Pre-tourney Rankings
Longwood
Big South
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#175
Expected Predictive Rating-2.1#207
Pace65.6#249
Improvement-0.6#240

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#198
First Shot-0.8#210
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#180
Layup/Dunks-3.2#306
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#112
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#157
Freethrows+0.8#107
Improvement-0.6#243

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#170
First Shot-0.8#202
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#84
Layups/Dunks+0.2#176
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#72
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#283
Freethrows-0.1#199
Improvement+0.0#197
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 52 - 7
Quad 416 - 518 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 1   @ Alabama L 54-75 3%     0 - 1 +1.7 -11.7 +15.6
  Nov 11, 2022 141   @ George Mason L 69-83 31%     0 - 2 -9.4 +1.6 -11.2
  Nov 18, 2022 350   VMI W 90-58 91%     1 - 2 +16.5 +9.4 +7.9
  Nov 19, 2022 320   Fairleigh Dickinson W 99-83 85%     2 - 2 +4.1 +18.5 -14.0
  Nov 20, 2022 250   SIU Edwardsville L 56-61 76%     2 - 3 -12.8 -18.5 +5.6
  Nov 28, 2022 221   @ San Diego L 68-71 48%     2 - 4 -2.9 -8.8 +5.8
  Dec 03, 2022 359   @ Delaware St. W 75-49 85%     3 - 4 +14.2 +3.6 +12.6
  Dec 10, 2022 99   @ Wichita St. L 63-81 21%     3 - 5 -10.3 -3.2 -7.4
  Dec 13, 2022 355   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 63-57 83%     4 - 5 -4.7 -9.1 +4.7
  Dec 17, 2022 324   @ The Citadel W 75-70 71%     5 - 5 -1.2 +6.2 -7.0
  Dec 20, 2022 351   South Carolina St. W 104-77 92%     6 - 5 +11.1 +17.8 -7.8
  Dec 29, 2022 302   High Point W 87-73 82%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +3.5 +6.3 -3.1
  Dec 31, 2022 229   @ Campbell W 67-42 49%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +24.7 -0.6 +27.8
  Jan 04, 2023 301   @ Charleston Southern W 79-74 65%     9 - 5 3 - 0 +0.5 +5.0 -4.2
  Jan 07, 2023 244   Winthrop W 85-71 74%     10 - 5 4 - 0 +6.7 +3.3 +3.2
  Jan 12, 2023 156   @ UNC Asheville L 46-54 35%     10 - 6 4 - 1 -4.5 -21.7 +16.9
  Jan 14, 2023 259   South Carolina Upstate W 72-65 77%     11 - 6 5 - 1 -1.2 -4.7 +3.3
  Jan 18, 2023 215   Gardner-Webb W 64-59 67%     12 - 6 6 - 1 -0.1 -3.3 +3.5
  Jan 21, 2023 335   @ Presbyterian W 58-56 76%     13 - 6 7 - 1 -5.8 -6.3 +0.9
  Jan 26, 2023 186   @ Radford L 59-63 40%     13 - 7 7 - 2 -1.9 -1.9 -0.8
  Jan 28, 2023 301   Charleston Southern L 63-75 82%     13 - 8 7 - 3 -22.4 -12.0 -11.8
  Feb 01, 2023 244   @ Winthrop L 74-76 53%     13 - 9 7 - 4 -3.4 +2.5 -6.1
  Feb 04, 2023 229   Campbell W 74-50 71%     14 - 9 8 - 4 +17.7 +1.1 +18.1
  Feb 08, 2023 335   Presbyterian W 66-46 89%     15 - 9 9 - 4 +6.2 -0.2 +10.0
  Feb 11, 2023 302   @ High Point W 70-67 65%     16 - 9 10 - 4 -1.5 -0.2 -1.1
  Feb 15, 2023 259   @ South Carolina Upstate L 67-72 57%     16 - 10 10 - 5 -7.3 -3.6 -3.8
  Feb 18, 2023 186   Radford W 73-63 63%     17 - 10 11 - 5 +6.1 +13.5 -5.4
  Feb 23, 2023 215   @ Gardner-Webb W 75-63 45%     18 - 10 12 - 5 +12.8 +8.6 +4.6
  Feb 25, 2023 156   UNC Asheville L 66-76 57%     18 - 11 12 - 6 -12.4 -1.7 -11.5
  Mar 03, 2023 229   Campbell L 68-81 60%     18 - 12 -16.3 -9.4 -6.6
Projected Record 18 - 12 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%