Pre-tourney Rankings
Southwestern Athletic
2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
210 Grambling St. 0.0%   22 - 9 15 - 3 22 - 9 15 - 3 -2.0      -3.9 289 +2.0 110 66.0 234 +0.1 168 -0.5 2
262 Alcorn St. 0.0%   18 - 13 15 - 3 18 - 13 15 - 3 -5.5      -2.7 260 -2.8 265 68.1 176 -1.6 193 -0.1 1
286 Prairie View 0.0%   11 - 19 9 - 9 11 - 19 9 - 9 -6.5      -7.8 349 +1.3 129 69.0 154 -8.8 318 -8.8 6
291 Southern 0.0%   13 - 17 11 - 7 13 - 17 11 - 7 -6.7      -6.5 338 -0.3 182 75.9 27 -7.6 297 -6.9 4
303 Texas Southern 100.0%   16   12 - 20 7 - 11 13 - 20 7 - 11 -7.5      -6.3 334 -1.2 212 71.9 81 -8.2 305 -11.5 8
311 Jackson St. 0.0%   14 - 19 12 - 6 14 - 19 12 - 6 -8.3      -4.7 307 -3.7 289 69.8 136 -6.4 273 -5.3 3
317 Alabama A&M 0.0%   12 - 18 10 - 8 12 - 18 10 - 8 -8.8      -6.3 333 -2.5 255 70.2 125 -9.2 325 -8.4 5
331 Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0%   6 - 21 6 - 12 6 - 21 6 - 12 -10.1      -7.8 350 -2.3 249 72.6 63 -13.4 352 -13.2 9
352 Bethune-Cookman 0.0%   10 - 20 8 - 10 10 - 20 8 - 10 -13.0      -6.0 329 -7.0 347 71.1 103 -10.7 331 -10.1 7
353 Alabama St. 0.0%   7 - 23 6 - 12 7 - 23 6 - 12 -13.1      -8.7 354 -4.4 306 66.6 214 -13.4 351 -13.6 10
357 Florida A&M 0.0%   5 - 22 5 - 13 5 - 22 5 - 13 -14.5      -11.1 362 -3.5 281 63.8 294 -14.8 357 -14.5 11
358 Mississippi Valley 0.0%   5 - 27 4 - 14 5 - 27 4 - 14 -14.7      -9.2 356 -5.4 330 68.3 169 -15.0 358 -15.8 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Grambling St. 1.0 100.0
Alcorn St. 1.0 100.0
Prairie View 6.0 100.0
Southern 4.0 100.0
Texas Southern 8.0 100.0
Jackson St. 3.0 100.0
Alabama A&M 5.0 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 9.0 100.0
Bethune-Cookman 7.0 100.0
Alabama St. 9.0 100.0
Florida A&M 11.0 100.0
Mississippi Valley 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Grambling St. 15 - 3 100.0
Alcorn St. 15 - 3 100.0
Prairie View 9 - 9 100.0
Southern 11 - 7 100.0
Texas Southern 7 - 11 100.0
Jackson St. 12 - 6 100.0
Alabama A&M 10 - 8 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 6 - 12 100.0
Bethune-Cookman 8 - 10 100.0
Alabama St. 6 - 12 100.0
Florida A&M 5 - 13 100.0
Mississippi Valley 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Grambling St. 100.0% 100.0
Alcorn St. 100.0% 100.0
Prairie View
Southern
Texas Southern
Jackson St.
Alabama A&M
Arkansas Pine Bluff
Bethune-Cookman
Alabama St.
Florida A&M
Mississippi Valley


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Prairie View 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas Southern 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   100.0
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bethune-Cookman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Prairie View 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Southern 100.0% 100.0% 55.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bethune-Cookman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 55.6% 0.6 44.4 55.6
2nd Round 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0