Pre-tourney Rankings
Southland
2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
75 McNeese St. 100.0%   12   26 - 3 17 - 1 26 - 4 17 - 1 +7.3      +4.2 76 +3.0 91 64.6 289 +10.1 61 +8.1 1
189 TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0%   17 - 11 14 - 4 17 - 11 14 - 4 -1.4      -3.9 278 +2.4 105 70.7 106 -2.8 218 +0.4 2
226 Lamar 0.0%   17 - 14 12 - 6 17 - 14 12 - 6 -3.3      -1.6 223 -1.7 224 70.0 130 -4.7 254 -3.5 4
248 Nicholls St. 0.0%   17 - 14 13 - 5 17 - 14 13 - 5 -4.3      -1.3 218 -3.0 259 66.2 247 -1.6 193 -1.3 3
310 SE Louisiana 0.0%   12 - 17 10 - 8 12 - 17 10 - 8 -8.4      -5.1 303 -3.3 269 63.4 317 -7.7 298 -6.2 5
325 Northwestern St. 0.0%   7 - 23 7 - 11 7 - 23 7 - 11 -10.4      -6.2 321 -4.1 300 68.4 170 -13.3 342 -10.9 6
332 Texas A&M - Commerce 0.0%   10 - 20 6 - 12 10 - 20 6 - 12 -11.5      -7.6 341 -3.9 291 65.6 263 -9.9 320 -12.4 7
343 New Orleans 0.0%   6 - 23 4 - 14 6 - 23 4 - 14 -13.2      -5.7 313 -7.4 353 76.4 27 -13.8 346 -15.9 9
351 Incarnate Word 0.0%   6 - 23 3 - 15 6 - 23 3 - 15 -14.0      -7.1 332 -6.9 351 73.2 57 -14.6 349 -18.0 10
357 Houston Christian 0.0%   4 - 23 4 - 14 4 - 23 4 - 14 -16.1      -6.3 322 -9.9 362 76.4 26 -16.2 355 -15.3 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
McNeese St. 1.0 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 2.0 100.0
Lamar 4.0 100.0
Nicholls St. 3.0 100.0
SE Louisiana 5.0 100.0
Northwestern St. 6.0 100.0
Texas A&M - Commerce 7.0 100.0
New Orleans 8.0 100.0
Incarnate Word 10.0 100.0
Houston Christian 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
McNeese St. 17 - 1 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 14 - 4 100.0
Lamar 12 - 6 100.0
Nicholls St. 13 - 5 100.0
SE Louisiana 10 - 8 100.0
Northwestern St. 7 - 11 100.0
Texas A&M - Commerce 6 - 12 100.0
New Orleans 4 - 14 100.0
Incarnate Word 3 - 15 100.0
Houston Christian 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
McNeese St. 100.0% 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi
Lamar
Nicholls St.
SE Louisiana
Northwestern St.
Texas A&M - Commerce
New Orleans
Incarnate Word
Houston Christian


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
McNeese St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   10.4 80.4 9.3 0.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas A&M - Commerce 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Orleans 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Houston Christian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
McNeese St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 26.9% 7.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas A&M - Commerce 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Orleans 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Houston Christian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 26.9% 0.3 73.1 26.9
Sweet Sixteen 7.0% 0.1 93.0 7.0
Elite Eight 1.2% 0.0 98.8 1.2
Final Four 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0