Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Asheville
Big South
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.6#156
Expected Predictive Rating+4.9#103
Pace70.0#132
Improvement+2.1#31

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#191
First Shot+1.6#122
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#333
Layup/Dunks+0.3#163
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#256
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#134
Freethrows+1.3#74
Improvement-0.2#208

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#131
First Shot+1.1#132
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#155
Layups/Dunks-3.0#298
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#51
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#111
Freethrows+1.1#93
Improvement+2.3#12
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round5.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 1
Quad 20 - 11 - 2
Quad 34 - 25 - 4
Quad 420 - 325 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 63   @ Central Florida W 98-95 2OT 15%     1 - 0 +14.6 +14.5 -0.4
  Nov 18, 2022 314   Texas A&M - Commerce W 72-64 80%     2 - 0 -0.5 -7.5 +6.8
  Nov 19, 2022 176   Eastern Kentucky L 75-77 55%     2 - 1 -2.6 +0.0 -2.5
  Nov 20, 2022 268   @ Georgia St. L 68-74 63%     2 - 2 -8.8 -3.2 -5.7
  Nov 26, 2022 237   Western Carolina W 73-61 76%     3 - 2 +5.2 -7.9 +12.4
  Nov 29, 2022 213   @ NC Central L 66-79 48%     3 - 3 -12.0 -0.4 -12.2
  Dec 03, 2022 292   Tennessee Martin W 90-83 83%     4 - 3 -2.8 +9.1 -12.0
  Dec 10, 2022 78   @ Dayton L 56-79 18%     4 - 4 -12.6 -10.2 -2.8
  Dec 13, 2022 351   @ South Carolina St. W 94-84 84%     5 - 4 +0.0 +4.1 -5.2
  Dec 17, 2022 241   @ East Tennessee St. W 74-73 56%     6 - 4 -0.1 +0.4 -0.4
  Dec 21, 2022 17   @ Arkansas L 51-85 8%     6 - 5 -17.8 -12.2 -5.9
  Dec 29, 2022 186   Radford W 62-58 67%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +0.1 -9.6 +9.9
  Dec 31, 2022 244   @ Winthrop L 60-62 58%     7 - 6 1 - 1 -3.4 -8.1 +4.4
  Jan 04, 2023 302   @ High Point W 76-72 69%     8 - 6 2 - 1 -0.5 -2.7 +2.1
  Jan 07, 2023 229   Campbell W 58-55 74%     9 - 6 3 - 1 -3.3 -14.2 +11.2
  Jan 12, 2023 175   Longwood W 54-46 65%     10 - 6 4 - 1 +4.5 -17.4 +22.2
  Jan 14, 2023 215   @ Gardner-Webb W 72-67 OT 49%     11 - 6 5 - 1 +5.8 -1.5 +7.0
  Jan 18, 2023 301   @ Charleston Southern W 73-63 69%     12 - 6 6 - 1 +5.5 -0.2 +6.5
  Jan 21, 2023 259   South Carolina Upstate W 64-58 80%     13 - 6 7 - 1 -2.2 -12.3 +9.9
  Jan 25, 2023 335   Presbyterian W 88-80 OT 90%     14 - 6 8 - 1 -5.8 +10.8 -16.5
  Jan 28, 2023 229   @ Campbell W 78-65 53%     15 - 6 9 - 1 +12.7 +10.8 +3.0
  Feb 02, 2023 302   High Point W 89-63 85%     16 - 6 10 - 1 +15.5 +12.6 +3.6
  Feb 04, 2023 259   @ South Carolina Upstate L 70-76 61%     16 - 7 10 - 2 -8.3 -3.0 -5.2
  Feb 08, 2023 244   Winthrop W 86-79 77%     17 - 7 11 - 2 -0.3 -4.8 +3.7
  Feb 11, 2023 335   @ Presbyterian W 76-72 79%     18 - 7 12 - 2 -3.8 +4.5 -8.2
  Feb 16, 2023 186   @ Radford W 63-54 44%     19 - 7 13 - 2 +11.1 -1.3 +13.4
  Feb 18, 2023 215   Gardner-Webb W 75-63 71%     20 - 7 14 - 2 +6.9 +3.6 +3.4
  Feb 22, 2023 301   Charleston Southern W 80-62 85%     21 - 7 15 - 2 +7.6 -0.3 +8.3
  Feb 25, 2023 175   @ Longwood W 76-66 43%     22 - 7 16 - 2 +12.4 +11.0 +2.2
  Mar 03, 2023 301   Charleston Southern W 75-66 78%     23 - 7 +1.5 -8.8 +10.0
  Mar 04, 2023 259   South Carolina Upstate W 66-62 71%     24 - 7 -1.2 -2.3 +1.3
  Mar 05, 2023 229   Campbell W 77-73 65%     25 - 7 +0.7 +6.6 -5.6
  Mar 16, 2023 3   UCLA L 58-76 6%    
Projected Record 25 - 8 16 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.9 0.0 1.2 13.1 82.4 3.3
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 1.2 13.1 82.4 3.3