Pre-tourney Rankings
Summit League
2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
68 Oral Roberts 100.0%   12   26 - 4 18 - 0 26 - 5 18 - 0 +8.3      +6.7 29 +1.6 118 74.7 37 +12.1 30 +14.3 1
181 South Dakota St. 0.0%   18 - 13 13 - 5 18 - 13 13 - 5 -0.7      -0.4 183 -0.3 186 67.0 205 +0.7 155 +1.3 2
220 St. Thomas 0.0%   17 - 14 9 - 9 17 - 14 9 - 9 -2.5      +1.1 147 -3.6 288 65.6 248 -2.0 204 -4.7 5
222 North Dakota St. 0.0%   14 - 17 11 - 7 14 - 17 11 - 7 -2.9      -0.7 194 -2.2 247 69.6 139 -3.0 222 -1.7 3
265 Western Illinois 0.0%   13 - 14 9 - 9 13 - 14 9 - 9 -5.7      -1.4 222 -4.3 302 67.2 199 -4.2 243 -4.3 4
276 North Dakota 0.0%   11 - 20 6 - 12 11 - 20 6 - 12 -6.2      -1.6 232 -4.6 311 67.4 193 -6.7 280 -8.6 9
294 South Dakota 0.0%   10 - 19 7 - 11 10 - 19 7 - 11 -7.1      -1.3 213 -5.8 334 65.5 253 -7.0 285 -7.0 7
306 Denver 0.0%   13 - 17 6 - 12 13 - 17 6 - 12 -7.8      -3.2 272 -4.6 310 70.2 126 -6.6 279 -8.4 8
309 UMKC 0.0%   10 - 20 7 - 11 10 - 20 7 - 11 -8.1      -6.1 330 -2.0 241 61.6 334 -7.8 302 -6.9 6
318 Nebraska Omaha 0.0%   8 - 23 4 - 14 8 - 23 4 - 14 -8.8      -3.4 278 -5.4 328 69.5 144 -8.9 319 -11.6 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Oral Roberts 1.0 100.0
South Dakota St. 2.0 100.0
St. Thomas 4.0 100.0
North Dakota St. 3.0 100.0
Western Illinois 4.0 100.0
North Dakota 8.0 100.0
South Dakota 6.0 100.0
Denver 8.0 100.0
UMKC 6.0 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Oral Roberts 18 - 0 100.0
South Dakota St. 13 - 5 100.0
St. Thomas 9 - 9 100.0
North Dakota St. 11 - 7 100.0
Western Illinois 9 - 9 100.0
North Dakota 6 - 12 100.0
South Dakota 7 - 11 100.0
Denver 6 - 12 100.0
UMKC 7 - 11 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Oral Roberts 100.0% 100.0
South Dakota St.
St. Thomas
North Dakota St.
Western Illinois
North Dakota
South Dakota
Denver
UMKC
Nebraska Omaha


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Oral Roberts 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 0.2 0.5 14.2 70.2 14.8 0.1
South Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Thomas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Oral Roberts 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 31.1% 10.6% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
South Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Thomas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 31.1% 0.3 68.9 31.1
Sweet Sixteen 10.6% 0.1 89.4 10.6
Elite Eight 2.5% 0.0 97.6 2.5
Final Four 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0