Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois St.
Missouri Valley
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#267
Expected Predictive Rating-6.7#282
Pace63.7#297
Improvement-0.3#216

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#269
First Shot-3.4#288
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#154
Layup/Dunks-3.6#318
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#199
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#172
Freethrows+0.5#134
Improvement+0.4#125

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#262
First Shot-2.1#244
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#252
Layups/Dunks-2.9#296
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#35
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#183
Freethrows-0.9#262
Improvement-0.7#269
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 34 - 64 - 12
Quad 47 - 911 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 265   Western Illinois L 68-71 61%     0 - 1 -11.7 -9.9 -1.8
  Nov 10, 2022 345   @ Eastern Illinois W 54-49 62%     1 - 1 -4.0 -14.8 +11.4
  Nov 12, 2022 225   @ Northwestern St. W 69-67 29%     2 - 1 +1.9 +6.1 -3.9
  Nov 17, 2022 225   Northwestern St. L 67-70 51%     2 - 2 -9.0 -6.0 -3.2
  Nov 21, 2022 126   LSU L 61-77 22%     2 - 3 -13.7 -15.2 +2.5
  Nov 22, 2022 170   Western Kentucky L 66-78 30%     2 - 4 -12.3 -1.5 -11.8
  Nov 23, 2022 239   Rhode Island L 44-57 43%     2 - 5 -16.9 -19.6 +0.1
  Dec 01, 2022 217   @ Murray St. L 67-70 OT 27%     2 - 6 0 - 1 -2.4 -5.3 +2.7
  Dec 04, 2022 123   Belmont W 87-77 30%     3 - 6 1 - 1 +9.8 +9.9 -0.3
  Dec 07, 2022 310   Eastern Michigan W 87-81 70%     4 - 6 -5.3 +6.6 -11.9
  Dec 10, 2022 250   SIU Edwardsville W 77-71 58%     5 - 6 -1.8 +5.2 -6.7
  Dec 17, 2022 165   Ball St. L 69-83 29%     5 - 7 -14.0 -5.1 -8.9
  Dec 19, 2022 307   Chicago St. W 66-52 69%     6 - 7 +3.0 -5.0 +10.0
  Dec 28, 2022 288   @ Illinois-Chicago L 51-55 42%     6 - 8 1 - 2 -7.6 -18.4 +10.6
  Dec 31, 2022 203   Northern Iowa L 60-66 46%     6 - 9 1 - 3 -10.7 -18.7 +8.3
  Jan 04, 2023 95   Indiana St. L 67-76 23%     6 - 10 1 - 4 -6.9 -1.3 -6.2
  Jan 07, 2023 348   @ Evansville W 69-61 63%     7 - 10 2 - 4 -1.3 -4.9 +3.6
  Jan 11, 2023 151   Missouri St. W 76-66 OT 35%     8 - 10 3 - 4 +8.2 +4.4 +4.0
  Jan 14, 2023 137   @ Southern Illinois L 57-69 16%     8 - 11 3 - 5 -7.2 -0.9 -8.1
  Jan 18, 2023 203   @ Northern Iowa L 63-65 25%     8 - 12 3 - 6 -0.7 -5.1 +4.3
  Jan 21, 2023 280   Valparaiso L 51-71 64%     8 - 13 3 - 7 -29.3 -20.2 -11.1
  Jan 25, 2023 87   @ Bradley L 75-79 OT 9%     8 - 14 3 - 8 +5.3 +2.4 +3.2
  Jan 29, 2023 137   Southern Illinois W 72-66 33%     9 - 14 4 - 8 +4.9 +15.5 -9.5
  Feb 01, 2023 288   Illinois-Chicago W 68-62 OT 64%     10 - 14 5 - 8 -3.5 -10.1 +6.5
  Feb 04, 2023 123   @ Belmont L 75-90 14%     10 - 15 5 - 9 -9.3 +9.3 -20.0
  Feb 08, 2023 87   Bradley L 61-79 20%     10 - 16 5 - 10 -14.7 -3.6 -12.5
  Feb 11, 2023 280   @ Valparaiso L 76-81 41%     10 - 17 5 - 11 -8.4 +8.5 -17.3
  Feb 15, 2023 217   Murray St. L 75-76 49%     10 - 18 5 - 12 -6.4 +4.0 -10.4
  Feb 18, 2023 95   @ Indiana St. L 64-80 10%     10 - 19 5 - 13 -7.9 -6.7 -1.0
  Feb 22, 2023 73   @ Drake L 51-82 7%     10 - 20 5 - 14 -20.2 -14.2 -6.7
  Feb 26, 2023 348   Evansville W 72-53 81%     11 - 20 6 - 14 +3.8 +2.7 +3.1
  Mar 02, 2023 203   Northern Iowa L 62-75 35%     11 - 21 -14.7 -12.6 -1.9
Projected Record 11 - 21 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14 100.0% 100.0
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%