Pre-tourney Rankings
Southeast Missouri St.
Ohio Valley
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#260
Expected Predictive Rating-5.0#258
Pace78.7#12
Improvement+0.0#188

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#265
First Shot-2.1#250
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#236
Layup/Dunks-4.5#336
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#111
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#178
Freethrows+1.1#83
Improvement+1.2#54

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#252
First Shot-2.2#249
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#198
Layups/Dunks-2.6#285
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#34
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#102
Freethrows-3.1#350
Improvement-1.3#315
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four100.0% n/a n/a
First Round38.3% n/a n/a
Second Round0.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 415 - 917 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 148   @ South Florida W 64-61 18%     1 - 0 +7.3 -6.1 +13.4
  Nov 16, 2022 348   @ Evansville W 67-61 65%     2 - 0 -3.3 -7.1 +3.8
  Nov 19, 2022 87   @ Bradley L 60-73 9%     2 - 1 -3.7 -2.3 -2.3
  Nov 26, 2022 264   Boston University W 63-52 51%     3 - 1 +5.4 -4.8 +11.2
  Nov 27, 2022 160   UC Davis L 71-73 30%     3 - 2 -1.7 -8.9 +7.4
  Nov 28, 2022 232   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 68-84 32%     3 - 3 -16.5 -12.6 -2.3
  Dec 04, 2022 51   @ Missouri L 89-96 6%     3 - 4 +5.6 +7.2 -0.9
  Dec 07, 2022 236   Purdue Fort Wayne L 68-89 56%     3 - 5 -27.7 -15.5 -9.7
  Dec 14, 2022 284   @ Arkansas St. L 61-68 43%     3 - 6 -10.5 -12.6 +2.0
  Dec 17, 2022 34   @ Iowa L 75-106 4%     3 - 7 -16.5 -4.0 -9.0
  Dec 21, 2022 137   Southern Illinois L 68-70 34%     3 - 8 -3.1 -5.0 +2.0
  Dec 29, 2022 285   @ Southern Indiana L 81-86 43%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -8.5 -4.6 -3.3
  Dec 31, 2022 250   SIU Edwardsville W 82-73 60%     4 - 9 1 - 1 +1.2 +5.9 -4.8
  Jan 05, 2023 292   @ Tennessee Martin L 82-87 45%     4 - 10 1 - 2 -8.8 -0.7 -7.7
  Jan 07, 2023 327   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 74-68 56%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -0.7 -7.0 +6.1
  Jan 12, 2023 346   Lindenwood W 94-71 82%     6 - 10 3 - 2 +8.0 +8.2 -1.7
  Jan 14, 2023 252   @ Morehead St. W 91-86 37%     7 - 10 4 - 2 +3.0 +16.1 -13.2
  Jan 19, 2023 292   Tennessee Martin L 60-80 67%     7 - 11 4 - 3 -29.8 -25.3 -2.3
  Jan 21, 2023 295   Tennessee Tech W 84-77 2OT 68%     8 - 11 5 - 3 -3.1 -9.1 +4.8
  Jan 26, 2023 298   Tennessee St. W 92-75 68%     9 - 11 6 - 3 +6.8 +5.8 -0.4
  Jan 28, 2023 345   @ Eastern Illinois W 79-68 64%     10 - 11 7 - 3 +2.0 -1.0 +2.4
  Feb 02, 2023 327   Arkansas Little Rock W 99-98 76%     11 - 11 8 - 3 -11.7 +4.7 -16.5
  Feb 04, 2023 295   @ Tennessee Tech L 80-82 46%     11 - 12 8 - 4 -6.1 -3.3 -2.7
  Feb 09, 2023 298   @ Tennessee St. L 65-85 46%     11 - 13 8 - 5 -24.3 -18.7 -3.1
  Feb 11, 2023 252   Morehead St. L 59-65 60%     11 - 14 8 - 6 -13.9 -10.0 -4.6
  Feb 16, 2023 345   Eastern Illinois W 78-64 82%     12 - 14 9 - 6 -0.9 -7.1 +5.0
  Feb 18, 2023 285   Southern Indiana W 85-80 66%     13 - 14 10 - 6 -4.5 +2.6 -7.3
  Feb 23, 2023 346   @ Lindenwood L 102-105 2OT 64%     13 - 15 10 - 7 -12.0 +0.7 -11.9
  Feb 25, 2023 250   @ SIU Edwardsville L 78-93 37%     13 - 16 10 - 8 -16.9 +3.6 -20.1
  Mar 01, 2023 346   Lindenwood W 84-65 74%     14 - 16 +7.0 -2.6 +7.7
  Mar 02, 2023 298   Tennessee St. W 91-83 58%     15 - 16 +0.8 +1.0 -1.4
  Mar 03, 2023 252   Morehead St. W 65-58 49%     16 - 16 +2.0 -3.8 +6.4
  Mar 04, 2023 295   Tennessee Tech W 89-82 OT 57%     17 - 16 -0.1 +3.9 -4.6
  Mar 14, 2023 193   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 77-81 35%    
Projected Record 17 - 17 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0