Pre-tourney Rankings
Tennessee St.
Ohio Valley
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.2#298
Expected Predictive Rating-7.2#290
Pace74.5#39
Improvement+0.4#138

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#264
First Shot-3.2#284
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#149
Layup/Dunks-1.6#254
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#298
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#120
Freethrows-0.8#248
Improvement-0.1#185

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#307
First Shot-5.0#334
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#118
Layups/Dunks-2.2#273
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#149
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#123
Freethrows-4.5#361
Improvement+0.5#120
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 31 - 21 - 4
Quad 413 - 1014 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2022 351   South Carolina St. W 80-61 79%     1 - 0 +3.1 -5.6 +7.8
  Nov 14, 2022 317   Alabama A&M W 87-76 67%     2 - 0 -0.8 -0.2 -1.9
  Nov 17, 2022 137   @ Southern Illinois L 44-57 13%     2 - 1 -8.2 -22.8 +14.7
  Nov 21, 2022 321   Cal St. Northridge W 74-73 57%     3 - 1 -8.1 +2.9 -10.9
  Nov 23, 2022 302   High Point L 72-77 51%     3 - 2 -12.5 -7.7 -4.6
  Nov 30, 2022 92   @ Saint Louis L 63-80 8%     3 - 3 -8.6 -4.3 -5.1
  Dec 03, 2022 323   @ Austin Peay L 61-77 46%     3 - 4 -22.2 -7.5 -16.4
  Dec 11, 2022 159   Lipscomb W 90-85 33%     4 - 4 +2.3 +6.4 -4.6
  Dec 14, 2022 301   Charleston Southern L 87-91 62%     4 - 5 -14.4 +0.1 -14.4
  Dec 29, 2022 252   Morehead St. L 75-83 53%     4 - 6 0 - 1 -15.9 -0.1 -16.0
  Dec 31, 2022 327   Arkansas Little Rock W 94-69 70%     5 - 6 1 - 1 +12.3 +2.8 +6.9
  Jan 05, 2023 250   @ SIU Edwardsville L 72-81 30%     5 - 7 1 - 2 -10.9 -7.2 -2.8
  Jan 07, 2023 346   @ Lindenwood W 60-57 57%     6 - 7 2 - 2 -6.0 -14.7 +8.8
  Jan 12, 2023 292   Tennessee Martin L 66-77 60%     6 - 8 2 - 3 -20.8 -12.5 -8.3
  Jan 14, 2023 295   @ Tennessee Tech L 63-71 38%     6 - 9 2 - 4 -12.1 -13.5 +1.5
  Jan 19, 2023 345   Eastern Illinois W 78-74 77%     7 - 9 3 - 4 -10.9 +1.8 -12.6
  Jan 21, 2023 327   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 77-89 48%     7 - 10 3 - 5 -18.7 -6.5 -11.4
  Jan 26, 2023 260   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 75-92 32%     7 - 11 3 - 6 -19.3 -4.8 -13.0
  Jan 28, 2023 346   Lindenwood W 83-66 77%     8 - 11 4 - 6 +2.0 +9.0 -5.8
  Feb 02, 2023 285   @ Southern Indiana W 80-76 36%     9 - 11 5 - 6 +0.5 +2.6 -2.2
  Feb 04, 2023 345   @ Eastern Illinois W 65-61 57%     10 - 11 6 - 6 -5.0 -10.5 +5.5
  Feb 09, 2023 260   Southeast Missouri St. W 85-65 54%     11 - 11 7 - 6 +11.8 -2.1 +11.4
  Feb 11, 2023 295   Tennessee Tech W 67-53 61%     12 - 11 8 - 6 +3.9 -9.3 +13.7
  Feb 16, 2023 252   @ Morehead St. L 64-74 31%     12 - 12 8 - 7 -12.0 -5.5 -7.1
  Feb 18, 2023 250   SIU Edwardsville W 100-85 52%     13 - 12 9 - 7 +7.2 +11.0 -5.8
  Feb 23, 2023 292   @ Tennessee Martin W 88-82 37%     14 - 12 10 - 7 +2.2 +4.5 -2.9
  Feb 25, 2023 285   Southern Indiana L 81-93 59%     14 - 13 10 - 8 -21.5 -2.6 -18.2
  Mar 02, 2023 260   Southeast Missouri St. L 83-91 42%     14 - 14 -13.3 -3.8 -8.3
Projected Record 14 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%