi 100.0%   16   19 - 10 14 - 4 20 - 10 14 - 4 -1.2      +1.0 149 -2.2 246 72.0 75 -2.1 208 -1.8 1
225 Northwestern St. 0.0%   21 - 11 13 - 5 21 - 11 13 - 5 -3.1      +0.2 167 -3.2 274 66.4 218 -0.8 180 -3.3 2
266 SE Louisiana 0.0%   15 - 14 12 - 6 15 - 14 12 - 6 -5.7      -0.8 201 -4.9 316 71.1 101 -4.7 250 -4.6 3
271 Nicholls St. 0.0%   12 - 15 11 - 7 12 - 15 11 - 7 -5.8      -3.8 285 -2.0 240 74.8 35 -6.5 275 -6.1 4
314 Texas A&M - Commerce 0.0%   12 - 20 9 - 9 12 - 20 9 - 9 -8.5      -3.2 274 -5.2 326 64.7 273 -8.6 312 -8.7 5
337 New Orleans 0.0%   10 - 20 7 - 11 10 - 20 7 - 11 -11.1      -4.9 315 -6.1 341 76.7 23 -11.3 336 -11.2 7
338 McNeese St. 0.0%   10 - 23 6 - 12 10 - 23 6 - 12 -11.2      -4.2 292 -7.0 348 65.8 240 -11.5 340 -12.7 9
342 Incarnate Word 0.0%   9 - 19 6 - 12 9 - 19 6 - 12 -11.6      -6.2 332 -5.4 329 67.1 202 -11.3 337 -12.7 8
354 Houston Christian 0.0%   7 - 22 7 - 11 7 - 22 7 - 11 -13.4      -2.7 256 -10.8 363 74.5 38 -13.6 353 -10.9 6
356 Lamar 0.0%   6 - 22 5 - 13 6 - 22 5 - 13 -14.3      -7.4 342 -7.0 346 65.4 256 -14.2 354 -13.9 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
TX A&M Corpus Christi 1.0 100.0
Northwestern St. 2.0 100.0
SE Louisiana 3.0 100.0
Nicholls St. 4.0 100.0
Texas A&M - Commerce 5.0 100.0
New Orleans 6.0 100.0
McNeese St. 8.0 100.0
Incarnate Word 8.0 100.0
Houston Christian 6.0 100.0
Lamar 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 14 - 4 100.0
Northwestern St. 13 - 5 100.0
SE Louisiana 12 - 6 100.0
Nicholls St. 11 - 7 100.0
Texas A&M - Commerce 9 - 9 100.0
New Orleans 7 - 11 100.0
McNeese St. 6 - 12 100.0
Incarnate Word 6 - 12 100.0
Houston Christian 7 - 11 100.0
Lamar 5 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
TX A&M Corpus Christi 100.0% 100.0
Northwestern St.
SE Louisiana
Nicholls St.
Texas A&M - Commerce
New Orleans
McNeese St.
Incarnate Word
Houston Christian
Lamar


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
TX A&M Corpus Christi 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   100.0
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas A&M - Commerce 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Orleans 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
McNeese St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Houston Christian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
TX A&M Corpus Christi 100.0% 44.9% 84.5% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas A&M - Commerce 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Orleans 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
McNeese St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Houston Christian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 84.5% 0.8 15.5 84.5
2nd Round 2.2% 0.0 97.8 2.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0