Preseason Rankings
Mid-Eastern
2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
190 Norfolk St. 64.9%   16   0 - 0 0 - 0 18 - 8 12 - 2 -0.7      -1.5 235 +0.8 150 67.5 200 0.0 1 0.0 1
287 Morgan St. 16.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 12 9 - 5 -7.6      -4.3 297 -3.4 279 77.8 16 0.0 1 0.0 1
332 Howard 7.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 16 8 - 6 -11.1      -2.8 259 -8.4 356 74.7 38 0.0 1 0.0 1
336 Coppin St. 6.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 21 8 - 6 -11.6      -6.6 337 -5.0 314 79.5 8 0.0 1 0.0 1
340 NC Central 4.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 15 7 - 7 -12.5      -7.3 341 -5.2 319 69.1 142 0.0 1 0.0 1
356 South Carolina St. 0.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 5 - 24 5 - 9 -18.4      -8.9 350 -9.5 359 74.9 35 0.0 1 0.0 1
358 Delaware St. 0.4%   0 - 0 0 - 0 6 - 19 4 - 10 -19.2      -7.4 342 -11.8 362 70.2 111 0.0 1 0.0 1
361 Maryland Eastern Shore 0.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 4 - 21 4 - 10 -21.3      -14.7 361 -6.6 340 69.2 133 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Norfolk St. 1.5 69.4 18.4 7.3 3.0 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0
Morgan St. 2.8 21.4 30.0 20.2 13.2 8.2 4.4 1.9 0.7
Howard 3.7 9.4 19.0 21.2 18.7 14.4 9.6 5.4 2.3
Coppin St. 3.9 8.3 17.1 20.4 19.4 15.1 10.6 6.2 2.9
NC Central 4.1 6.6 14.5 19.2 18.9 17.3 12.4 7.6 3.6
South Carolina St. 5.8 1.0 3.7 7.3 11.5 16.0 21.2 21.6 17.7
Delaware St. 6.0 0.7 2.9 6.1 9.7 14.6 20.5 23.8 21.6
Maryland Eastern Shore 6.5 0.3 1.6 3.6 6.7 11.5 18.3 25.5 32.5




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Norfolk St. 12 - 2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.7 3.2 6.0 9.8 14.5 20.6 23.8 19.1
Morgan St. 9 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 4.2 6.5 9.4 12.1 14.2 15.6 14.6 11.3 6.4 2.2
Howard 8 - 6 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.5 5.8 8.6 11.2 13.5 14.2 13.6 11.4 8.2 5.0 2.2 0.5
Coppin St. 8 - 6 0.2 0.7 2.1 3.9 6.6 9.2 11.9 13.8 14.4 12.6 10.8 7.5 4.2 1.8 0.4
NC Central 7 - 7 0.3 1.1 2.5 4.9 7.8 10.8 13.0 14.0 13.7 12.0 9.1 5.8 3.3 1.4 0.3
South Carolina St. 5 - 9 2.7 7.1 11.5 14.5 15.2 14.2 12.0 9.3 6.3 3.8 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Delaware St. 4 - 10 3.8 8.9 13.4 15.7 15.3 13.5 10.8 8.0 5.1 3.0 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 4 - 10 7.2 13.4 17.1 16.7 14.9 11.5 8.1 5.3 3.0 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Norfolk St. 69.4% 57.0 10.9 1.4 0.1 0.0
Morgan St. 21.4% 13.5 6.8 1.1 0.1 0.0
Howard 9.4% 5.3 3.3 0.8 0.1 0.0
Coppin St. 8.3% 4.6 3.0 0.7 0.1 0.0
NC Central 6.6% 3.5 2.4 0.6 0.1 0.0
South Carolina St. 1.0% 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Delaware St. 0.7% 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.3% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Norfolk St. 64.9% 64.9% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.9 10.6 17.6 31.5 35.1 0.0%
Morgan St. 16.5% 16.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.0 12.2 83.5 0.0%
Howard 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 5.9 93.0 0.0%
Coppin St. 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 5.2 94.0 0.0%
NC Central 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.8 95.5 0.0%
South Carolina St. 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.5 99.4 0.0%
Delaware St. 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Norfolk St. 64.9% 17.9% 55.7% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 16.5% 8.5% 11.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 7.0% 4.6% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 6.0% 4.4% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 4.5% 3.1% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 77.8% 0.8 22.2 77.8
2nd Round 3.2% 0.0 96.8 3.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0