Pre-tourney Rankings
Morehead St.
Ohio Valley
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#252
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#209
Pace61.3#338
Improvement+2.1#32

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#277
First Shot-1.8#242
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#305
Layup/Dunks-0.5#204
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#290
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#188
Freethrows+0.7#118
Improvement+0.7#95

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#222
First Shot-2.3#255
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#92
Layups/Dunks-5.8#355
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#59
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#73
Freethrows-0.4#225
Improvement+1.4#43
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 12 - 5
Quad 415 - 617 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 24   @ Indiana L 53-88 4%     0 - 1 -19.3 -13.9 -4.6
  Nov 12, 2022 256   Bellarmine W 62-55 62%     1 - 1 -1.1 -9.0 +8.7
  Nov 15, 2022 16   @ West Virginia L 57-75 3%     1 - 2 -1.3 -9.8 +8.7
  Nov 18, 2022 79   @ Vanderbilt L 43-76 8%     1 - 3 -22.6 -27.9 +5.2
  Nov 26, 2022 83   @ Marshall L 59-83 9%     1 - 4 -14.2 -9.9 -4.2
  Dec 03, 2022 258   North Alabama L 75-81 62%     1 - 5 -14.2 -7.7 -6.3
  Dec 11, 2022 241   East Tennessee St. W 61-57 58%     2 - 5 -3.0 -4.4 +2.1
  Dec 14, 2022 211   @ Georgia Southern W 74-71 28%     3 - 5 +4.0 +8.4 -4.2
  Dec 17, 2022 226   @ Mercer L 52-79 32%     3 - 6 -27.1 -10.5 -21.0
  Dec 29, 2022 298   @ Tennessee St. W 83-75 47%     4 - 6 1 - 0 +3.7 +8.1 -4.3
  Dec 31, 2022 292   @ Tennessee Martin L 57-64 46%     4 - 7 1 - 1 -10.8 -17.0 +5.9
  Jan 05, 2023 285   Southern Indiana W 84-80 67%     5 - 7 2 - 1 -5.5 +2.4 -7.9
  Jan 07, 2023 345   Eastern Illinois W 69-59 83%     6 - 7 3 - 1 -4.9 -3.3 -0.7
  Jan 12, 2023 295   @ Tennessee Tech L 62-79 47%     6 - 8 3 - 2 -21.1 -7.4 -15.5
  Jan 14, 2023 260   Southeast Missouri St. L 86-91 63%     6 - 9 3 - 3 -13.2 +7.4 -20.5
  Jan 19, 2023 250   @ SIU Edwardsville W 67-58 38%     7 - 9 4 - 3 +7.1 +5.1 +3.4
  Jan 21, 2023 346   @ Lindenwood W 72-63 65%     8 - 9 5 - 3 +0.0 +9.4 -7.6
  Jan 26, 2023 327   Arkansas Little Rock W 76-72 77%     9 - 9 6 - 3 -8.7 -3.2 -5.4
  Jan 28, 2023 250   SIU Edwardsville W 55-50 61%     10 - 9 7 - 3 -2.8 -14.8 +12.5
  Feb 02, 2023 295   Tennessee Tech W 64-45 69%     11 - 9 8 - 3 +8.9 -11.2 +21.2
  Feb 04, 2023 285   @ Southern Indiana W 71-66 OT 44%     12 - 9 9 - 3 +1.5 -0.9 +2.7
  Feb 09, 2023 327   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 68-72 57%     12 - 10 9 - 4 -10.7 -12.2 +1.5
  Feb 11, 2023 260   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 65-59 40%     13 - 10 10 - 4 +3.7 -1.2 +5.6
  Feb 16, 2023 298   Tennessee St. W 74-64 69%     14 - 10 11 - 4 -0.2 -0.8 +1.1
  Feb 18, 2023 346   Lindenwood W 71-58 83%     15 - 10 12 - 4 -2.0 +7.1 -6.2
  Feb 22, 2023 345   @ Eastern Illinois W 69-63 65%     16 - 10 13 - 4 -3.0 +1.9 -4.1
  Feb 25, 2023 292   Tennessee Martin W 72-58 68%     17 - 10 14 - 4 +4.2 -1.3 +6.5
  Mar 03, 2023 260   Southeast Missouri St. L 58-65 51%     17 - 11 -12.3 -12.2 -0.6
Projected Record 17 - 11 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%